Vanderbilt at Mississippi State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo   Vanderbilt Commodores at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, November 7th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Mississippi State -18.5 (45.0)
Mississippi State 24 - Vanderbilt: 17  (SEC)

 
Commodores (0 - 9) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ MSST -20)
Projected Score: VAN: 32 - MSST: 28 (60)
MSST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
VAN Travel: 217 miles
Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Vanderbilt at Texas A&M+31.046.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 10/3 Vanderbilt vs LSU+21.049.5L 7 - 41UN
Sat 10/10 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+14.040.5L 7 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss+18.0
Sat 11/7 Vanderbilt at Mississippi State+18.545.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/14 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+17.541.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/21 Vanderbilt vs Florida+31.568.5L 17 - 38UY
Sat 11/28 Vanderbilt at Missouri-2.052.5L 0 - 41UN
Sat 12/5 Vanderbilt at Georgia+35.554.0
Sat 12/12 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+15.051.0L 17 - 42ON
Sat 12/19 Vanderbilt at Georgia+24

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at LSU+14.557.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-16.568.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State at Kentucky+3.557.5L 2 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+4.556.0L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Alabama+32.0
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-18.545.0W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+25.544.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+10.070.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Mississippi State vs Auburn+5.550.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 12/19 Mississippi State vs Missouri+1.549.0W 51 - 32OY
Thu 12/31 Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.0738%38.545%2.5112529%1722.54.2449%22.850%45%3.5754.11.11
MSST.2646%30.449%3.4622141%1794.29.2146%30.245%46%3.8644.51.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1238.53337.7%2.541.1162971251724.146%53%45%29%23%.07
MSST Defense1330.227.946.2%3.862.2 - - - - - 51%47%45%46%23%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1222.82348.6%3.571 - - - - - 54%44%50%45%19%.24
MSST Offense1330.433.946.1%4.291.8214002211795.459%40%49%41%20%.26

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1229:1515.829%38%6.354.11.117.52.1126.3
Mississippi State1331:4021.539%39%5.544.51.82.26.92.3227.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1246%45%30.3124.74.111.182.5164%14%1.09
MSST Defense1351%45% - - - - .092.9377%14%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1254%50% - - - - .23.2570%12%0.97
MSST Offense1359%49%40.7220.65.427.273.4677%13%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1253%29%16.831.81725.410.210101.537%22%.029%1.6
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 10.361.832%38%.3610%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1244%45% - - - - - - 6.321.730%36%.316%1.9
MSST Offense1340%41%14.324.2179.57.412.51910.251.631%36%.418%1.7

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2020 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1  #121
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #122
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #106

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt:    Mississippi State: 3.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -18.1   Mississippi State: 2.2




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 3.6 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 32
Mississippi State 28

Projected Total Points: 60
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/23Vanderbilt6Mississippi State45Mississippi State -21Mississippi State53.0Under
202011/07Mississippi State24Vanderbilt17Mississippi State -18.5Vanderbilt45.0Under
201411/22Mississippi State51Vanderbilt0Mississippi State -30.5Mississippi State0
200909/19Vanderbilt3Mississippi State15
200810/11Mississippi State17Vanderbilt14
200410/02Vanderbilt31Mississippi State13
200310/04Mississippi State30Vanderbilt21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State620 Overs
Vanderbilt112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 52 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) VAN at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #58
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #54 #24
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #122 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Mississippi State -18.5 (45.0)
Mississippi State won vs Vanderbilt this year (24-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VAN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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VAN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD