Baylor at Duke - 2017 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, September 16th 2017 (12:30 PM EDT)
Duke -10.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 34 - Baylor: 20

 
Bears (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 36 (23 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ DUKE -8)
Projected Score: BAY: 21 - DUKE: 35 (56)
DUKE Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BAY Travel: 1086 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Liberty-33.086.5L 45 - 48ON
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs UTSA-12.057.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Baylor at Duke+10.560.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Oklahoma+28.562.0L 41 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Baylor at Kansas State+15.057.5L 20 - 33UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Baylor at Oklahoma State+26.068.5L 16 - 59ON
Sat 10/21 Baylor vs West Virginia+10.567.5L 36 - 38OY
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Texas+10.052.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/4 Baylor at Kansas-7.059.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 Baylor vs Texas Tech+9.567.5L 24 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Baylor vs Iowa State+7.550.0L 13 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Baylor at TCU+25.553.0L 22 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Duke's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Duke vs North Carolina Central-36.0
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Northwestern+1.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Baylor-10.560.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Duke at North Carolina+1.561.0W 27 - 17UY
Fri 9/29 Duke vs Miami+5.555.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Duke at Virginia-1.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/14 Duke vs Florida State+7.045.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Duke vs Pittsburgh-9.049.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Duke at Virginia Tech+17.048.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Duke at Army-3.551.0L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech+6.549.0W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/25 Duke at Wake Forest+10.559.0W 31 - 23UY
Tue 12/26 Duke vs Northern Illinois-4.548.0W 36 - 14OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.1338%24.335%2.3911737%2882.99.2145%35.943%43%3.6555.92.10.9
DUKE.0841%26.544%2.8817136%2132.96.0537%20.239%32%3.0841.61.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1224.323.237.7%2.992.1204051172883.443%54%35%37%20%.13
DUKE Defense1320.219.436.9%3.081.5 - - - - - 56%42%39%32%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1235.93644.7%3.650.9 - - - - - 50%48%43%43%16%.21
DUKE Offense1326.530.141.1%2.961.5233851712134.149%49%44%36%17%.08

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1229:4419.932%52%7.355.92.10.96.91.9028.8
Duke1331:262339%63%4.841.61.51.56.72.2432.2
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1243%35%34.5117.33.410-.012.3950%13%1.05
DUKE Defense1356%39% - - - - .082.769%12%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1250%43% - - - - .122.7769%11%1.03
DUKE Offense1349%44%42.1171.44.122.152.8877%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1254%37%22.438.5287.77.512.82314.251.937%33%.327%2
DUKE Defense1342%32% - - - - - - 15.021.935%26%.158%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 3.321.634%38%.415%1.8
DUKE Offense1349%36%20.536.1213.45.910.41612.031.532%34%.197%1.6

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2017 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #75
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #77

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Duke: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: -1.4   Duke: 6.1




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2017 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #46
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #87
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #20

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Baylor's 2017 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 35
Baylor 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 37
Baylor 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Duke 32
Baylor 22

Total Points: 54
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.4

Duke's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/15Baylor27Duke40Baylor -2Duke50.5Over
201709/16Duke34Baylor20Duke -10.5Duke60.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke221 Overs
Baylor001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) BAY at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #35 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #77
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 3
Duke -10.5 (60.5)
Duke won vs Baylor this year (34-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BAY's OC ()
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BAY's DC ()
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DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
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