Baylor at TCU - 2017 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo   Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Friday, November 24th 2017 (12:00 PM EST)
TCU -25.5 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 45 - Baylor: 22  (Big 12)

 
Bears (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 8th straight game
BAY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ TCU -20)
Projected Score: BAY: 28 - TCU: 35 (63)
TCU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
Horned Frogs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Liberty-33.086.5L 45 - 48ON
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs UTSA-12.057.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Baylor at Duke+10.560.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Oklahoma+28.562.0L 41 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Baylor at Kansas State+15.057.5L 20 - 33UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Baylor at Oklahoma State+26.068.5L 16 - 59ON
Sat 10/21 Baylor vs West Virginia+10.567.5L 36 - 38OY
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Texas+10.052.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/4 Baylor at Kansas-7.059.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 Baylor vs Texas Tech+9.567.5L 24 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Baylor vs Iowa State+7.550.0L 13 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Baylor at TCU+25.553.0L 22 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
TCU's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Jackson State-60.0
Sat 9/9 TCU at Arkansas-3.056.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 TCU vs SMU-22.064.5W 56 - 36ON
Sat 9/23 TCU at Oklahoma State+10.568.0W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 TCU vs West Virginia-12.567.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 TCU at Kansas State-7.549.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 10/21 TCU vs Kansas-37.561.5W 43 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 TCU at Iowa State-7.048.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 11/4 TCU vs Texas-7.545.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 TCU at Oklahoma+6.063.5L 20 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 TCU at Texas Tech-6.553.5W 27 - 3UY
Fri 11/24 TCU vs Baylor-25.553.0W 45 - 22ON
Sat 12/2 TCU vs Oklahoma+7.563.5L 17 - 41UN
Thu 12/28 TCU vs Stanford-3.049.5W 39 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.2548%31.150%3.3424244%2813.81.1443%32.645%39%3.4682.22.11.7
TCU.246%30.748%3.2919542%2683.3.1641%25.342%36%3.4761.31.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1331.133.247.7%3.812.125523242281553%46%50%44%15%.25
TCU Defense1325.324.240.8%3.471.2 - - - - - 52%46%42%36%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1332.639.242.9%3.461.7 - - - - - 55%44%45%39%17%.14
TCU Offense1330.73645.9%3.31.5234631952685.245%53%48%42%15%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1327:0025.442%57%9.982.22.11.77.52.5229.2
TCU1328:0722.840%59%6.861.31.51.26.53.3229.4
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1353%50%48.3241.8525.223.3479%8%0.93
TCU Defense1352%42% - - - - .183.182%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1355%45% - - - - .153.0483%11%0.92
TCU Offense1345%48%37.51955.230.253.2968%9%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1346%44%20.736.9280.97.613.63315.311.630%38%.457%1.8
TCU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 8.171.734%34%.36%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 12.161.731%33%.36%1.8
TCU Offense1353%42%22.738.7268.26.911.81814.171.432%33%.317%1.7

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2017 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #75
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #77

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    TCU: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: -1.4   TCU: 18.9




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2017 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #16
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #21
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2017 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 35
Baylor 28

Projected Total Points: 63
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1396 Overs
Baylor544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) BAY at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #35 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #77
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
TCU -25.5 (53.0)
TCU won vs Baylor this year (45-22)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Baylor last year (42-36)
Baylor beat TCU in 2024 (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)

  
BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD