Oregon at California - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears

California logo
Friday, October 21st 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
California -3 (90.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 52 - Oregon: 49  (Pac-12)

 
Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE coming off BYE
CAL coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ ORE -3.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 30 - CAL: 22 (52)
CAL Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ORE Travel: 430 miles
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Oregon vs UC Davis-47.0
Sat 9/10 Oregon vs Virginia-20.571.5W 44 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Oregon at Nebraska+3.072.5L 32 - 35UY
Sat 9/24 Oregon vs Colorado-11.069.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/1 Oregon at Washington State-1.074.5L 33 - 51ON
Sat 10/8 Oregon vs Washington+6.567.0L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Oregon at California+3.090.0L 49 - 52OY
Sat 10/29 Oregon vs Arizona State-7.572.5W 54 - 35OY
Sat 11/5 Oregon at USC+14.076.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Oregon vs Stanford+1.057.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Oregon at Utah+10.569.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon at Oregon State-3.069.0L 24 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
California's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/26 California vs Hawai'i-23.066.0W 51 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 California at San Diego State+7.059.5L 40 - 45OY
Sat 9/17 California vs Texas+6.079.5W 50 - 43OY
Sat 9/24 California at Arizona State+6.585.0L 41 - 51ON
Sat 10/1 California vs Utah-2.064.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 10/8 California at Oregon State-10.070.0L 44 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 California vs Oregon-3.090.0W 52 - 49ON
Thu 10/27 California at USC+14.573.0L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/5 California vs Washington+17.073.5L 27 - 66ON
Sat 11/12 California at Washington State+16.578.0L 21 - 56UN
Sat 11/19 California vs Stanford+11.060.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/26 California vs UCLA+5.570.5W 36 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE.2849%36.950%3.3528046%2583.95.2146%17.948%43%3.95611.31.7
CAL.2951%25.350%3.0115351%3763.94.2147%27.247%44%3.743.71.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1336.932.849.2%3.951.3265382802585.957%41%50%46%2%.28
CAL Defense1327.224.347%3.72.2 - - - - - 55%43%47%44%3%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1317.915.646.3%3.951.7 - - - - - 42%56%48%43%2%.21
CAL Offense1325.327.251.4%3.941.8265291533764.539%59%50%51%2%.29

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1327:1525.739%57%6.9611.31.700330.6
California1329:0826.247%50%5.243.71.82.200229
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1357%50%47.5279.95.934.283.3566%0%1.09
CAL Defense1355%47% - - - - .173.2276%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1342%48% - - - - .182.9475%0%1
CAL Offense1339%50%33.8152.84.516.093.0172%0%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1341%46%18.228.8258.3914.23310.331.730%39%.382%1.9
CAL Defense1343%44% - - - - - - 16.271.629%34%.253%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 13.251.531%38%.352%1.7
CAL Offense1359%51%27.142.3376.38.913.94414.441.629%47%.62%1.8

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5  #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon:    California: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 6.1   California: 2.4




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2016 Expected Record: -
California's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4  #62
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #22
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 30
California 22

Projected Total Points: 52
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Oregon63California19Oregon -26.5Oregon61.5Over
202210/29California24Oregon42Oregon -16.5Oregon56.5Over
202110/15Oregon24California17Oregon -13.5California53.5Under
202012/05California21Oregon17Oregon -9.5California59.0Under
201910/05Oregon17California7Oregon -21.5California46.5Under
201809/29California24Oregon42Oregon -2Oregon58.5Over
201709/30Oregon45California24Oregon -17Oregon66.5Over
201610/21California52Oregon49California -3Push90.0Over
201511/07Oregon44California28Oregon -7.5Oregon75.5Under
201410/24California41Oregon59Oregon -16Oregon0
201309/28Oregon55California16Oregon -33Oregon0
201211/10California17Oregon59
201110/06Oregon43California15
201011/13California13Oregon15
200909/26Oregon42California3
200811/01California26Oregon16
200709/29Oregon24California31
200610/07California45Oregon24
200511/05Oregon27California20
200411/06California28Oregon27
200311/08Oregon21California17
200110/13California7Oregon48
200011/10Oregon25California17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California635 Overs
Oregon1774 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 75 - 54 - 21 - 3
Road Teams7 - 165 - 53 - 12 - 4

(#) ORE at (#) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORECAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #21 #47
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCat
ORE OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCatCAL OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #105
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCatCAL OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
California -3.0 (90.0)
California won vs Oregon this year (52-49)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat California in 2023 (63-19)

  
ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CAL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD