Colorado at Oregon - 2016 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at Oregon Ducks(#6)Oregon logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (5:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -11 (69.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Colorado 41 - Oregon: 38  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (10 - 4) (9 - 3 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
COLO 2nd straight Road Game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ COLO -0)
Projected Score: COLO: 34 - ORE: 36 (70)
ORE Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 953 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 41 (40 - 42 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Colorado vs Colorado State-10.056.0W 44 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Colorado vs Idaho State-41.5
Sat 9/17 Colorado at Michigan+20.055.5L 28 - 45OY
Sat 9/24 Colorado at Oregon+11.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/1 Colorado vs Oregon State-16.056.0W 47 - 6UY
Sat 10/8 Colorado at USC+4.062.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/15 Colorado vs Arizona State-8.063.0W 40 - 16UY
Sat 10/22 Colorado at Stanford+3.550.0W 10 - 5UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/3 Colorado vs UCLA-10.056.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 Colorado at Arizona-16.561.0W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Colorado vs Washington State-6.060.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 11/26 Colorado vs Utah-11.053.5W 27 - 22UN
Fri 12/2 Colorado vs Washington+6.055.5L 10 - 41UN
Thu 12/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-2.064.0L 8 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Oregon's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Oregon vs UC Davis-47.0
Sat 9/10 Oregon vs Virginia-20.571.5W 44 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Oregon at Nebraska+3.072.5L 32 - 35UY
Sat 9/24 Oregon vs Colorado-11.069.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/1 Oregon at Washington State-1.074.5L 33 - 51ON
Sat 10/8 Oregon vs Washington+6.567.0L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Oregon at California+3.090.0L 49 - 52OY
Sat 10/29 Oregon vs Arizona State-7.572.5W 54 - 35OY
Sat 11/5 Oregon at USC+14.076.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Oregon vs Stanford+1.057.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Oregon at Utah+10.569.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon at Oregon State-3.069.0L 24 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO.1744%31.144%3.0218342%2553.48.0438%21.740%34%2.7447.21.41.9
ORE.2946%35.447%3.1222644%2653.82.3152%41.454%49%4.5675.81.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1431.12944.1%3.481.423437183255452%46%44%42%14%.17
ORE Defense1241.44251.8%4.561 - - - - - 49%50%54%49%13%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1421.726.638.2%2.741.9 - - - - - 46%52%40%34%18%.04
ORE Offense1235.439.546.1%3.821.3234922262655.552%47%47%44%17%.29

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1430:5523.344%42%5.447.21.41.94.92.6228.8
Oregon1225:4423.339%62%8.375.81.315.32.2130.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1452%44%45.4182.6430.123.0271%9%0.88
ORE Defense1249%54% - - - - .283.4879%7%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1446%40% - - - - .043.0972%9%0.74
ORE Offense1252%47%41.1226.45.529.173.1279%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1446%42%20.633.5254.57.612.32111.261.631%35%.315%1.6
ORE Defense1250%49% - - - - - - 9.351.427%39%.516%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1452%34% - - - - - - 15.061.735%28%.099%1.7
ORE Offense1247%44%21.433.3265.3812.4286.431.931%34%.486%2.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #53
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #65
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado:    Oregon: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 6.3   Oregon: 6.1




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5  #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Colorado's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 2
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 36
Colorado 34

Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 41
Colorado 32

Total Points: 73

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 36
Oregon 31

Total Points: 67
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 41.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Oregon42Colorado6Oregon -21Oregon70.0Under
202211/05Colorado10Oregon49Oregon -31Oregon62.5Under
202110/30Oregon52Colorado29Oregon -24.5Colorado49.0Over
201910/11Oregon45Colorado3Oregon -22.5Oregon61.5Under
201609/24Oregon38Colorado41Oregon -11Colorado69.5Over
201510/03Colorado24Oregon41Oregon -12Oregon68.5Under
201411/22Oregon44Colorado10Oregon -34Push0
201310/05Colorado16Oregon57Oregon -36.5Oregon0
201210/27Oregon70Colorado14
201110/22Colorado2Oregon45
200101/01Oregon38Colorado16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1052 Overs
Colorado124 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 52 - 52 - 20 - 3
Road Teams5 - 65 - 23 - 02 - 2

(#) COLO at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #62 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
COLO OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #105
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffCOLO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Oregon -11.0 (69.5)
Colorado won at Oregon this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Colorado in 2023 (42-6)
Oregon beat Colorado in 2022 (49-10)

  
COLO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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COLO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD