New Mexico State at Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -21.5 (65.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 62 - New Mexico State: 42

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (22 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10  (SP+ UK -15)
Projected Score: NMSU: 30 - UK: 35 (65)
UK Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1314 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 New Mexico State at UTEP+3.558.0L 22 - 38ON
Sat 9/10 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+11.562.0W 32 - 31OY
Sat 9/17 New Mexico State at Kentucky+21.565.5L 42 - 62OY
Sat 9/24 New Mexico State at Troy+17.566.0L 6 - 52UN
Sat 10/1 New Mexico State vs Louisiana+8.067.5W 37 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 New Mexico State at Idaho+3.067.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 10/22 New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern+14.064.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 10/29 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+43.571.0L 10 - 52UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 New Mexico State at Arkansas State+20.563.0L 22 - 41UY
Sat 11/19 New Mexico State vs Texas State-6.566.0W 50 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 New Mexico State vs App State+17.060.0L 7 - 37UN
Sat 12/3 New Mexico State at South Alabama+12.057.5L 28 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Kentucky vs Southern Miss-7.562.0L 35 - 44ON
Sat 9/10 Kentucky at Florida+16.548.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 9/17 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-21.565.5W 62 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Kentucky vs South Carolina-1.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/1 Kentucky at Alabama+32.554.5L 6 - 34UY
Sat 10/8 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-2.048.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Kentucky vs Mississippi State+1.554.5W 40 - 38OY
Sat 10/29 Kentucky at Missouri+4.569.0W 35 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 Kentucky vs Georgia+2.552.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Kentucky at Tennessee+10.558.0L 36 - 49ON
Sat 11/19 Kentucky vs Austin Peay-43.0
Sat 11/26 Kentucky at Louisville+26.070.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 12/31 Kentucky vs Georgia Tech+5.061.0L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1141%24.846%3.2817134%2443.17.2146%38.845%44%3.87501.81.8
UK.1943%3046%3.0823436%1863.68.2349%31.353%42%3.5245.82.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1224.821.940.6%3.171.8224151712444.546%52%46%34%19%.11
UK Defense1331.326.749.3%3.521.6 - - - - - 59%39%53%42%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1238.847.945.5%3.871.8 - - - - - 57%41%45%44%15%.21
UK Offense133035.342.9%3.682.2204202341865.459%39%46%36%16%.19

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1226:3422.234%54%6.3501.81.86.10.9128.8
Kentucky1329:512039%75%545.82.21.65.31.6229.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1246%46%37.8170.94.513.163.2870%11%1.01
UK Defense1359%53% - - - - .243.5381%9%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1257%45% - - - - .193.0874%11%1.04
UK Offense1359%46%43.1234.25.431.23.0874%11%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1252%34%21.138.3243.86.411.62215.071.736%34%.328%1.8
UK Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 13.241.730%40%.45%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 13.281.730%38%.335%1.8
UK Offense1339%36%13.124186.17.814.21712.191.933%30%.195%1.8

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.2  #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #102
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5  #120

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Kentucky: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -17.2   Kentucky: -2.6




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.9
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 47.9

New Mexico State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 35
New Mexico State 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 35
Kentucky 33

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 38
New Mexico State 26

Total Points: 64
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/20Kentucky56New Mexico State16Kentucky -35.5Kentucky61.0Over
201609/17Kentucky62New Mexico State42Kentucky -21.5New Mexico State65.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky212 Overs
New Mexico State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #122 #78
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #125 #33
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.051
Rematch from Week 3
Kentucky -21.5 (65.5)
Kentucky won vs New Mexico State this year (62-42)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD