California at Oregon State - 2016 Matchup Preview

California Golden Bears at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (9:00 PM EDT)
California -10 (70.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon State 47 - California: 44 (Pac-12)

Golden Bears (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ CAL -7)
Projected Score: CAL: 26 - ORST: 24 (50)
CAL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CAL Travel: 465 miles

Beavers (4 - 8) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/26	California vs Hawai'i	-23.0	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	California at San Diego State	+7.0	59.5	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/17	California vs Texas	+6.0	79.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/24	California at Arizona State	+6.5	85.0	L 41 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/1	California vs Utah	-2.0	64.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/8	California at Oregon State	-10.0	70.0	L 44 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	California vs Oregon	-3.0	90.0	W 52 - 49	O	N
Thu 10/27	California at USC	+14.5	73.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/5	California vs Washington	+17.0	73.5	L 27 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/12	California at Washington State	+16.5	78.0	L 21 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/19	California vs Stanford	+11.0	60.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/26	California vs UCLA	+5.5	70.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Oregon State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Oregon State at Minnesota	+7.5	56.0	L 23 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Idaho State	-35.0
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs Boise State	+14.0	60.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Colorado	+16.0	56.0	L 6 - 47	U	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State vs California	+10.0	70.0	W 47 - 44	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Utah	+13.0	43.0	L 14 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State at Washington	+31.5	53.0	L 17 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oregon State vs Washington State	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Oregon State at Stanford	+16.5	42.5	L 15 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State at UCLA	+10.0	48.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/19	Oregon State vs Arizona	-5.0	61.5	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	+3.0	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	.29	51%	25.3	50%	3.01	153	51%	376	3.94	.21	47%	27.2	47%	44%	3.7	43.7	1.8	2.2
ORST	.09	40%	17.6	44%	2.78	177	34%	159	2.75	.27	51%	29.4	53%	47%	4.32	58.7	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	13	25.3	23.7	51.4%	3.94	1.8	26	529	153	376	4.5	39%	59%	50%	51%	2%	.29
ORST Defense	12	29.4	25.3	51.4%	4.32	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	53%	47%	3%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	13	27.2	29.6	47%	3.7	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	47%	44%	3%	.21
ORST Offense	12	17.6	21.7	40.2%	2.75	1.3	18	336	177	159	4.8	54%	45%	44%	34%	2%	.09

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	13	29:08	26.2	47%	50%	5.2	43.7	1.8	2.2	0	0	2	29
Oregon State	12	26:12	17.5	32%	18%	6.3	58.7	1.3	1	0	0	3	26.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	13	39%	50%	33.8	152.8	4.5	16	.09	3.01	72%	0%	0.79
ORST Defense	12	52%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.28	81%	0%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.22	76%	0%	0.92
ORST Offense	12	54%	44%	37.2	177.3	4.8	16	.1	2.78	78%	0%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	13	59%	51%	27.1	42.3	376.3	8.9	13.9	44	14	.44	1.6	29%	47%	.6	2%	1.8
ORST Defense	12	46%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.35	1.5	25%	42%	.45	3%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.27	1.6	29%	34%	.25	3%	1.7
ORST Offense	12	45%	34%	13.4	28.6	159.1	5.6	11.9	10	11	.08	1.6	35%	26%	.11	2%	1.6

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2016 Expected Record: -
California's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #62
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #22
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: Oregon State: 0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 2.4 Oregon State: -4.6

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 0.2 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #88
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #86
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
California 26
Oregon State 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Oregon State	15	California	34	Oregon State -3	California	51.5	Under
2024	10/26	California	44	Oregon State	7	California -13.0	California	51.0	Push
2023	10/07	California	40	Oregon State	52	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	51.0	Over
2022	11/12	Oregon State	38	California	10	Oregon State -11.5	Oregon State	47.0	Over
2021	10/30	California	39	Oregon State	25	Oregon State -2.5	California	56.5	Over
2020	11/21	Oregon State	31	California	27	California -1.0	Oregon State	46.5	Over
2019	10/19	California	17	Oregon State	21	California -10	Oregon State	51.0	Under
2018	10/20	Oregon State	7	California	49	California -8.5	California	58.0	Under
2017	11/04	California	37	Oregon State	23	California -7	California	54.0	Over
2016	10/08	Oregon State	47	California	44	California -10	Oregon State	70.0	Over
2015	11/14	California	54	Oregon State	24	California -17.5	California	64.0	Over
2014	11/01	Oregon State	31	California	45	Oregon State -4.5	California	0
2013	10/19	California	17	Oregon State	49	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	0
2012	11/17	Oregon State	62	California	14
2011	11/12	California	23	Oregon State	6
2010	10/30	Oregon State	35	California	7
2009	11/07	California	14	Oregon State	31
2008	11/15	Oregon State	34	California	21
2007	10/13	California	28	Oregon State	31
2006	09/30	Oregon State	13	California	41
2005	10/15	California	20	Oregon State	23
2004	10/02	Oregon State	7	California	49
2003	10/04	California	21	Oregon State	35
2002	10/26	Oregon State	24	California	13
2001	10/27	Oregon State	19	California	10
2000	11/03	California	32	Oregon State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	16	6	7 Overs
California	10	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	7 - 6	4 - 3	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 13	6 - 7	3 - 3	3 - 4

(#) CAL at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#88
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#47	#63
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

California Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
California 10.0 (70.0)
Oregon State won vs California this year (47-44)

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (34-15)
California beat Oregon State in 2024 (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)

CAL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD