California at Arizona State - 2016 Matchup Preview
California logo

California Golden Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona State -6.5 (85.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona State 51 - California: 41  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ CAL -5.5)
Projected Score: CAL: 24 - ASU: 27 (51)
ASU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CAL Travel: 655 miles
Sun Devils (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/26 California vs Hawai'i-23.066.0W 51 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 California at San Diego State+7.059.5L 40 - 45OY
Sat 9/17 California vs Texas+6.079.5W 50 - 43OY
Sat 9/24 California at Arizona State+6.585.0L 41 - 51ON
Sat 10/1 California vs Utah-2.064.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 10/8 California at Oregon State-10.070.0L 44 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 California vs Oregon-3.090.0W 52 - 49ON
Thu 10/27 California at USC+14.573.0L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/5 California vs Washington+17.073.5L 27 - 66ON
Sat 11/12 California at Washington State+16.578.0L 21 - 56UN
Sat 11/19 California vs Stanford+11.060.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/26 California vs UCLA+5.570.5W 36 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Arizona State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-26.0
Sat 9/10 Arizona State vs Texas Tech-5.080.0W 68 - 55OY
Fri 9/16 Arizona State at UTSA-18.558.0W 32 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Arizona State vs California-6.585.0W 51 - 41OY
Sat 10/1 Arizona State at USC+8.063.5L 20 - 41UN
Sat 10/8 Arizona State vs UCLA+4.558.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/15 Arizona State at Colorado+8.063.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 10/22 Arizona State vs Washington State+6.565.0L 32 - 37OY
Sat 10/29 Arizona State at Oregon+7.572.5L 35 - 54ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/10 Arizona State vs Utah+5.556.0L 26 - 49ON
Sat 11/19 Arizona State at Washington+26.062.5L 18 - 44UY
Fri 11/25 Arizona State at Arizona-6.065.0L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.2951%25.350%3.0115351%3763.94.2147%27.247%44%3.743.71.82.2
ASU.1642%25.841%2.9217841%2993.66.240%24.539%39%3.5439.81.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.323.751.4%3.941.8265291533764.539%59%50%51%2%.29
ASU Defense1324.521.440%3.541.6 - - - - - 41%57%39%39%2%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1327.229.647%3.72.2 - - - - - 55%43%47%44%3%.21
ASU Offense1325.824.742.2%3.661.5234771782994.346%51%41%41%1%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1329:0826.247%50%5.243.71.82.200229
Arizona State1331:3123.541%56%4.639.81.51.600331.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1339%50%33.8152.84.516.093.0172%0%0.79
ASU Defense1341%39% - - - - .112.5467%0%1.13
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1355%47% - - - - .173.2276%0%0.92
ASU Offense1346%41%41.2178.44.319.092.9264%0%1

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1359%51%27.142.3376.38.913.94414.441.629%47%.62%1.8
ASU Defense1357%39% - - - - - - 15.291.937%35%.432%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1343%44% - - - - - - 16.271.629%34%.253%1.7
ASU Offense1351%41%24.641.12997.312.2309.271.632%33%.291%1.6

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2016 Expected Record: -
California's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4  #62
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #22
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Arizona State: 1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 2.4   Arizona State: -3.0




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 1 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #81
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #47
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 27
California 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30California24Arizona State21California -13Arizona State47.5Under
201909/27California17Arizona State24California -4Arizona State42.5Under
201609/24Arizona State51California41Arizona State -6.5Arizona State85.0Over
201511/28California48Arizona State46California -3Arizona State67.5Over
201209/29California17Arizona State27
201111/25Arizona State38California47
201010/23California50Arizona State17
200910/31Arizona State21California23
200810/04California24Arizona State14
200710/27Arizona State31California20
200609/23California49Arizona State21
200410/30California27Arizona State0
200311/01Arizona State23California51
200211/09Arizona State38California55
200010/06Arizona State30California10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State542 Overs
California1002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 61 - 31 - 30 - 0
Road Teams6 - 93 - 10 - 03 - 1

(#) CAL at (#) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #81
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #47 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCatASU OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCatASU OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Arizona State -6.5 (85.0)
Arizona State won vs California this year (51-41)

Previous Matchups
California beat Arizona State in 2023 (24-21)

  
CAL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CAL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ASU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ASU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD