Washington at Oregon - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Washington -6.5 (67.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 70 - Oregon: 21 (Pac-12)

Huskies (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (49 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORE is playing their 6th straight game
WASH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ WASH -20.5)
Projected Score: WASH: 41 - ORE: 29 (70)
WASH Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WASH Travel: 251 miles

Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 41 (40 - 42 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Washington vs Rutgers	-22.5	56.5	W 48 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Washington vs Idaho	-35.0	60.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Washington vs Portland State	-41.5
Sat 9/24	Washington at Arizona	-10.0	58.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Fri 9/30	Washington vs Stanford	-3.5	46.5	W 44 - 6	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Washington at Oregon	-6.5	67.0	W 70 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Washington vs Oregon State	-31.5	53.0	W 41 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/29	Washington at Utah	-11.5	52.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/5	Washington at California	-17.0	73.5	W 66 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Washington vs USC	-10.0	59.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/19	Washington vs Arizona State	-26.0	62.5	W 44 - 18	U	N
Fri 11/25	Washington at Washington State	-6.0	62.0	W 45 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/2	Washington vs Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Washington vs Alabama	+14.0	51.0	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Oregon's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon vs UC Davis	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Oregon vs Virginia	-20.5	71.5	W 44 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Oregon at Nebraska	+3.0	72.5	L 32 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon vs Colorado	-11.0	69.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Oregon at Washington State	-1.0	74.5	L 33 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon vs Washington	+6.5	67.0	L 21 - 70	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	Oregon at California	+3.0	90.0	L 49 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oregon vs Arizona State	-7.5	72.5	W 54 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Oregon at USC	+14.0	76.5	L 20 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/12	Oregon vs Stanford	+1.0	57.5	L 27 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/19	Oregon at Utah	+10.5	69.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon at Oregon State	-3.0	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.35	52%	41.8	53%	3.36	198	50%	259	4.38	.02	36%	17.7	36%	34%	2.91	44.9	1.1	2.4
ORE	.29	46%	35.4	47%	3.12	226	44%	265	3.82	.31	52%	41.4	54%	49%	4.56	75.8	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2
ORE	#7 (.33)	51% (5)		51% (11)	3.5 (8)	160	50% (6)	258	4.68 (10)	#33 (.11)	38% (18)		42% (64)	34% (2)	3.68 (59)	40.5	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	14	41.8	49.4	52.5%	4.38	1.1	22	457	198	259	5.2	47%	51%	53%	50%	14%	.35
ORE Defense	12	41.4	42	51.8%	4.56	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	54%	49%	13%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	14	17.7	23.4	36.1%	2.91	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	36%	34%	18%	.02
ORE Offense	12	35.4	39.5	46.1%	3.82	1.3	23	492	226	265	5.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	17%	.29

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	14	31:01	22.4	44%	50%	5.1	44.9	1.1	2.4	6.5	2.9	6	30.6
Oregon	12	25:44	23.3	39%	62%	8.3	75.8	1.3	1	5.3	2.2	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	14	47%	53%	37.8	198.1	5.2	24	.27	3.36	77%	9%	0.94
ORE Defense	12	49%	54%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.48	79%	7%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	14	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.66	55%	12%	1.02
ORE Offense	12	52%	47%	41.1	226.4	5.5	29	.17	3.12	79%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	14	51%	50%	18.1	29.1	258.8	8.9	14.3	47	9	.44	1.6	27%	38%	.38	6%	1.9
ORE Defense	12	50%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.35	1.4	27%	39%	.51	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	14	49%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.05	1.6	34%	32%	.21	6%	1.8
ORE Offense	12	47%	44%	21.4	33.3	265.3	8	12.4	28	6	.43	1.9	31%	34%	.48	6%	2.3

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: NR
Washington's Offense Rating: NR
Washington's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Washington's 2016 Expected Record: -
Washington's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #12
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: Oregon: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 26.7 Oregon: 6.1

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington Scoring
Offense: 41.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 49.4
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.4

Washington's 2016 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 41
Oregon 29

Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 38
Oregon 30

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Washington 44
Oregon 29

Total Points: 73

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 41.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Washington	14	Oregon	26	Oregon -6.5	Oregon	51.5	Under
2024	11/30	Oregon	49	Washington	21	Oregon -17.5	Oregon	50.5	Over
2023	10/14	Washington	36	Oregon	33	Washington -3	Push	67.0	Over
2023	12/01	Washington	34	Oregon	31	Oregon -9	Washington	67.0	Under
2022	11/12	Oregon	34	Washington	37	Oregon -12	Washington	73.0	Under
2021	11/06	Washington	16	Oregon	26	Oregon -7	Oregon	48.0	Under
2019	10/19	Washington	31	Oregon	35	Oregon -3	Oregon	48.0	Over
2018	10/13	Oregon	30	Washington	27	Washington -3.5	Oregon	59.0	Under
2017	11/04	Washington	38	Oregon	3	Washington -17.5	Washington	53.0	Under
2016	10/08	Oregon	21	Washington	70	Washington -6.5	Washington	67.0	Over
2015	10/17	Washington	20	Oregon	26	Washington -3	Oregon	58.5	Under
2014	10/18	Oregon	45	Washington	20	Oregon -19	Oregon	0
2013	10/12	Washington	24	Oregon	45	Oregon -10.5	Oregon	0
2012	10/06	Oregon	52	Washington	21
2011	11/05	Washington	17	Oregon	34
2010	11/06	Oregon	53	Washington	16
2009	10/24	Washington	19	Oregon	43
2008	08/30	Oregon	44	Washington	10
2007	10/20	Washington	34	Oregon	55
2006	11/04	Oregon	34	Washington	14
2005	10/15	Oregon	45	Washington	21
2004	10/30	Oregon	31	Washington	6
2003	11/01	Washington	42	Oregon	10
2000	09/29	Oregon	23	Washington	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	18	8	4 Overs
Washington	6	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 7	3 - 2	2 - 5
Road Teams	10 - 14	7 - 5	5 - 2	2 - 3

(#) WASH at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#3	#55
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#24	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Washington Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#105
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Washington 6.5 (67.0)
Washington won at Oregon this year (70-21)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Washington last year (49-21)
Washington beat Oregon in 2023 (34-31)
Washington beat Oregon in 2022 (37-34)

WASH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD