Nevada at Northwestern - 2017 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo Nevada Wolf Pack at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northwestern -24 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 31 - Nevada: 20

 
Wolf Pack (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 34 (21 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -16.5  (SP+ NW -28)
Projected Score: NEV: 24 - NW: 30 (54)
NW Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
NEV Travel: 1679 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wildcats (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at Northwestern+24.060.5L 20 - 31UY
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Toledo+10.569.5L 24 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Idaho State-34.5
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Washington State+28.565.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+7.559.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Nevada vs Hawai'i+4.562.5W 35 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Nevada at Colorado State+24.565.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 10/20 Nevada vs Air Force+6.565.0L 42 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Nevada at Boise State+20.563.0L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada vs San José State-17.567.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Nevada at San Diego State+17.556.0L 23 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs UNLV-3.070.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Northwestern's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northwestern vs Nevada-24.060.5W 31 - 20UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern at Duke-1.554.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Northwestern vs Bowling Green-21.056.5W 49 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Northwestern at Wisconsin+16.550.5L 24 - 33OY
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Penn State+14.551.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/14 Northwestern at Maryland-2.550.0W 37 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Northwestern vs Iowa-2.545.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Michigan State+2.041.5W 39 - 31OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern at Nebraska+1.055.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern vs Purdue-6.049.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Minnesota-7.040.5W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois-16.546.0W 42 - 7OY
Fri 12/29 Northwestern vs Kentucky-7.550.5W 24 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1641%28.243%2.9512739%2703.99.2450%33.947%52%3.3143.31.81.6
NW.1143%29.243%2.9717442%2343.62.0539%20.136%40%2.63491.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1228.221.241.4%3.991.8203981272704.243%56%43%39%15%.16
NW Defense1320.11638.8%2.631.8 - - - - - 42%56%36%40%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1233.940.749.6%3.311.6 - - - - - 59%40%47%52%15%.24
NW Offense1329.229.343.3%3.621.4234081742344.249%50%43%42%15%.11

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1225:4419.840%39%4.843.31.81.66.81.9131.5
Northwestern1330:4722.835%56%4.9491.41.87.52.5129.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1243%43%30.2127.24.212.052.9570%9%0.82
NW Defense1342%36% - - - - -.082.3248%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1259%47% - - - - .132.9671%11%0.92
NW Offense1349%43%41.3174.24.230.132.9763%8%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1256%39%22.537.6270.47.2123015.271.831%32%.376%2
NW Defense1356%40% - - - - - - 17.161.535%31%.218%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1240%52% - - - - - - 8.441.629%44%.534%1.9
NW Offense1350%42%21.235.5233.86.6111712.11.332%32%.117%1.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2017 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4  #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #124

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Northwestern: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -16.4   Northwestern: 11.2




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2017 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2  #27
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #59
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #17

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

Nevada's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 30
Nevada 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Nevada 27
Northwestern 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 34
Nevada 21

Total Points: 55
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Northwestern's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/02Northwestern31Nevada20Northwestern -24Nevada60.5Under
200709/08Northwestern36Nevada31
200609/22Nevada31Northwestern21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern200 Overs
Nevada111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) NEV at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #27
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #103 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #124
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 1
Northwestern -24.0 (60.5)
Northwestern won vs Nevada this year (31-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEV's OC ()
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NEV's DC ()
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NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC ()
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