Louisiana at New Mexico State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -8 (67.5) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 37 - Louisiana: 31 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.1 MPH
ULL 2nd straight Road Game
NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ ULL -8.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 33 - NMSU: 29 (62)
ULL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ULL Travel: 879 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisiana vs Boise State	+18.0	64.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/10	Louisiana vs McNeese	-4.5
Sat 9/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-3.5	53.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisiana at Tulane	+3.0	46.5	L 39 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisiana at New Mexico State	-8.0	67.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+10.5	50.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/22	Louisiana at Texas State	-11.5	65.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Louisiana vs Idaho	-7.5	56.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Thu 11/10	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	+10.5	45.0	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Louisiana at Georgia	+21.0	44.5	L 21 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+6.5	50.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-9.5	53.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+2.0	57.0	L 21 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico State at UTEP	+3.5	58.0	L 22 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+11.5	62.0	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+21.5	65.5	L 42 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico State at Troy	+17.5	66.0	L 6 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/1	New Mexico State vs Louisiana	+8.0	67.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	New Mexico State at Idaho	+3.0	67.5	L 23 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+14.0	64.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/29	New Mexico State at Texas A&M	+43.5	71.0	L 10 - 52	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	New Mexico State at Arkansas State	+20.5	63.0	L 22 - 41	U	Y
Sat 11/19	New Mexico State vs Texas State	-6.5	66.0	W 50 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	New Mexico State vs App State	+17.0	60.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 12/3	New Mexico State at South Alabama	+12.0	57.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.09	42%	23.6	45%	3.05	179	35%	178	3.06	.1	42%	25.3	37%	45%	3.16	55.5	1.3	1.4
NMSU	.11	41%	24.8	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	38.8	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	23.6	30.2	42.1%	3.06	1.3	20	356	179	178	4	57%	41%	45%	35%	17%	.09
NMSU Defense	12	38.8	26.2	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	25.3	24.2	42.2%	3.16	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	45%	16%	.1
NMSU Offense	12	24.8	29	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:41	19.6	37%	29%	7.2	55.5	1.3	1.4	6.2	1.9	1	28.9
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	57%	45%	45.1	178.9	4	21	.08	3.05	63%	12%	0.86
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.1	2.22	69%	11%	0.85
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	41%	35%	15.6	26.3	177.5	6.8	11.4	12	13	.11	1.6	32%	33%	.28	5%	1.6
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.5	34%	36%	.29	5%	1.7
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #98
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #117
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #75

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: New Mexico State: -6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -8.7 New Mexico State: -17.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -6.1 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.2 #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #102
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #120

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.2

Louisiana's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 33
New Mexico State 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 36
New Mexico State 32

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 30
New Mexico State 26

Total Points: 56

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

New Mexico State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/13	Louisiana	66	New Mexico State	38	Louisiana -7.5	Louisiana	66.5	Over
2017	11/18	Louisiana	47	New Mexico State	34	New Mexico State -3.5	Louisiana	65.0	Over
2016	10/01	New Mexico State	37	Louisiana	31	Louisiana -8	New Mexico State	67.5	Over
2015	11/21	Louisiana	34	New Mexico State	37	Louisiana -15.5	New Mexico State	62.0	Over
2014	11/08	New Mexico State	16	Louisiana	44	Louisiana -16.5	Louisiana	67.0	Under
2013	11/02	Louisiana	49	New Mexico State	35	Louisiana -27	New Mexico State	0
2004	10/09	New Mexico State	35	Louisiana	32
2003	10/16	Louisiana	26	New Mexico State	24
2002	10/12	New Mexico State	31	Louisiana	28
2001	11/17	Louisiana	46	New Mexico State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	5	3	4 Overs
Louisiana	5	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 3	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 7	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1

(#) ULL at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#122
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Louisiana 8.0 (67.5)
New Mexico State won vs Louisiana this year (37-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD