Michigan State at Northwestern - 2017 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, October 28th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan State -2 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Northwestern 39 - Michigan State: 31 (Big Ten)

Spartans (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (24 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NW 2nd straight Home Game
NW is playing their 5th straight game
MSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ MSU -2.5)
Projected Score: MSU: 21 - NW: 21 (42)
MSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MSU Travel: 170 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan State vs Bowling Green	-17.0	56.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-7.0	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Notre Dame	+3.5	54.0	L 18 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State vs Iowa	-3.5	44.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan State at Michigan	+12.5	40.0	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Minnesota	-4.0	40.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Indiana	-6.5	47.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Northwestern	-2.0	41.5	L 31 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Penn State	+10.0	46.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+17.5	56.5	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State vs Maryland	-14.0	44.5	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan State at Rutgers	-14.0	42.5	W 40 - 7	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Michigan State vs Washington State	-2.5	47.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Northwestern's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northwestern vs Nevada	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/9	Northwestern at Duke	-1.5	54.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Northwestern vs Bowling Green	-21.0	56.5	W 49 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+16.5	50.5	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northwestern vs Penn State	+14.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/14	Northwestern at Maryland	-2.5	50.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Northwestern vs Iowa	-2.5	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Northwestern vs Michigan State	+2.0	41.5	W 39 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Northwestern at Nebraska	+1.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Northwestern vs Purdue	-6.0	49.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Northwestern vs Minnesota	-7.0	40.5	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northwestern at Illinois	-16.5	46.0	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Northwestern vs Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 24 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.13	43%	24.5	40%	2.77	168	44%	215	3	.07	38%	20	35%	38%	2.98	59.1	1.5	1.8
NW	.11	43%	29.2	43%	2.97	174	42%	234	3.62	.05	39%	20.1	36%	40%	2.63	49	1.4	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	24.5	23.6	43.1%	3	1.5	22	383	168	215	4	54%	45%	40%	44%	15%	.13
NW Defense	13	20.1	16	38.8%	2.63	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	40%	20%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	20	26.2	37.9%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	38%	18%	.07
NW Offense	13	29.2	29.3	43.3%	3.62	1.4	23	408	174	234	4.2	49%	50%	43%	42%	15%	.11

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	35:18	21.6	45%	58%	6.5	59.1	1.5	1.8	5	2.2	1	30.9
Northwestern	13	30:47	22.8	35%	56%	4.9	49	1.4	1.8	7.5	2.5	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	54%	40%	42	167.8	4	18	.01	2.77	66%	10%	0.86
NW Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.32	48%	12%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.45	67%	10%	0.89
NW Offense	13	49%	43%	41.3	174.2	4.2	30	.13	2.97	63%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	45%	44%	19	32.6	215.2	6.6	11.3	20	8	.29	1.6	30%	39%	.3	5%	1.7
NW Defense	13	56%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.16	1.5	35%	31%	.21	8%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	55%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.15	1.5	35%	29%	.22	7%	1.8
NW Offense	13	50%	42%	21.2	35.5	233.8	6.6	11	17	12	.1	1.3	32%	32%	.11	7%	1.4

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #23
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Northwestern: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 13.8 Northwestern: 11.2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2017 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #27
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #59
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.6
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Michigan State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 21
Northwestern 21

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 21
Northwestern 16

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 26
Michigan State 21

Total Points: 47

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Northwestern's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/03	Northwestern	21	Michigan State	38	Northwestern -3	Michigan State	45.5	Over
2020	11/28	Michigan State	29	Northwestern	20	Northwestern -13.5	Michigan State	40.0	Over
2019	09/21	Northwestern	10	Michigan State	31	Michigan State -7.5	Michigan State	35.0	Over
2018	10/06	Michigan State	19	Northwestern	29	Michigan State -10.5	Northwestern	43.0	Over
2017	10/28	Northwestern	39	Michigan State	31	Michigan State -2	Northwestern	41.5	Over
2016	10/15	Michigan State	40	Northwestern	54	Michigan State -6.5	Northwestern	41.0	Over
2013	11/23	Northwestern	6	Michigan State	30	Michigan State -7	Michigan State	0
2012	11/17	Michigan State	20	Northwestern	23
2011	11/26	Northwestern	17	Michigan State	31
2010	10/23	Northwestern	27	Michigan State	35
2009	10/17	Michigan State	24	Northwestern	14
2008	10/11	Northwestern	20	Michigan State	37
2007	10/06	Michigan State	41	Northwestern	48
2006	10/21	Northwestern	38	Michigan State	41
2005	10/22	Michigan State	14	Northwestern	49
2002	09/28	Michigan State	39	Northwestern	24
2001	09/29	Northwestern	27	Michigan State	26
2000	09/29	Michigan State	17	Northwestern	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	8	3	6 Overs
Michigan State	10	4	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 13	2 - 5	0 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 5	5 - 2	2 - 2	3 - 0

(#) MSU at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#27
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#30	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 41° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Michigan State 2.0 (41.5)
Northwestern won vs Michigan State this year (39-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD