Auburn at Ole Miss - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (7:15 PM EDT)
Auburn -2 (65.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Auburn 40 - Ole Miss: 29 (SEC)

Tigers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 17 (24 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1 (SP+ AUB -3)
Projected Score: AUB: 32 - MISS: 27 (59)
AUB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
AUB Travel: 263 miles

Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (37 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Auburn vs Clemson	+7.5	62.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Auburn vs Arkansas State	-13.0	51.0	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Auburn vs Texas A&M	-4.0	55.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/24	Auburn vs LSU	+4.0	46.5	W 18 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-34.0	57.5	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Auburn at Mississippi State	+1.5	55.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Auburn vs Arkansas	-17.0	53.0	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Auburn at Ole Miss	-2.0	65.5	W 40 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-26.0	47.0	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/12	Auburn at Georgia	-8.0	51.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/19	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-52.0
Sat 11/26	Auburn at Alabama	+20.0	47.0	L 12 - 30	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Auburn vs Oklahoma	+5.5	67.0	L 19 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Ole Miss vs Florida State	+5.0	57.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44.5
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+9.5	53.0	L 43 - 48	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Georgia	-6.0	61.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Memphis	-15.5	71.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	65.0	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+4.5	59.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+2.0	65.5	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	63.0	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+11.0	62.0	W 29 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-8.0	67.5	L 20 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.19	46%	31.2	47%	3.22	271	40%	169	3.82	.11	42%	17.1	40%	41%	2.65	36.5	1.1	1.3
MISS	.2	46%	32.6	43%	2.93	149	45%	315	3.65	.24	44%	34	44%	42%	3.83	43.3	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	13	31.2	24.3	46.1%	3.82	1.1	22	441	271	169	5.5	62%	35%	47%	40%	14%	.19
MISS Defense	12	34	32.1	44.4%	3.83	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	40%	44%	42%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	13	17.1	21.5	41.9%	2.65	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	41%	19%	.11
MISS Offense	12	32.6	37.1	45.7%	3.65	1.6	25	464	149	315	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	13	29:10	22	42%	48%	4.7	36.5	1.1	1.3	6.4	1.9	0	28.9
Ole Miss	12	25:56	24.8	40%	38%	4.9	43.3	1.6	1.3	5.7	1.7	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	13	62%	47%	49.6	271.3	5.5	33	.18	3.22	73%	10%	0.95
MISS Defense	12	57%	44%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.09	62%	10%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	13	47%	40%	-	-	-	-		2.73	59%	11%	0.91
MISS Offense	12	43%	43%	35.2	149.4	4.3	17	.11	2.93	65%	7%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	13	35%	40%	13.7	22.2	169.5	7.6	12.4	12	6	.24	1.6	27%	36%	.39	4%	1.9
MISS Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.7	31%	38%	.41	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	13	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.23	1.5	33%	35%	.31	8%	1.8
MISS Offense	12	55%	45%	24.1	40.3	314.9	7.8	13.1	27	14	.31	1.6	31%	40%	.38	9%	1.7

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2016 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #21
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #49
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: Ole Miss: 8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 15.3 Ole Miss: 12.4

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 8.7 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.5

Auburn's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 32
Ole Miss 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 33
Ole Miss 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 31
Ole Miss 27

Total Points: 58

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.1
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.1

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Auburn	21	Ole Miss	28	Ole Miss -6.5	Ole Miss	55.5	Under
2022	10/15	Ole Miss	48	Auburn	34	Ole Miss -15.5	Auburn	55.5	Over
2021	10/30	Auburn	31	Ole Miss	20	Auburn -3	Auburn	67.5	Under
2020	10/24	Ole Miss	28	Auburn	35	Auburn -3.5	Auburn	74.0	Under
2019	11/02	Auburn	20	Ole Miss	14	Auburn -17	Ole Miss	53.5	Under
2018	10/20	Ole Miss	16	Auburn	31	Auburn -5	Auburn	64.0	Under
2017	10/07	Auburn	44	Ole Miss	23	Auburn -21.5	Ole Miss	55.5	Over
2016	10/29	Ole Miss	29	Auburn	40	Auburn -2	Auburn	65.5	Over
2015	10/31	Auburn	19	Ole Miss	27	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2014	11/01	Ole Miss	31	Auburn	35	Ole Miss -3	Auburn	0
2013	10/05	Auburn	30	Ole Miss	22	Ole Miss -2	Auburn	0
2012	10/13	Ole Miss	41	Auburn	20
2011	10/29	Auburn	41	Ole Miss	23
2010	10/30	Ole Miss	31	Auburn	51
2009	10/31	Auburn	33	Ole Miss	20
2008	11/01	Ole Miss	17	Auburn	7
2007	10/27	Auburn	17	Ole Miss	3
2006	10/28	Ole Miss	17	Auburn	23
2005	10/29	Auburn	27	Ole Miss	3
2004	10/30	Ole Miss	14	Auburn	35
2003	11/08	Auburn	20	Ole Miss	24
2002	11/02	Ole Miss	24	Auburn	31
2001	09/08	Auburn	27	Ole Miss	21
2000	09/08	Ole Miss	27	Auburn	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	6	4	3 Overs
Auburn	18	7	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	2 - 9	1 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 12	9 - 2	5 - 1	4 - 1

(#) AUB at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AUB	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#7	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Auburn Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	AUB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°

Rematch from Week 9
Auburn 2.0 (65.5)
Auburn won at Ole Miss this year (40-29)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2022 (48-34)

AUB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD