Northwestern at Duke - 2017 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, September 9th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -1.5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Duke 41 - Northwestern: 17

Wildcats (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (30 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ NW -5)
Projected Score: NW: 22 - DUKE: 31 (53)
NW Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
NW Travel: 629 miles, 1 hrs behind

Blue Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northwestern vs Nevada	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/9	Northwestern at Duke	-1.5	54.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Northwestern vs Bowling Green	-21.0	56.5	W 49 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+16.5	50.5	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northwestern vs Penn State	+14.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/14	Northwestern at Maryland	-2.5	50.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Northwestern vs Iowa	-2.5	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Northwestern vs Michigan State	+2.0	41.5	W 39 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Northwestern at Nebraska	+1.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Northwestern vs Purdue	-6.0	49.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Northwestern vs Minnesota	-7.0	40.5	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northwestern at Illinois	-16.5	46.0	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Northwestern vs Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 24 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Duke's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Duke vs North Carolina Central	-36.0
Sat 9/9	Duke vs Northwestern	+1.5	54.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Duke vs Baylor	-10.5	60.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Duke at North Carolina	+1.5	61.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Duke vs Miami	+5.5	55.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Duke at Virginia	-1.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/14	Duke vs Florida State	+7.0	45.5	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Duke vs Pittsburgh	-9.0	49.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Duke at Virginia Tech	+17.0	48.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Duke at Army	-3.5	51.0	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/18	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+6.5	49.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Duke at Wake Forest	+10.5	59.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Duke vs Northern Illinois	-4.5	48.0	W 36 - 14	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.11	43%	29.2	43%	2.97	174	42%	234	3.62	.05	39%	20.1	36%	40%	2.63	49	1.4	1.8
DUKE	.08	41%	26.5	44%	2.88	171	36%	213	2.96	.05	37%	20.2	39%	32%	3.08	41.6	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	13	29.2	30.2	43.3%	3.62	1.4	23	408	174	234	4.2	49%	50%	43%	42%	15%	.11
DUKE Defense	13	20.2	19.4	36.9%	3.08	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	39%	32%	20%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	13	20.1	25.2	38.8%	2.63	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	40%	20%	.05
DUKE Offense	13	26.5	30.1	41.1%	2.96	1.5	23	385	171	213	4.1	49%	49%	44%	36%	17%	.08

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	13	30:47	22.8	35%	56%	4.9	49	1.4	1.8	7.5	2.5	1	29.7
Duke	13	31:26	23	39%	63%	4.8	41.6	1.5	1.5	6.7	2.2	4	32.2

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	13	49%	43%	41.3	174.2	4.2	30	.13	2.97	63%	8%	0.96
DUKE Defense	13	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.7	69%	12%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.32	48%	12%	0.92
DUKE Offense	13	49%	44%	42.1	171.4	4.1	22	.15	2.88	77%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	13	50%	42%	21.2	35.5	233.8	6.6	11	17	12	.1	1.3	32%	32%	.11	7%	1.4
DUKE Defense	13	42%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.02	1.9	35%	26%	.15	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	13	56%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.16	1.5	35%	31%	.21	8%	1.8
DUKE Offense	13	49%	36%	20.5	36.1	213.4	5.9	10.4	16	12	.03	1.5	32%	34%	.19	7%	1.6

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2017 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #27
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #59
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: Duke: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 11.2 Duke: 6.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2017 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #46
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #87
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #20

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Northwestern's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 31
Northwestern 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 36
Northwestern 19

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 25
Duke 25

Total Points: 50

Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.4

Duke's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/06	Northwestern	20	Duke	26	Northwestern -2.5	Duke	37.5	Over
2023	09/16	Duke	38	Northwestern	14	Duke -17	Duke	48.0	Over
2022	09/10	Northwestern	23	Duke	31	Northwestern -10	Duke	56.5	Under
2021	09/18	Duke	30	Northwestern	23	Northwestern -2.5	Duke	50.0	Over
2018	09/08	Northwestern	7	Duke	21	Northwestern -2.5	Duke	47.5	Under
2017	09/09	Duke	41	Northwestern	17	Northwestern -1.5	Duke	54.5	Over
2016	09/17	Northwestern	24	Duke	13	Northwestern -4	Northwestern	44.0	Under
2015	09/19	Duke	10	Northwestern	19	Duke -2.5	Northwestern	50.0	Under
2008	09/06	Duke	20	Northwestern	24
2007	09/15	Northwestern	14	Duke	20
2003	09/20	Duke	10	Northwestern	28
2002	09/14	Northwestern	26	Duke	21
2001	09/22	Duke	7	Northwestern	44
2000	09/08	Northwestern	38	Duke	5

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	7	6	4 Overs
Northwestern	7	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	4 - 4	2 - 4	2 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 6	4 - 4	0 - 2	4 - 2

(#) NW at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#46
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#41	#40
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northwestern Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Northwestern 1.5 (54.5)
Duke won vs Northwestern this year (41-17)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Northwestern last year (26-20)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2023 (38-14)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-23)

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD