Stanford at Oregon - 2016 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at Oregon Ducks(#9)Oregon logo
Saturday, November 12th 2016 (4:00 PM EST)
Stanford -1 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Stanford 52 - Oregon: 27  (Pac-12)

 
Cardinal (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
STAN is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ STAN -10.5)

Projected Score: STAN: 36 - ORE: 27 (63)
STAN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
STAN Travel: 460 miles
Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 41 (40 - 42 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stanford's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Stanford vs Kansas State-16.549.0W 26 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Stanford vs USC-6.548.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Stanford at UCLA-2.547.0W 22 - 13UY
Fri 9/30 Stanford at Washington+3.546.5L 6 - 44ON
Sat 10/8 Stanford vs Washington State-12.556.5L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/15 Stanford at Notre Dame+3.553.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Stanford vs Colorado-3.550.0L 5 - 10UN
Sat 10/29 Stanford at Arizona+3.049.5W 34 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Stanford vs Oregon State-16.542.5W 26 - 15UN
Sat 11/12 Stanford at Oregon-1.057.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 11/19 Stanford at California-11.060.5W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Stanford vs Rice-33.050.5W 41 - 17ON
Fri 12/30 Stanford vs North Carolina-2.555.0W 25 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Oregon's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Oregon vs UC Davis-47.0
Sat 9/10 Oregon vs Virginia-20.571.5W 44 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Oregon at Nebraska+3.072.5L 32 - 35UY
Sat 9/24 Oregon vs Colorado-11.069.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/1 Oregon at Washington State-1.074.5L 33 - 51ON
Sat 10/8 Oregon vs Washington+6.567.0L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Oregon at California+3.090.0L 49 - 52OY
Sat 10/29 Oregon vs Arizona State-7.572.5W 54 - 35OY
Sat 11/5 Oregon at USC+14.076.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Oregon vs Stanford+1.057.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Oregon at Utah+10.569.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon at Oregon State-3.069.0L 24 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN.1744%26.344%3.220940%1582.65.1542%20.444%38%3.42541.41.5
ORE.2946%35.447%3.1222644%2653.82.3152%41.454%49%4.5675.81.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1326.329.344%2.651.4183672091585.258%39%44%40%16%.17
ORE Defense1241.44251.8%4.561 - - - - - 49%50%54%49%13%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1320.422.541.7%3.421.5 - - - - - 44%54%44%38%17%.15
ORE Offense1235.439.546.1%3.821.3234922262655.552%47%47%44%17%.29

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1332:4618.142%50%6.5541.41.55.62.8334.3
Oregon1225:4423.339%62%8.375.81.315.32.2130.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1358%44%40.2209.25.220.23.273%11%1.03
ORE Defense1249%54% - - - - .283.4879%7%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1344%44% - - - - .133.1378%10%0.87
ORE Offense1252%47%41.1226.45.529.173.1279%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1339%40%13.823.4158.26.811.5159.131.632%36%.315%1.7
ORE Defense1250%49% - - - - - - 9.351.427%39%.516%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1354%38% - - - - - - 14.21.736%34%.327%1.9
ORE Offense1247%44%21.433.3265.3812.4286.431.931%34%.486%2.3

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2016 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4  #13
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #53
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford:    Oregon: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: 16.4   Oregon: 6.1




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5  #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Stanford's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Stanford 36
Oregon 27


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Stanford 37
Oregon 24

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Stanford 35
Oregon 30

Total Points: 65
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 41.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Stanford6Oregon42Oregon -27Oregon59.5Under
202210/01Oregon45Stanford27Oregon -17Oregon63.0Over
202110/02Stanford31Oregon24Oregon -8.5Stanford57.5Under
202011/07Oregon35Stanford14Oregon -12Oregon49.0Push
201909/21Stanford6Oregon21Oregon -13Oregon55.5Under
201809/22Oregon31Stanford38Stanford -2.5Stanford59.0Over
201710/14Stanford49Oregon7Stanford -10Stanford57.0Under
201611/12Oregon27Stanford52Stanford -1Stanford57.5Over
201511/14Stanford36Oregon38Stanford -8.5Oregon65.5Over
201411/01Oregon45Stanford16Oregon -12.5Oregon0
201311/07Stanford26Oregon20Oregon -9.5Stanford0
201211/17Oregon14Stanford17
201111/12Stanford30Oregon53
201010/02Oregon52Stanford31
200911/07Stanford51Oregon42
200811/08Oregon35Stanford28
200709/22Stanford31Oregon55
200609/02Oregon48Stanford10
200510/01Stanford20Oregon44
200410/23Stanford13Oregon16
200310/25Oregon35Stanford0
200211/02Oregon41Stanford14
200110/20Oregon42Stanford49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1564 Overs
Stanford854 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 125 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#) STAN at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #17 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCat
STAN OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #105
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffSTAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Stanford 1.0 (57.5)
Stanford won at Oregon this year (52-27)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Stanford in 2023 (42-6)
Oregon beat Stanford in 2022 (45-27)

  
STAN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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STAN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD