Northwestern at Illinois - 2017 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini(#21)

Saturday, November 25th 2017 (4:00 PM EST)
Northwestern -16.5 (46.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Northwestern 42 - Illinois: 7 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (30 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.3 MPH
ILL is playing their 9th straight game
NW is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ NW -18.5)
Projected Score: NW: 30 - ILL: 18 (48)
NW Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
NW Travel: 139 miles

Fighting Illini (2 - 10) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 32 (15 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northwestern vs Nevada	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/9	Northwestern at Duke	-1.5	54.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Northwestern vs Bowling Green	-21.0	56.5	W 49 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+16.5	50.5	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northwestern vs Penn State	+14.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/14	Northwestern at Maryland	-2.5	50.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Northwestern vs Iowa	-2.5	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Northwestern vs Michigan State	+2.0	41.5	W 39 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Northwestern at Nebraska	+1.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Northwestern vs Purdue	-6.0	49.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Northwestern vs Minnesota	-7.0	40.5	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northwestern at Illinois	-16.5	46.0	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Northwestern vs Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 24 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Illinois's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Illinois vs Ball State	-5.0	55.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Illinois vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	52.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/15	Illinois at South Florida	+16.5	55.5	L 23 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/29	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/7	Illinois at Iowa	+16.0	42.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	Illinois vs Rutgers	-1.0	47.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/21	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+28.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Illinois at Purdue	+14.0	50.0	L 10 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/11	Illinois vs Indiana	+10.0	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Illinois at Ohio State	+41.0	54.5	L 14 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Illinois vs Northwestern	+16.5	46.0	L 7 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.11	43%	29.2	43%	2.97	174	42%	234	3.62	.05	39%	20.1	36%	40%	2.63	49	1.4	1.8
ILL	.01	38%	15.4	40%	2.57	106	33%	175	2.55	.18	46%	31.5	48%	42%	3.68	64	2.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	13	29.2	30.2	43.3%	3.62	1.4	23	408	174	234	4.2	49%	50%	43%	42%	15%	.11
ILL Defense	12	31.5	25.9	46.3%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	48%	42%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	13	20.1	25.2	38.8%	2.63	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	40%	20%	.05
ILL Offense	12	15.4	15	37.6%	2.55	2.2	15	280	106	175	3.3	48%	50%	40%	33%	24%	.01

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	13	30:47	22.8	35%	56%	4.9	49	1.4	1.8	7.5	2.5	1	29.7
Illinois	12	28:14	14.5	34%	40%	7.1	64	2.2	1.4	4.5	1.7	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	13	49%	43%	41.3	174.2	4.2	30	.13	2.97	63%	8%	0.96
ILL Defense	12	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	82%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.32	48%	12%	0.92
ILL Offense	12	48%	40%	32.2	105.6	3.3	11	.04	2.57	69%	15%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	13	50%	42%	21.2	35.5	233.8	6.6	11	17	12	.1	1.3	32%	32%	.11	7%	1.4
ILL Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.6	28%	35%	.33	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	13	56%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.16	1.5	35%	31%	.21	8%	1.8
ILL Offense	12	50%	33%	14	28.3	174.8	6.2	12.5	8	19	-	1.5	36%	30%	.09	10%	1.4

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2017 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #27
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #59
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: Illinois: -1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 11.2 Illinois: -7.4

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -1.2 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2017 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #96
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Northwestern's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Northwestern 30
Illinois 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 30
Illinois 16

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 29
Illinois 19

Total Points: 48

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 15
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.9

Illinois's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Illinois	20	Northwestern	13	Illinois -7	Push	44.5	Under
2024	11/30	Northwestern	28	Illinois	38	Illinois -8.5	Illinois	42.5	Over
2023	11/25	Illinois	43	Northwestern	45	Illinois -5	Northwestern	46.5	Over
2022	11/26	Northwestern	3	Illinois	41	Illinois -15.0	Illinois	38.0	Over
2021	11/27	Illinois	47	Northwestern	14	Illinois -7	Illinois	45.0	Over
2020	12/12	Northwestern	28	Illinois	10	Northwestern -13	Northwestern	41.0	Under
2019	11/30	Illinois	10	Northwestern	29	Illinois -6.5	Northwestern	38.0	Over
2018	11/24	Northwestern	24	Illinois	16	Northwestern -14.5	Illinois	56.0	Under
2017	11/25	Illinois	7	Northwestern	42	Northwestern -16.5	Northwestern	46.0	Over
2016	11/26	Northwestern	42	Illinois	21	Northwestern -15	Northwestern	48.5	Over
2015	11/28	Illinois	14	Northwestern	24	Northwestern -3.5	Northwestern	42.0	Under
2014	11/29	Northwestern	33	Illinois	47	Northwestern -9	Illinois	0
2013	11/30	Illinois	34	Northwestern	37	Northwestern -4	Illinois	0
2012	11/24	Northwestern	50	Illinois	14
2011	10/01	Illinois	38	Northwestern	35
2010	11/20	Northwestern	27	Illinois	48
2009	11/14	Illinois	16	Northwestern	21
2008	11/22	Northwestern	27	Illinois	10
2007	11/17	Illinois	41	Northwestern	22
2006	11/18	Northwestern	27	Illinois	16
2005	11/19	Illinois	21	Northwestern	38
2004	11/20	Northwestern	28	Illinois	21
2003	11/22	Illinois	20	Northwestern	37
2001	11/22	Illinois	34	Northwestern	28
2000	11/17	Northwestern	61	Illinois	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	9	6	7 Overs
Northwestern	16	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	4 - 8	3 - 4	1 - 4
Road Teams	12 - 13	8 - 4	4 - 1	4 - 3

(#) NW at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#96
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#41	#64
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northwestern Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56° - Wind: 18 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Northwestern 16.5 (46.0)
Northwestern won at Illinois this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Northwestern last year (38-28)
Northwestern beat Illinois in 2023 (45-43)
Illinois beat Northwestern in 2022 (41-3)

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD