Memphis at Ole Miss - 2016 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -15.5 (71.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 48 - Memphis: 28

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (33 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 4th straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ MISS -5)
Projected Score: MEM: 30 - MISS: 28 (58)
MISS Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MEM Travel: 58 miles
Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (37 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Memphis vs Southeast Missouri State-24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Memphis vs Kansas-20.060.0W 43 - 7UY
Sat 9/24 Memphis vs Bowling Green-16.567.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 10/1 Memphis at Ole Miss+15.571.5L 28 - 48ON
Thu 10/6 Memphis vs Temple-6.557.5W 34 - 27OY
Fri 10/14 Memphis at Tulane-10.552.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/22 Memphis at Navy-2.057.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 Memphis vs Tulsa-7.574.5L 30 - 59ON
Sat 11/5 Memphis at SMU-6.565.0W 51 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Memphis vs South Florida+3.076.5L 42 - 49ON
Fri 11/18 Memphis at Cincinnati-7.561.5W 34 - 7UY
Fri 11/25 Memphis vs Houston+3.060.5W 48 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Memphis vs Western Kentucky+6.579.0L 31 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/5 Ole Miss vs Florida State+5.057.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 9/10 Ole Miss vs Wofford-44.5
Sat 9/17 Ole Miss vs Alabama+9.553.0L 43 - 48OY
Sat 9/24 Ole Miss vs Georgia-6.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Ole Miss vs Memphis-15.571.5W 48 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Ole Miss at Arkansas-6.565.0L 30 - 34UN
Sat 10/22 Ole Miss at LSU+4.559.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/29 Ole Miss vs Auburn+2.065.5L 29 - 40ON
Sat 11/5 Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern-20.563.0W 37 - 27ON
Sat 11/12 Ole Miss at Texas A&M+11.062.0W 29 - 28UY
Sat 11/19 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/26 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-8.067.5L 20 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.2446%38.843%2.7615946%3043.78.2246%28.847%44%3.4459.31.62.2
MISS.246%32.643%2.9314945%3153.65.2444%3444%42%3.8343.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1338.83345.8%3.781.6234641593044.342%55%43%46%18%.24
MISS Defense123432.144.4%3.831.3 - - - - - 57%40%44%42%15%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1328.823.646.1%3.442.2 - - - - - 51%48%47%44%16%.22
MISS Offense1232.637.145.7%3.651.6254641493154.343%55%43%45%16%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1327:1323.440%59%6.359.31.62.25.71.8632.7
Ole Miss1225:5624.840%38%4.943.31.61.35.71.7230.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1342%43%37.5159.34.323.092.7662%12%0.99
MISS Defense1257%44% - - - - .253.0962%10%1.25
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1351%47% - - - - .243.0974%9%1.03
MISS Offense1243%43%35.2149.44.317.112.9365%7%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1355%46%23.336.7304.48.313.13410.361.732%36%.427%2
MISS Defense1240%42% - - - - - - 8.271.731%38%.415%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 16.221.531%34%.377%1.9
MISS Offense1255%45%24.140.3314.97.813.12714.311.631%40%.389%1.7

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2016 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #43
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    Ole Miss: 8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.7   Ole Miss: 12.4




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 8.7 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Memphis's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 30
Ole Miss 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 25
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 34
Ole Miss 31

Total Points: 65
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.1
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.1

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/31Memphis15Ole Miss10Memphis -3Memphis63.5Under
201610/01Ole Miss48Memphis28Ole Miss -15.5Ole Miss71.5Over
201510/17Memphis37Ole Miss24Ole Miss -10.5Memphis72.0Under
201409/27Ole Miss24Memphis3Ole Miss -21Push0
200909/06Memphis14Ole Miss45
200808/30Ole Miss41Memphis24
200709/01Memphis21Ole Miss23
200609/03Ole Miss28Memphis25
200509/05Memphis6Ole Miss10
200409/04Ole Miss13Memphis20
200309/06Memphis44Ole Miss34
200209/07Ole Miss38Memphis16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss811 Overs
Memphis422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 80 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#) MEM at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #25
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #74
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°
Rematch from Week 5
Ole Miss -15.5 (71.5)
Ole Miss won vs Memphis this year (48-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MEM's DC ()
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MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MISS's DC ()
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