Pittsburgh at Duke - 2017 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 21st 2017 (12:20 PM EDT)
Duke -9 (49.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Pittsburgh 24 - Duke: 17  (ACC)

 
Panthers (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (19 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
DUKE is playing their 8th straight game
PITT is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ DUKE -0)
Projected Score: PITT: 22 - DUKE: 24 (46)
DUKE Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 313 miles
Blue Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-13.064.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh at Penn State+20.063.5L 14 - 33UY
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh vs Oklahoma State+11.066.0L 21 - 59ON
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+7.555.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh vs Rice-20.552.0W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.063.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs NC State+11.055.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Duke+9.049.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-1.049.0W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/9 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-10.050.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+14.049.5L 14 - 20UY
Fri 11/24 Pittsburgh vs Miami+12.054.0W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Duke's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Duke vs North Carolina Central-36.0
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Northwestern+1.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Baylor-10.560.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Duke at North Carolina+1.561.0W 27 - 17UY
Fri 9/29 Duke vs Miami+5.555.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Duke at Virginia-1.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/14 Duke vs Florida State+7.045.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Duke vs Pittsburgh-9.049.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Duke at Virginia Tech+17.048.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Duke at Army-3.551.0L 16 - 21UN
Sat 11/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech+6.549.0W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/25 Duke at Wake Forest+10.559.0W 31 - 23UY
Tue 12/26 Duke vs Northern Illinois-4.548.0W 36 - 14OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1545%23.945%2.7914843%2183.63.1542%26.645%38%3.4338.21.31.3
DUKE.0841%26.544%2.8817136%2132.96.0537%20.239%32%3.0841.61.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1223.918.644.9%3.631.3203661482183.952%46%45%43%18%.15
DUKE Defense1320.219.436.9%3.081.5 - - - - - 56%42%39%32%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1226.626.442.1%3.431.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%38%16%.15
DUKE Offense1326.530.141.1%2.961.5233851712134.149%49%44%36%17%.08

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1232:2719.736%65%3.838.21.31.34.71.9227.7
Duke1331:262339%63%4.841.61.51.56.72.2432.2
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1252%45%38.3148.33.921.092.7963%11%0.92
DUKE Defense1356%39% - - - - .082.769%12%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1248%45% - - - - .093.2276%8%0.89
DUKE Offense1349%44%42.1171.44.122.152.8877%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1246%43%18.730.2217.77.211.7128.231.531%35%.347%1.8
DUKE Defense1342%32% - - - - - - 15.021.935%26%.158%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1251%38% - - - - - - 9.221.733%37%.437%2
DUKE Offense1349%36%20.536.1213.45.910.41612.031.532%34%.197%1.6

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2017 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #48
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #48

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Duke: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 6.0   Duke: 6.1




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2017 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #46
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #87
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #20

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Pittsburgh's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 24
Pittsburgh 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 23
Duke 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Duke 28
Pittsburgh 21

Total Points: 49
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.4

Duke's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Duke30Pittsburgh19Duke -4.5Duke40.5Over
202211/19Pittsburgh28Duke26Pittsburgh -6.5Duke49.0Over
202111/06Duke29Pittsburgh54Pittsburgh -21Pittsburgh64.5Over
201910/05Duke30Pittsburgh33Duke -3.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201810/27Pittsburgh54Duke45Duke -3Pittsburgh46.0Over
201710/21Duke17Pittsburgh24Duke -9Pittsburgh49.5Under
201611/19Pittsburgh56Duke14Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
201511/14Duke13Pittsburgh31Duke -4Pittsburgh49.0Under
201411/01Pittsburgh48Duke51Pittsburgh -2.5Duke0
201309/21Duke55Pittsburgh58Pittsburgh -6Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke246 Overs
Pittsburgh862 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 62 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 46 - 41 - 25 - 2

(#) PITT at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #34 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°
Rematch from Week 8
Duke -9.0 (49.5)
Pittsburgh won at Duke this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)
Pittsburgh beat Duke in 2022 (28-26)

  
PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD