Texas at Baylor - 2017 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas -10 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 38 - Baylor: 7 (Big 12)

Longhorns (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ TEX -12)
Projected Score: TEX: 32 - BAY: 23 (55)
TEX Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TEX Travel: 95 miles

Bears (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 36 (25 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Maryland	-18.5	57.5	L 41 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas vs San José State	-26.5	63.0	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas at USC	+17.0	67.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/28	Texas at Iowa State	-5.0	61.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Kansas State	-5.5	47.0	W 40 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas vs Oklahoma	+9.0	62.0	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Texas vs Oklahoma State	+7.0	65.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Texas at Baylor	-10.0	52.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas at TCU	+7.5	45.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Texas vs Kansas	-32.0	52.5	W 42 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at West Virginia	+3.0	54.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-7.5	58.5	L 23 - 27	U	N
Wed 12/27	Texas vs Missouri	+3.0	62.0	W 33 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Baylor's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Baylor vs Liberty	-33.0	86.5	L 45 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/9	Baylor vs UTSA	-12.0	57.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Baylor at Duke	+10.5	60.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/23	Baylor vs Oklahoma	+28.5	62.0	L 41 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Baylor at Kansas State	+15.0	57.5	L 20 - 33	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Baylor at Oklahoma State	+26.0	68.5	L 16 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/21	Baylor vs West Virginia	+10.5	67.5	L 36 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Baylor vs Texas	+10.0	52.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/4	Baylor at Kansas	-7.0	59.5	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Baylor vs Texas Tech	+9.5	67.5	L 24 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Baylor vs Iowa State	+7.5	50.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Baylor at TCU	+25.5	53.0	L 22 - 45	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.07	39%	29.5	40%	2.64	140	38%	259	3.01	.02	38%	21.2	36%	38%	2.85	66.8	1.4	2
BAY	.13	38%	24.3	35%	2.39	117	37%	288	2.99	.21	45%	35.9	43%	43%	3.65	55.9	2.1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	#39 (.24)	46% (27)		49% (16)	2.95 (84)	152	44% (43)	241	4.03 (54)	#3 (-.01)	38% (22)		42% (61)	34% (7)	2.57 (3)	44.3	1.4	1.8
BAY	#29 (.25)	47% (23)		46% (37)	3.19 (43)	174	48% (14)	227	4.28 (30)	#74 (.18)	39% (38)		38% (13)	42% (78)	3.85 (77)	58.1	1	1.6

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	29.5	22.8	39.5%	3.01	1.4	20	398	140	259	3.6	46%	52%	40%	38%	16%	.07
BAY Defense	12	35.9	35.5	44.7%	3.65	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	43%	43%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	21.2	15.8	37.7%	2.85	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	38%	18%	.02
BAY Offense	12	24.3	25.3	37.7%	2.99	2.1	20	405	117	288	3.4	43%	54%	35%	37%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	31:22	20.5	38%	47%	7.1	66.8	1.4	2	6.4	2.4	6	31.7
Baylor	12	29:44	19.9	32%	52%	7.3	55.9	2.1	0.9	6.9	1.9	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	46%	40%	39	139.6	3.6	24	.08	2.64	64%	11%	1.01
BAY Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.77	69%	11%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.48	51%	11%	0.83
BAY Offense	12	43%	35%	34.5	117.3	3.4	10	-.01	2.39	50%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	52%	38%	22.9	38.4	258.8	6.7	11.3	18	11	.09	1.4	34%	29%	.2	6%	1.9
BAY Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.32	1.6	34%	38%	.41	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.13	1.6	34%	30%	.17	8%	1.7
BAY Offense	12	54%	37%	22.4	38.5	287.7	7.5	12.8	23	14	.25	1.9	37%	33%	.32	7%	2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2017 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #30
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #80
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: Baylor: 1.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 10.6 Baylor: -1.4

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 1.8 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2017 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #75
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #77

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Texas's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 32
Baylor 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas 32
Baylor 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Texas 31
Baylor 22

Total Points: 53

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Baylor's 2017 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Baylor	6	Texas	38	Texas -17.5	Texas	49.5	Under
2022	11/25	Texas	38	Baylor	27	Texas -10	Texas	55.0	Over
2021	10/30	Baylor	31	Texas	24	Baylor -2	Baylor	61.5	Under
2020	10/24	Texas	27	Baylor	16	Texas -11	Push	61.5	Under
2019	11/23	Baylor	24	Texas	10	Baylor -3.5	Baylor	58.0	Under
2018	10/13	Texas	23	Baylor	17	Texas -14	Baylor	58.5	Under
2017	10/28	Baylor	7	Texas	38	Texas -10	Texas	52.5	Under
2016	10/29	Texas	35	Baylor	34	Baylor -3.5	Texas	75.5	Under
2015	12/05	Baylor	17	Texas	23	Baylor -20.5	Texas	63.5	Under
2014	10/04	Texas	7	Baylor	28	Baylor -13	Baylor	0
2013	12/07	Baylor	30	Texas	10	Baylor -13	Baylor	0
2012	10/20	Texas	56	Baylor	50
2011	12/03	Baylor	48	Texas	24
2010	10/30	Texas	22	Baylor	30
2009	11/14	Baylor	14	Texas	47
2008	11/08	Texas	45	Baylor	21
2007	10/20	Baylor	10	Texas	31
2006	10/14	Texas	63	Baylor	31
2005	11/05	Baylor	0	Texas	62
2004	10/02	Texas	44	Baylor	14
2003	10/25	Baylor	0	Texas	56
2002	11/09	Texas	41	Baylor	0
2001	11/03	Baylor	10	Texas	49
2000	10/27	Texas	48	Baylor	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	6	5	1 Overs
Texas	18	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 5	4 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	5 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 4

(#) TEX at (#) BAY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	BAY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#75
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#13	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Injury Report

Baylor Injury Report

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	BAY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 52° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Texas 10.0 (52.5)
Texas won at Baylor this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Baylor in 2023 (38-6)
Texas beat Baylor in 2022 (38-27)

TEX's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BAY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD