Duke at Army - 2017 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, November 11th 2017 (12:00 PM EST)
Duke -3.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Army 21 - Duke: 16

 
Blue Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (20 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: -3  (SP+ DUKE -11.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 20 - ARMY: 27 (47)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 459 miles
Black Knights (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (33 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Duke vs North Carolina Central-36.0
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Northwestern+1.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Baylor-10.560.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Duke at North Carolina+1.561.0W 27 - 17UY
Fri 9/29 Duke vs Miami+5.555.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Duke at Virginia-1.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/14 Duke vs Florida State+7.045.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Duke vs Pittsburgh-9.049.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Duke at Virginia Tech+17.048.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Duke at Army-3.551.0L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech+6.549.0W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/25 Duke at Wake Forest+10.559.0W 31 - 23UY
Tue 12/26 Duke vs Northern Illinois-4.548.0W 36 - 14OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Army's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Army vs Fordham-18.069.5W 64 - 6OY
Sat 9/9 Army vs Buffalo-15.553.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Army at Ohio State+31.555.0L 7 - 38UY
Sat 9/23 Army at Tulane+3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Army vs UTEP-23.049.0W 35 - 21ON
Sat 10/7 Army at Rice-12.548.0W 49 - 12OY
Sat 10/14 Army vs Eastern Michigan-4.550.0W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/21 Army vs Temple-7.048.0W 31 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Army at Air Force+6.554.5W 21 - 0UY
Sat 11/11 Army vs Duke+3.551.0W 21 - 16UY
Sat 11/18 Army at North Texas+1.559.5L 49 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Army vs Navy+2.544.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 12/23 Army vs San Diego State+6.546.0W 42 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0841%26.544%2.8817136%2132.96.0537%20.239%32%3.0841.61.51.5
ARMY.2751%30.753%3.5636227%284.5.1948%2248%47%2.9836.30.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.519.641.1%2.961.5233851712134.149%49%44%36%17%.08
ARMY Defense132219.247.8%2.981.2 - - - - - 55%44%48%47%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1320.222.636.9%3.081.5 - - - - - 56%42%39%32%20%.05
ARMY Offense1330.733.350.7%4.50.82139036228692%8%53%27%7%.27

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1331:262339%63%4.841.61.51.56.72.2432.2
Army1334:4320.855%63%4.236.30.81.23.91.9232.9
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1349%44%42.1171.44.122.152.8877%10%1
ARMY Defense1355%48% - - - - .243.2383%9%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1356%39% - - - - .082.769%12%1
ARMY Offense1392%53%60.4362.3650.323.5688%5%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1349%36%20.536.1213.45.910.41612.031.532%34%.197%1.6
ARMY Defense1344%47% - - - - - - 6.191.428%32%.255%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1342%32% - - - - - - 15.021.935%26%.158%2.1
ARMY Offense138%27%1.5527.85.618.126-.22.223%34%.32%1.8

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2017 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #46
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #87
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #20

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Army: -0.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.1   Army: -5.3




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -0.15 NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Army's 2017 Expected Record: -
Army's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.3  #90
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #46
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Duke's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Army 27
Duke 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 28
Duke 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Army 27
Duke 22

Total Points: 49
Army Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Army's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201808/31Duke34Army14Duke -14Duke46.5Over
201711/11Army21Duke16Duke -3.5Army51.0Under
201610/08Duke13Army6Duke -6Duke43.0Under
201510/10Army3Duke44Duke -11Duke47.5Under
201009/25Duke21Army35
200909/12Army19Duke35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army211 Overs
Duke433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 33 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams3 - 31 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#) DUKE at (#) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #90
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #40 #133
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCatARMY OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
CategoryCatARMY OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 31°
Rematch from Week 11
Duke 3.5 (51.0)
Army won vs Duke this year (21-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARMY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD