Florida State at Duke - 2017 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -7 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 17 - Duke: 10 (ACC)

Seminoles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE is playing their 7th straight game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ FSU -16.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 28 - DUKE: 30 (58)
FSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 493 miles

Blue Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida State vs Alabama	+7.5	51.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Florida State vs NC State	-11.5	50.0	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida State at Wake Forest	-7.5	46.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Miami	+3.0	45.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State at Duke	-7.0	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Louisville	-7.0	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/27	Florida State at Boston College	-6.0	46.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Florida State vs Syracuse	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State at Clemson	+16.5	44.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs Delaware State	-52.0
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-4.5	43.0	W 38 - 22	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs UL Monroe	-26.0	64.0	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Wed 12/27	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-12.5	48.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Duke's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Duke vs North Carolina Central	-36.0
Sat 9/9	Duke vs Northwestern	+1.5	54.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Duke vs Baylor	-10.5	60.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Duke at North Carolina	+1.5	61.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Duke vs Miami	+5.5	55.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Duke at Virginia	-1.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/14	Duke vs Florida State	+7.0	45.5	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Duke vs Pittsburgh	-9.0	49.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Duke at Virginia Tech	+17.0	48.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Duke at Army	-3.5	51.0	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/18	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+6.5	49.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Duke at Wake Forest	+10.5	59.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Duke vs Northern Illinois	-4.5	48.0	W 36 - 14	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.28	49%	33	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	22	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8
DUKE	.14	45%	34.6	45%	3.21	142	45%	236	3.07	.2	44%	29.4	45%	39%	3.68	37.2	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	33	18.6	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28
DUKE Defense	12	29.4	31.3	43.5%	3.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	45%	39%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	22	30.2	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11
DUKE Offense	12	34.6	32.2	45%	3.07	1.8	21	378	142	236	4	46%	53%	45%	45%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2
Duke	12	28:40	20.8	43%	39%	4.7	37.2	1.8	1.3	5.9	2.4	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06
DUKE Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08
DUKE Offense	12	46%	45%	35.3	141.5	4	19	.09	3.21	71%	9%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7
DUKE Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.31	1.9	33%	35%	.41	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2
DUKE Offense	12	53%	45%	22.4	35.6	236.1	6.6	10.5	16	9	.21	1.4	30%	34%	.36	7%	1.9

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8 #9
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #37
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.5 #6

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: Duke: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 22.8 Duke: 6.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2017 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #46
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #87
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #20

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 30
Florida State 28

Projected Total Points: 58

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/18	Duke	23	Florida State	16	Duke -2.5	Duke	43.0	Under
2023	10/21	Florida State	38	Duke	20	Florida State -14.0	Florida State	49.0	Over
2020	12/12	Florida State	56	Duke	35	Florida State -3	Florida State	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Duke	10	Florida State	17	Florida State -7	NA	45.5	Under
2013	12/07	Florida State	45	Duke	7	Florida State -27.5	Florida State	0
2012	10/27	Florida State	48	Duke	7
2011	10/15	Duke	16	Florida State	41
2007	10/27	Florida State	25	Duke	6
2006	10/14	Duke	24	Florida State	51
2005	10/22	Duke	24	Florida State	55
2004	11/06	Florida State	29	Duke	7
2003	09/27	Duke	7	Florida State	56
2002	09/21	Florida State	48	Duke	17
2001	09/01	Duke	13	Florida State	55
2000	10/13	Florida State	63	Duke	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	1	1	2 Overs
Florida State	14	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 6	4 - 0	4 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 9	0 - 4	0 - 0	0 - 4

(#) FSU at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#46
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#5	#40
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Florida State 7.0 (45.5)
Florida State won at Duke this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Florida State in 2024 (23-16)
Florida State beat Duke in 2023 (38-20)

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD