Virginia at Oregon - 2016 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Oregon Ducks(#6)Oregon logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -20.5 (71.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 44 - Virginia: 26

 
Cavaliers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (20 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ ORE -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 31 - ORE: 39 (70)
ORE Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UVA Travel: 2330 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 41 (40 - 42 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs Richmond-14.0
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Oregon+20.571.5L 26 - 44UY
Sat 9/17 Virginia at UConn+6.547.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/24 Virginia vs Central Michigan+2.051.5W 49 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Virginia at Duke+5.060.5W 34 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Virginia vs Pittsburgh+5.060.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 10/22 Virginia vs North Carolina+9.068.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 10/29 Virginia vs Louisville+27.069.5L 25 - 32UY
Sat 11/5 Virginia at Wake Forest+2.545.0L 20 - 27ON
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Miami+11.055.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/19 Virginia at Georgia Tech+10.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 Virginia at Virginia Tech+18.553.5L 10 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Oregon's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Oregon vs UC Davis-47.0
Sat 9/10 Oregon vs Virginia-20.571.5W 44 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Oregon at Nebraska+3.072.5L 32 - 35UY
Sat 9/24 Oregon vs Colorado-11.069.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/1 Oregon at Washington State-1.074.5L 33 - 51ON
Sat 10/8 Oregon vs Washington+6.567.0L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Oregon at California+3.090.0L 49 - 52OY
Sat 10/29 Oregon vs Arizona State-7.572.5W 54 - 35OY
Sat 11/5 Oregon at USC+14.076.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Oregon vs Stanford+1.057.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Oregon at Utah+10.569.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon at Oregon State-3.069.0L 24 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0441%22.543%2.7511438%2393.21.2345%33.840%48%3.4557.92.21.1
ORE.2946%35.447%3.1222644%2653.82.3152%41.454%49%4.5675.81.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.519.540.6%3.212.2203531142393.640%60%43%38%17%.04
ORE Defense1241.44251.8%4.561 - - - - - 49%50%54%49%13%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1233.831.244.8%3.451.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%48%16%.23
ORE Offense1235.439.546.1%3.821.3234922262655.552%47%47%44%17%.29

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1229:0019.834%52%6.357.92.21.15.52031.2
Oregon1225:4423.339%62%8.375.81.315.32.2130.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1240%43%32113.63.613.062.7568%10%0.93
ORE Defense1249%54% - - - - .283.4879%7%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1253%40% - - - - .072.8673%10%0.96
ORE Offense1252%47%41.1226.45.529.173.1279%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1260%38%22.240.6239.35.910.82316.031.434%26%.057%1.8
ORE Defense1250%49% - - - - - - 9.351.427%39%.516%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 9.441.732%34%.426%2.2
ORE Offense1247%44%21.433.3265.3812.4286.431.931%34%.486%2.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8  #83
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #88
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Oregon: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -3.8   Oregon: 6.1




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5  #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Virginia's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 39
Virginia 31

Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 42
Virginia 31

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 35
Virginia 31

Total Points: 66
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 41.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Oregon44Virginia26Oregon -20.5Virginia71.5Under
201309/07Virginia10Oregon59Oregon -23.5Oregon0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon210 Overs
Virginia011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) UVA at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #42 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #88 #105
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Oregon -20.5 (71.5)
Oregon won vs Virginia this year (44-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UVA's OC ()
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UVA's DC ()
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ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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ORE's DC ()
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