Miami at Virginia - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#18)Miami Hurricanes at Virginia Cavaliers(#14)

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (2:00 PM EST)
Miami -11 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami 34 - Virginia: 14 (ACC)

Hurricanes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (31 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UVA is playing their 5th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ MIAMI -22.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 32 - UVA: 25 (57)
MIAMI Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 840 miles

Cavaliers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (26 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIAMI Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami vs Florida A&M	-59.0
Sat 9/10	Miami vs Florida Atlantic	-23.0	63.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Miami at App State	-4.0	50.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Miami at Georgia Tech	-5.0	53.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Miami vs Florida State	-1.5	61.5	L 19 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami vs North Carolina	-7.0	67.0	L 13 - 20	U	N
Thu 10/20	Miami at Virginia Tech	+4.5	52.5	L 16 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/29	Miami at Notre Dame	+1.0	58.5	L 27 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/5	Miami vs Pittsburgh	-6.0	58.0	W 51 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Miami at Virginia	-11.0	55.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Miami at NC State	-2.5	52.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Miami vs Duke	-14.0	55.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Miami vs West Virginia	-1.5	58.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Virginia's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia vs Richmond	-14.0
Sat 9/10	Virginia at Oregon	+20.5	71.5	L 26 - 44	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Virginia at UConn	+6.5	47.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Virginia vs Central Michigan	+2.0	51.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Virginia at Duke	+5.0	60.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Virginia vs Pittsburgh	+5.0	60.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	Virginia vs North Carolina	+9.0	68.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/29	Virginia vs Louisville	+27.0	69.5	L 25 - 32	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia at Wake Forest	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia vs Miami	+11.0	55.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia at Georgia Tech	+10.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+18.5	53.5	L 10 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	.22	43%	34.3	38%	2.71	152	44%	274	3.68	.08	40%	18.5	39%	38%	2.63	67.4	0.8	1.5
UVA	.04	41%	22.5	43%	2.75	114	38%	239	3.21	.23	45%	33.8	40%	48%	3.45	57.9	2.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Offense	13	34.3	30.7	42.9%	3.68	0.8	20	426	152	274	4.5	46%	52%	38%	44%	14%	.22
UVA Defense	12	33.8	36.3	44.8%	3.45	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	40%	48%	16%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Defense	13	18.5	20.8	39.6%	2.63	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.08
UVA Offense	12	22.5	25.5	40.6%	3.21	2.2	20	353	114	239	3.6	40%	60%	43%	38%	17%	.04

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami	13	27:58	20	36%	46%	7.3	67.4	0.8	1.5	8.2	2.7	1	31.8
Virginia	12	29:00	19.8	34%	52%	6.3	57.9	2.2	1.1	5.5	2	0	31.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense	13	46%	38%	33.5	151.8	4.5	24	.09	2.71	72%	9%	1.04
UVA Defense	12	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.86	73%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.49	63%	14%	0.99
UVA Offense	12	40%	43%	32	113.6	3.6	13	.06	2.75	68%	10%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense	13	52%	44%	20.2	32.8	274.2	8.4	13.6	27	7	.34	1.6	33%	33%	.36	5%	2
UVA Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.44	1.7	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.5	37%	32%	.21	6%	1.7
UVA Offense	12	60%	38%	22.2	40.6	239.3	5.9	10.8	23	16	.03	1.4	34%	26%	.05	7%	1.8

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #12
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #42
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #10

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: Virginia: 0.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 18.6 Virginia: -3.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 0.6 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #83
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #88
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Miami Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Miami's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 32
Virginia 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 30
Virginia 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Miami 34
Virginia 22

Total Points: 56

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.3

Virginia's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Miami	29	Virginia	26	Miami -18.5	Virginia	48.0	Over
2022	10/29	Virginia	12	Miami	14	Miami -3	Virginia	48.5	Under
2021	09/30	Miami	28	Virginia	30	Miami -3.5	Virginia	63.5	Under
2020	10/24	Miami	19	Virginia	14	Miami -13.5	Virginia	54.5	Under
2019	10/11	Miami	17	Virginia	9	Miami -2.5	Miami	44.5	Under
2018	10/13	Virginia	16	Miami	13	Miami -7	Virginia	46.5	Under
2017	11/18	Miami	44	Virginia	28	Miami -20	Virginia	50.5	Over
2016	11/12	Virginia	14	Miami	34	Miami -11	Miami	55.5	Under
2015	11/07	Miami	27	Virginia	21	Miami -7.5	Virginia	53.0	Under
2014	11/22	Virginia	30	Miami	13	Miami -7	Virginia	0
2013	11/23	Miami	45	Virginia	26	Miami -19.5	Virginia	0
2012	11/10	Virginia	41	Miami	40
2011	10/27	Miami	21	Virginia	28
2010	10/30	Virginia	24	Miami	19
2009	11/07	Miami	52	Virginia	17
2008	11/01	Virginia	17	Miami	24
2007	11/10	Miami	0	Virginia	48
2006	11/18	Virginia	17	Miami	7
2005	11/26	Miami	25	Virginia	17
2004	11/13	Virginia	21	Miami	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	8	9	2 Overs
Miami	12	2	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	4 - 7	1 - 6	3 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 13	7 - 4	1 - 3	6 - 1

(#) MIAMI at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIAMI	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#83
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#19	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	MIAMI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 50°

Rematch from Week 11
Miami 11.0 (55.5)
Miami won at Virginia this year (34-14)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia in 2023 (29-26)
Miami beat Virginia in 2022 (14-12)

MIAMI's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD