New Mexico State at UTEP - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -3.5 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
UTEP 38 - New Mexico State: 22

Aggies (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (22 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 90.1° (37% Hum)
Our Line: -3 (SP+ UTEP -1)
Projected Score: NMSU: 27 - UTEP: 31 (58)
UTEP Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 38 miles

Miners (4 - 8) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 35 (28 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico State at UTEP	+3.5	58.0	L 22 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+11.5	62.0	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+21.5	65.5	L 42 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico State at Troy	+17.5	66.0	L 6 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/1	New Mexico State vs Louisiana	+8.0	67.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	New Mexico State at Idaho	+3.0	67.5	L 23 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+14.0	64.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/29	New Mexico State at Texas A&M	+43.5	71.0	L 10 - 52	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	New Mexico State at Arkansas State	+20.5	63.0	L 22 - 41	U	Y
Sat 11/19	New Mexico State vs Texas State	-6.5	66.0	W 50 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	New Mexico State vs App State	+17.0	60.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 12/3	New Mexico State at South Alabama	+12.0	57.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

UTEP's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	UTEP vs New Mexico State	-3.5	58.0	W 38 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/10	UTEP at Texas	+26.0	58.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/17	UTEP vs Army	+3.5	46.5	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/24	UTEP vs Southern Miss	+10.0	58.5	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	UTEP at Louisiana Tech	+21.0	57.5	L 7 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/8	UTEP vs Florida International	-2.5	49.5	L 21 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	UTEP at UTSA	+7.0	45.0	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/29	UTEP vs Old Dominion	+5.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	UTEP vs Houston Christian	-15.5
Sat 11/12	UTEP at Florida Atlantic	+2.0	54.5	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/19	UTEP at Rice	-1.5	55.5	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/26	UTEP vs North Texas	+3.0	52.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.11	41%	24.8	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	38.8	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8
UTEP	.13	40%	26.3	41%	3.07	186	39%	184	2.98	.26	49%	34.9	51%	46%	3.97	45.3	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8
UTEP	#121 (.07)	37% (124)		38% (118)	2.8 (106)	121	36% (117)	200	2.81 (132)	#46 (.13)	40% (42)		40% (42)	39% (46)	3.85 (78)	50.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	24.8	21.9	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11
UTEP Defense	12	34.9	31.7	49.4%	3.97	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	51%	46%	12%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	38.8	47.9	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21
UTEP Offense	12	26.3	27.9	40.1%	2.98	1.3	18	369	186	184	5.4	53%	47%	41%	39%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8
UTEP	12	30:10	18.2	41%	33%	5.6	45.3	1.3	0.9	3.8	1.2	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01
UTEP Defense	12	54%	51%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.49	76%	6%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04
UTEP Offense	12	53%	41%	34.1	185.5	5.4	20	.15	3.07	74%	11%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8
UTEP Defense	12	44%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.5	29%	35%	.24	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8
UTEP Offense	12	47%	39%	16.3	27.3	183.7	6.7	11.3	21	8	.11	1.6	32%	29%	.29	7%	1.9

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.2 #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #102
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #120

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: UTEP: -5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -17.2 UTEP: -16.1

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -5.55 NR
UTEP's Offense Rating: NR
UTEP's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTEP's 2016 Expected Record: -
UTEP's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #119
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.9
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 47.9

New Mexico State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UTEP 31
New Mexico State 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
UTEP 27
New Mexico State 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
UTEP 35
New Mexico State 28

Total Points: 63

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.7

UTEP's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	UTEP	31	New Mexico State	34	UTEP -4	New Mexico State	44.5	Over
2024	11/30	New Mexico State	35	UTEP	42	New Mexico State -3.5	UTEP	51.5	Over
2023	10/18	UTEP	7	New Mexico State	28	New Mexico State -3	New Mexico State	48.5	Under
2022	09/10	UTEP	20	New Mexico State	13	UTEP -17	New Mexico State	46.5	Under
2021	08/28	New Mexico State	3	UTEP	30	UTEP -9.5	UTEP	59.0	Under
2019	11/23	New Mexico State	44	UTEP	35	New Mexico State -8	New Mexico State	56.0	Over
2018	09/22	UTEP	20	New Mexico State	27	New Mexico State -4.5	New Mexico State	50.5	Under
2017	09/23	New Mexico State	41	UTEP	14	New Mexico State -17.5	New Mexico State	59.0	Under
2016	09/03	UTEP	38	New Mexico State	22	UTEP -3.5	UTEP	58.0	Over
2015	09/19	New Mexico State	47	UTEP	50	UTEP -4	New Mexico State	59.5	Over
2014	09/13	UTEP	42	New Mexico State	24	UTEP -11	UTEP	0
2013	09/14	New Mexico State	21	UTEP	42	UTEP -6.5	UTEP	0
2012	09/15	UTEP	41	New Mexico State	28
2011	09/17	New Mexico State	10	UTEP	16
2010	09/18	UTEP	42	New Mexico State	10
2009	09/19	New Mexico State	12	UTEP	38
2008	09/20	UTEP	33	New Mexico State	34
2007	09/15	New Mexico State	29	UTEP	24
2006	09/30	UTEP	44	New Mexico State	38
2005	09/03	New Mexico State	17	UTEP	34
2004	10/02	UTEP	45	New Mexico State	0
2002	10/05	New Mexico State	49	UTEP	14
2000	09/29	UTEP	41	New Mexico State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	15	5	5 Overs
New Mexico State	8	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	5 - 7	4 - 3	1 - 4
Road Teams	11 - 12	7 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 4

(#) NMSU at (#) UTEP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	UTEP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#119
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#125	#124
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

UTEP Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UTEP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 90° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 1
UTEP -3.5 (58.0)
UTEP won vs New Mexico State this year (38-22)

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat New Mexico State last year (42-35)
New Mexico State beat UTEP in 2023 (28-7)
UTEP beat New Mexico State in 2022 (20-13)

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UTEP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD