UTSA at Baylor - 2017 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, September 9th 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -12 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 17 - Baylor: 10

 
Roadrunners (6 - 5) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (22 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ BAY -1)
Projected Score: UTSA: 33 - BAY: 27 (60)
BAY Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UTSA Travel: 169 miles
Bears (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 36 (25 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 UTSA at Baylor+12.057.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 UTSA vs Southern-35.0
Sat 9/23 UTSA at Texas State-13.545.0W 44 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UTSA vs Southern Miss-10.550.0L 29 - 31ON
Sat 10/14 UTSA at North Texas-2.558.5L 26 - 29UN
Sat 10/21 UTSA vs Rice-20.053.0W 20 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 UTSA at UTEP-15.547.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 UTSA at Florida International-6.551.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 11/11 UTSA vs UAB-7.050.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 UTSA vs Marshall-3.045.0W 9 - 7UN
Sat 11/25 UTSA at Louisiana Tech-1.052.5L 6 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Baylor's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Liberty-33.086.5L 45 - 48ON
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs UTSA-12.057.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Baylor at Duke+10.560.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Oklahoma+28.562.0L 41 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Baylor at Kansas State+15.057.5L 20 - 33UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Baylor at Oklahoma State+26.068.5L 16 - 59ON
Sat 10/21 Baylor vs West Virginia+10.567.5L 36 - 38OY
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Texas+10.052.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/4 Baylor at Kansas-7.059.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 Baylor vs Texas Tech+9.567.5L 24 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Baylor vs Iowa State+7.550.0L 13 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Baylor at TCU+25.553.0L 22 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.1242%23.541%2.8418541%2022.86.0636%1736%34%2.9158.31.62
BAY.1338%24.335%2.3911737%2882.99.2145%35.943%43%3.6555.92.10.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1123.521.842.4%2.861.6213871852024.654%44%41%41%17%.12
BAY Defense1235.935.544.7%3.650.9 - - - - - 50%48%43%43%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense111716.835.9%2.912 - - - - - 55%44%36%34%21%.06
BAY Offense1224.325.337.7%2.992.1204051172883.443%54%35%37%20%.13

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1133:1321.142%57%7.258.31.626.62.1129.7
Baylor1229:4419.932%52%7.355.92.10.96.91.9028.8
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1154%41%40.5184.54.611.062.8463%12%0.95
BAY Defense1250%43% - - - - .122.7769%11%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1155%36% - - - - -.052.3572%14%0.94
BAY Offense1243%35%34.5117.33.410-.012.3950%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1144%41%17.428.1202.37.211.7157.241.533%30%.235%1.8
BAY Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 3.321.634%38%.415%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1144%34% - - - - - - 13.181.938%28%.197%2
BAY Offense1254%37%22.438.5287.77.512.82314.251.937%33%.327%2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2017 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5  #79
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #117
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #34

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Baylor: 1.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -2.5   Baylor: -1.4




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 1.8 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2017 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #75
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #77

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.8

UTSA's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 33
Baylor 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 37
Baylor 33

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 29
Baylor 21

Total Points: 50
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Baylor's 2017 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Baylor63UTSA14Baylor -25Baylor58.5Over
201809/08UTSA20Baylor37Baylor -17NA55.0Over
201709/09Baylor10UTSA17Baylor -12UTSA57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor212 Overs
UTSA111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSABAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #75
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #119 #35
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #77
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Baylor -12.0 (57.5)
UTSA won at Baylor this year (17-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC ()
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UTSA's DC ()
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BAY's OC ()
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BAY's DC ()
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