Virginia at Oregon - 2016 Matchup Preview

Virginia Cavaliers at Oregon Ducks

Saturday, September 10th 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -20.5 (71.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon 44 - Virginia: 26

Cavaliers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ ORE -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 23 - ORE: 31 (54)
ORE Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UVA Travel: 2330 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia vs Richmond	-14.0
Sat 9/10	Virginia at Oregon	+20.5	71.5	L 26 - 44	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Virginia at UConn	+6.5	47.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Virginia vs Central Michigan	+2.0	51.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Virginia at Duke	+5.0	60.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Virginia vs Pittsburgh	+5.0	60.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	Virginia vs North Carolina	+9.0	68.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/29	Virginia vs Louisville	+27.0	69.5	L 25 - 32	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia at Wake Forest	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia vs Miami	+11.0	55.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia at Georgia Tech	+10.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+18.5	53.5	L 10 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Oregon's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon vs UC Davis	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Oregon vs Virginia	-20.5	71.5	W 44 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Oregon at Nebraska	+3.0	72.5	L 32 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon vs Colorado	-11.0	69.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Oregon at Washington State	-1.0	74.5	L 33 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon vs Washington	+6.5	67.0	L 21 - 70	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	Oregon at California	+3.0	90.0	L 49 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oregon vs Arizona State	-7.5	72.5	W 54 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Oregon at USC	+14.0	76.5	L 20 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/12	Oregon vs Stanford	+1.0	57.5	L 27 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/19	Oregon at Utah	+10.5	69.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon at Oregon State	-3.0	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.15	42%	30.8	40%	2.71	145	42%	238	3.48	.19	46%	19.6	47%	42%	3.71	63.8	2	1.3
ORE	.28	49%	36.9	50%	3.35	280	46%	258	3.95	.21	46%	17.9	48%	43%	3.95	61	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	12	30.8	28.6	42.1%	3.48	2	20	383	145	238	4.1	48%	50%	40%	42%	3%	.15
ORE Defense	13	17.9	16.8	46.3%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	48%	43%	2%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	12	19.6	23.2	45.9%	3.71	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	49%	47%	42%	2%	.19
ORE Offense	13	36.9	43.1	49.2%	3.95	1.3	26	538	280	258	5.9	57%	41%	50%	46%	2%	.28

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	12	32:41	20.3	42%	53%	7.6	63.8	2	1.3	0	0	1	26.2
Oregon	13	27:15	25.7	39%	57%	6.9	61	1.3	1.7	0	0	3	30.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	12	48%	40%	35.3	144.8	4.1	13	.05	2.71	65%	0%	0.9
ORE Defense	13	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.94	75%	0%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	12	48%	47%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.71	76%	0%	0.94
ORE Offense	13	57%	50%	47.5	279.9	5.9	34	.28	3.35	66%	0%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	12	50%	42%	21	34.4	238.3	6.9	11.4	21	18	.27	1.7	34%	32%	.31	3%	2
ORE Defense	13	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.5	31%	38%	.35	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.32	1.7	30%	40%	.42	2%	1.8
ORE Offense	13	41%	46%	18.2	28.8	258.3	9	14.2	33	10	.33	1.7	30%	39%	.38	2%	1.9

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #83
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #88
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: Oregon: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -3.8 Oregon: 6.1

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 31
Virginia 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/10	Oregon	44	Virginia	26	Oregon -20.5	Virginia	71.5	Under
2013	09/07	Virginia	10	Oregon	59	Oregon -23.5	Oregon	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	2	1	0 Overs
Virginia	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UVA at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#55
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#42	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#105
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Oregon -20.5 (71.5)
Oregon won vs Virginia this year (44-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD