North Carolina at Miami - 2016 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes(#2)

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami -7 (67.0) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 20 - Miami: 13 (ACC)

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (33 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MIAMI -3)
Projected Score: UNC: 25 - MIAMI: 31 (56)
MIAMI Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 691 miles

Hurricanes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Carolina vs Georgia	+3.5	60.0	L 24 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Illinois	-7.0	59.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/17	North Carolina vs James Madison	-24.5
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	67.0	W 37 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina at Florida State	+12.0	72.5	W 37 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Miami	+7.0	67.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	North Carolina at Virginia	-9.0	68.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-9.5	63.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/10	North Carolina at Duke	-10.5	66.5	L 27 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs The Citadel	-24.0
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-10.0	63.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/30	North Carolina vs Stanford	+2.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Miami's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami vs Florida A&M	-59.0
Sat 9/10	Miami vs Florida Atlantic	-23.0	63.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Miami at App State	-4.0	50.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Miami at Georgia Tech	-5.0	53.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Miami vs Florida State	-1.5	61.5	L 19 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami vs North Carolina	-7.0	67.0	L 13 - 20	U	N
Thu 10/20	Miami at Virginia Tech	+4.5	52.5	L 16 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/29	Miami at Notre Dame	+1.0	58.5	L 27 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/5	Miami vs Pittsburgh	-6.0	58.0	W 51 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Miami at Virginia	-11.0	55.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Miami at NC State	-2.5	52.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Miami vs Duke	-14.0	55.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Miami vs West Virginia	-1.5	58.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.29	46%	32.3	45%	2.89	146	46%	293	4.13	.17	45%	24.9	47%	42%	3	61.3	1.2	0.8
MIAMI	.22	43%	34.3	38%	2.71	152	44%	274	3.68	.08	40%	18.5	39%	38%	2.63	67.4	0.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	13	32.3	33.4	46.3%	4.13	1.2	22	439	146	293	4.7	43%	55%	45%	46%	17%	.29
MIAMI Defense	13	18.5	17	39.6%	2.63	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	13	24.9	22.6	45.5%	3	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	62%	37%	47%	42%	14%	.17
MIAMI Offense	13	34.3	38.5	42.9%	3.68	0.8	20	426	152	274	4.5	46%	52%	38%	44%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	13	24:23	21.7	45%	40%	7.6	61.3	1.2	0.8	5.2	1.9	3	30.2
Miami	13	27:58	20	36%	46%	7.3	67.4	0.8	1.5	8.2	2.7	1	31.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	13	43%	45%	30.8	145.8	4.7	21	.12	2.89	64%	11%	1.01
MIAMI Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.49	63%	14%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	13	62%	47%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.09	68%	10%	0.84
MIAMI Offense	13	46%	38%	33.5	151.8	4.5	24	.09	2.71	72%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	13	55%	46%	24.1	35.2	293.2	8.3	12.2	30	6	.45	1.7	33%	41%	.57	6%	2
MIAMI Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.5	37%	32%	.21	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	13	37%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	.21	1.5	29%	35%	.22	5%	1.5
MIAMI Offense	13	52%	44%	20.2	32.8	274.2	8.4	13.6	27	7	.34	1.6	33%	33%	.36	5%	2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Miami: 11.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 15.9 Miami: 18.6

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 11.8 NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami's 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #12
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #42
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #10

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.4
Defense: 24.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

North Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 31
North Carolina 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 33
North Carolina 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Miami 30
North Carolina 25

Total Points: 55

Miami Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	North Carolina	41	Miami	31	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	57.5	Over
2022	10/08	Miami	24	North Carolina	27	Miami -4	North Carolina	67.5	Under
2021	10/16	North Carolina	45	Miami	42	North Carolina -7.5	Miami	63.5	Over
2020	12/12	Miami	26	North Carolina	62	Miami -3.0	North Carolina	72.5	Over
2019	09/07	North Carolina	28	Miami	25	Miami -5	North Carolina	46.0	Over
2018	09/27	Miami	47	North Carolina	10	Miami -17.5	Miami	56.0	Over
2017	10/28	North Carolina	19	Miami	24	Miami -21	North Carolina	56.0	Under
2016	10/15	Miami	13	North Carolina	20	Miami -7	North Carolina	67.0	Under
2015	11/14	North Carolina	59	Miami	21	North Carolina -12.5	North Carolina	68.5	Over
2014	11/01	Miami	47	North Carolina	20	Miami -11	Miami	0
2013	10/17	North Carolina	23	Miami	27	Miami -7.5	North Carolina	0
2012	10/13	Miami	14	North Carolina	18
2011	10/15	North Carolina	24	Miami	30
2010	10/23	Miami	33	North Carolina	10
2009	11/14	North Carolina	33	Miami	24
2008	09/27	Miami	24	North Carolina	28
2007	10/06	North Carolina	33	Miami	27
2006	10/07	Miami	27	North Carolina	7
2005	10/29	Miami	34	North Carolina	16
2004	10/30	North Carolina	31	Miami	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	8	3	6 Overs
North Carolina	12	8	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 8	7 - 4	4 - 4	3 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 12	4 - 7	0 - 3	4 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#12
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#29	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80°( - Hum: 82%)
- Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Miami -7.0 (67.0)
North Carolina won at Miami this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Miami in 2023 (41-31)
North Carolina beat Miami in 2022 (27-24)

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIAMI's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD