New Mexico State at Idaho - 2016 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Idaho Vandals

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (5:00 PM EDT)
Idaho -3 (67.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Idaho 55 - New Mexico State: 23 (Sun Belt)

Aggies (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (22 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
NMSU coming off BYE
IDHO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ NMSU -17)
IDHO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%

Vandals (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 31 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
IDHO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico State at UTEP	+3.5	58.0	L 22 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+11.5	62.0	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+21.5	65.5	L 42 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico State at Troy	+17.5	66.0	L 6 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/1	New Mexico State vs Louisiana	+8.0	67.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	New Mexico State at Idaho	+3.0	67.5	L 23 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+14.0	64.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/29	New Mexico State at Texas A&M	+43.5	71.0	L 10 - 52	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	New Mexico State at Arkansas State	+20.5	63.0	L 22 - 41	U	Y
Sat 11/19	New Mexico State vs Texas State	-6.5	66.0	W 50 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	New Mexico State vs App State	+17.0	60.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 12/3	New Mexico State at South Alabama	+12.0	57.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Idaho's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Idaho vs Montana State	-7.0
Sat 9/10	Idaho at Washington	+35.0	60.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Idaho at Washington State	+27.5	69.0	L 6 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/24	Idaho at UNLV	+13.0	61.5	W 33 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Idaho vs Troy	+13.5	57.5	L 13 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/8	Idaho at UL Monroe	+3.0	57.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Idaho vs New Mexico State	-3.0	67.5	W 55 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Idaho at App State	+22.0	53.0	L 19 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Idaho at Louisiana	+7.5	56.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Idaho at Texas State	-8.0	62.0	W 47 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26	Idaho vs South Alabama	-2.5	53.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Idaho vs Georgia State	-7.0	53.5	W 37 - 12	U	Y
Thu 12/22	Idaho vs Colorado State	+13.0	65.0	W 61 - 50	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.11	41%	24.8	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	38.8	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8
IDHO		0%	30.8	0%	0	148	0%	249	0		0%	31.3	0%	0%	0	52.3	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8
IDHO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	24.8	21.9	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11
IDHO Defense	13	31.3	23.4	0%	0	2	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	38.8	47.9	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21
IDHO Offense	13	30.8	32.6	0%	0	1.3	22	397	148	249	3.9	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8
Idaho	13	32:04	21.6	40%	59%	5.6	52.3	1.3	2	5.2	1.8	3	100

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01
IDHO Defense	13	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04
IDHO Offense	13	0%	0%	37.6	148.1	3.9	24		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8
IDHO Defense	13	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8
IDHO Offense	13	0%	0%	20.4	33.2	249.2	7.5	12.2	19	11		0	0%	0%		0%	0

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.2 #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #102
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #120

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Idaho: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -17.2 Idaho:

Idaho's Power Ratings
Idaho's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Idaho's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Idaho's 2016 Expected Record: -
Idaho's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.9
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 47.9

New Mexico State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Idaho 36
New Mexico State 28

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Idaho 34
New Mexico State 31

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Idaho 38
New Mexico State 25

Total Points: 63

Idaho Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4

Idaho's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	11/25	New Mexico State	17	Idaho	10	New Mexico State -10	Idaho	56.5	Under
2016	10/15	Idaho	55	New Mexico State	23	Idaho -3	Idaho	67.5	Over
2015	10/31	New Mexico State	55	Idaho	48	Idaho -3	New Mexico State	69.5	Over
2014	10/18	Idaho	29	New Mexico State	17	Idaho -4	Idaho	0
2013	11/30	New Mexico State	24	Idaho	16	New Mexico State -4.5	New Mexico State	0
2012	10/06	Idaho	26	New Mexico State	18
2011	10/15	New Mexico State	31	Idaho	24
2010	10/23	Idaho	37	New Mexico State	14
2009	09/05	New Mexico State	6	Idaho	21
2008	10/25	Idaho	20	New Mexico State	14
2007	10/20	New Mexico State	45	Idaho	31
2006	10/07	Idaho	28	New Mexico State	20
2005	10/29	New Mexico State	37	Idaho	38
2003	10/04	New Mexico State	31	Idaho	35
2001	10/13	New Mexico State	46	Idaho	39
2000	11/10	Idaho	44	New Mexico State	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Idaho	10	3	2 Overs
New Mexico State	6	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 3	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 13	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

(#) NMSU at (#) IDHO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	IDHO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#125	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

Idaho Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	IDHO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	IDHO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	IDHO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Idaho on Offense


CategoryCat	IDHO Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Idaho Run Game


CategoryCat	IDHO Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Idaho Pass Game


CategoryCat	IDHO Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IDHO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kibbie Dome
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 55° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Idaho -3.0 (67.5)
Idaho won vs New Mexico State this year (55-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IDHO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Idaho's Full Roster

IDHO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD