Stanford at California - 2016 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears

Saturday, November 19th 2016 (5:30 PM EST)
Stanford -11 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Stanford 45 - California: 31 (Pac-12)

Cardinal (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.1 MPH
STAN 2nd straight Road Game
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
STAN is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ STAN -14)
Projected Score: STAN: 40 - CAL: 28 (68)
STAN Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 31 miles

Golden Bears (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 43 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Stanford vs Kansas State	-16.5	49.0	W 26 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Stanford vs USC	-6.5	48.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Stanford at UCLA	-2.5	47.0	W 22 - 13	U	Y
Fri 9/30	Stanford at Washington	+3.5	46.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Stanford vs Washington State	-12.5	56.5	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/15	Stanford at Notre Dame	+3.5	53.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Stanford vs Colorado	-3.5	50.0	L 5 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/29	Stanford at Arizona	+3.0	49.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Stanford vs Oregon State	-16.5	42.5	W 26 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/12	Stanford at Oregon	-1.0	57.5	W 52 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Stanford at California	-11.0	60.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Stanford vs Rice	-33.0	50.5	W 41 - 17	O	N
Fri 12/30	Stanford vs North Carolina	-2.5	55.0	W 25 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

California's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/26	California vs Hawai'i	-23.0	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	California at San Diego State	+7.0	59.5	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/17	California vs Texas	+6.0	79.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/24	California at Arizona State	+6.5	85.0	L 41 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/1	California vs Utah	-2.0	64.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/8	California at Oregon State	-10.0	70.0	L 44 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	California vs Oregon	-3.0	90.0	W 52 - 49	O	N
Thu 10/27	California at USC	+14.5	73.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/5	California vs Washington	+17.0	73.5	L 27 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/12	California at Washington State	+16.5	78.0	L 21 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/19	California vs Stanford	+11.0	60.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/26	California vs UCLA	+5.5	70.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	.17	44%	26.3	44%	3.2	209	40%	158	2.65	.15	42%	20.4	44%	38%	3.42	54	1.4	1.5
CAL	.22	47%	37.1	47%	3.11	154	45%	359	4.13	.3	50%	42.6	53%	45%	4.51	75.8	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)		41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)		45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3
CAL	#79 (.17)	42% (88)		40% (104)	2.68 (120)	122	43% (57)	259	3.07 (125)	#48 (.14)	40% (52)		41% (53)	40% (67)	3.23 (20)	59.7	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	13	26.3	29.3	44%	2.65	1.4	18	367	209	158	5.2	58%	39%	44%	40%	16%	.17
CAL Defense	12	42.6	39.3	50.2%	4.51	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	53%	45%	13%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	13	20.4	22.5	41.7%	3.42	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	44%	38%	17%	.15
CAL Offense	12	37.1	37.3	47.1%	4.13	1.3	28	513	154	359	4.5	37%	61%	47%	45%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	13	32:46	18.1	42%	50%	6.5	54	1.4	1.5	5.6	2.8	3	34.3
California	12	28:20	28	39%	74%	7.4	75.8	1.3	1.6	4.3	1.5	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	13	58%	44%	40.2	209.2	5.2	20	.2	3.2	73%	11%	1.03
CAL Defense	12	55%	53%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.47	86%	7%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.13	78%	10%	0.87
CAL Offense	12	37%	47%	34.5	154.3	4.5	16	.17	3.11	73%	7%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	13	39%	40%	13.8	23.4	158.2	6.8	11.5	15	9	.13	1.6	32%	36%	.31	5%	1.7
CAL Defense	12	44%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.31	1.6	26%	41%	.52	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.2	1.7	36%	34%	.32	7%	1.9
CAL Offense	12	61%	45%	31.9	51.8	358.8	6.9	11.2	37	12	.28	1.5	31%	39%	.41	7%	1.8

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2016 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: California: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: 16.4 California: 2.4

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2016 Expected Record: -
California's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #62
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #22
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Stanford's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Stanford 40
California 28

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
Stanford 46
California 26

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
Stanford 35
California 29

Total Points: 64

California Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 42.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 39.3

California's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Stanford	31	California	10	California -4.5	Stanford	47.5	Under
2024	11/23	California	24	Stanford	21	California -15	Stanford	53.5	Under
2023	11/18	Stanford	15	California	27	California -6.5	California	52.5	Under
2022	11/19	California	27	Stanford	20	California -5	California	46.0	Over
2021	11/20	Stanford	11	California	41	California -2.5	California	46.0	Over
2020	11/27	California	23	Stanford	24	Stanford -2	California	51.0	Under
2019	11/23	Stanford	20	California	24	California -1	California	41.5	Over
2018	12/01	California	13	Stanford	23	Stanford -3	Stanford	46.5	Under
2017	11/18	Stanford	17	California	14	Stanford -14	California	56.5	Under
2016	11/19	California	31	Stanford	45	Stanford -11	Stanford	60.5	Over
2015	11/21	Stanford	35	California	22	Stanford -12.5	Stanford	63.0	Under
2014	11/22	California	17	Stanford	38	Stanford -6.5	Stanford	0
2013	11/23	Stanford	63	California	13	Stanford -28.5	Stanford	0
2012	10/20	California	3	Stanford	21
2011	11/19	Stanford	31	California	28
2010	11/20	California	14	Stanford	48
2009	11/21	Stanford	28	California	34
2008	11/22	California	37	Stanford	16
2007	12/01	Stanford	20	California	13
2006	12/02	California	26	Stanford	17
2005	11/19	Stanford	3	California	27
2004	11/20	California	41	Stanford	6
2003	11/22	Stanford	16	California	28
2001	11/17	Stanford	35	California	28
2000	11/17	California	30	Stanford	36

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	11	6	4 Overs
Stanford	14	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	5 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 6
Road Teams	13 - 12	8 - 5	6 - 2	2 - 3

(#) STAN at (#) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	CAL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#62
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#17	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Stanford Injury Report

California Injury Report

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	CAL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 16 mph
Rain: 0.031

Rematch from Week 12
Stanford 11.0 (60.5)
Stanford won at California this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)

STAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CAL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD