California at San Diego State - 2016 Matchup Preview

California Golden Bears at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, September 10th 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
San Diego State -7 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 45 - California: 40

Golden Bears (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ SDSU -9)
Projected Score: CAL: 18 - SDSU: 29 (47)
SDSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 455 miles

Aztecs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/26	California vs Hawai'i	-23.0	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	California at San Diego State	+7.0	59.5	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/17	California vs Texas	+6.0	79.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/24	California at Arizona State	+6.5	85.0	L 41 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/1	California vs Utah	-2.0	64.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/8	California at Oregon State	-10.0	70.0	L 44 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	California vs Oregon	-3.0	90.0	W 52 - 49	O	N
Thu 10/27	California at USC	+14.5	73.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/5	California vs Washington	+17.0	73.5	L 27 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/12	California at Washington State	+16.5	78.0	L 21 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/19	California vs Stanford	+11.0	60.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/26	California vs UCLA	+5.5	70.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

San Diego State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs New Hampshire	-34.0
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs California	-7.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	-8.0	48.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	San Diego State at South Alabama	-17.5	49.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs UNLV	-17.5	53.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/14	San Diego State at Fresno State	-17.5	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Fri 10/21	San Diego State vs San José State	-22.5	48.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/28	San Diego State at Utah State	-3.0	45.0	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-19.5	50.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/12	San Diego State at Nevada	-20.5	50.5	W 46 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/19	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.5	54.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-12.5	53.5	L 31 - 63	O	N
Sat 12/3	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/17	San Diego State vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	.29	51%	25.3	50%	3.01	153	51%	376	3.94	.21	47%	27.2	47%	44%	3.7	43.7	1.8	2.2
SDSU	.2	44%	26.4	44%	3.01	233	40%	142	3.78	.04	37%	15.4	37%	36%	2.39	58.1	0.9	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	13	25.3	23.7	51.4%	3.94	1.8	26	529	153	376	4.5	39%	59%	50%	51%	2%	.29
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	6.8	37.1%	2.39	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	37%	36%	5%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	13	27.2	29.6	47%	3.7	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	47%	44%	3%	.21
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	31.2	44.1%	3.78	0.9	19	375	233	142	4.8	69%	29%	44%	40%	3%	.2

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	13	29:08	26.2	47%	50%	5.2	43.7	1.8	2.2	0	0	2	29
San Diego State	14	32:41	18.6	42%	80%	6.4	58.1	0.9	2.4	0	0	8	32.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	13	39%	50%	33.8	152.8	4.5	16	.09	3.01	72%	0%	0.79
SDSU Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	57%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.22	76%	0%	0.92
SDSU Offense	14	69%	44%	48.2	233.3	4.8	32	.15	3.01	72%	0%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	13	59%	51%	27.1	42.3	376.3	8.9	13.9	44	14	.44	1.6	29%	47%	.6	2%	1.8
SDSU Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	23	.12	1.7	34%	24%	.09	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.27	1.6	29%	34%	.25	3%	1.7
SDSU Offense	14	29%	40%	10.1	18	142	7.9	14.1	17	3	.34	1.8	30%	34%	.4	3%	1.9

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2016 Expected Record: -
California's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #62
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #22
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: San Diego State: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 2.4 San Diego State: 11.4

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 8.2 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #50
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #29

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 29
California 18

Projected Total Points: 47

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	San Diego State	34	California	0	California -14	San Diego State	47.5	Under
2024	09/14	California	31	San Diego State	10	California -18.5	California	48.5	Under
2016	09/10	San Diego State	45	California	40	San Diego State -7	California	59.5	Over
2015	09/12	California	35	San Diego State	7	California -9	California	59.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	2	1	1 Overs
California	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2

(#) CAL at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#31
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#47	#74
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

California Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	CAL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Qualcomm Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
San Diego State -7.0 (59.5)
San Diego State won vs California this year (45-40)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat California last year (34-0)
California beat San Diego State in 2024 (31-10)

CAL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD