Ole Miss at Arkansas - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#4)Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -6.5 (65.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Arkansas 34 - Ole Miss: 30 (SEC)

Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (24 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 15 MPH
ARK 3rd straight Home Game
MISS coming off BYE
ARK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ MISS -4.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 25 - ARK: 30 (55)
MISS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 287 miles

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (31 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Ole Miss vs Florida State	+5.0	57.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44.5
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+9.5	53.0	L 43 - 48	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Georgia	-6.0	61.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Memphis	-15.5	71.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	65.0	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+4.5	59.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+2.0	65.5	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	63.0	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+11.0	62.0	W 29 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-8.0	67.5	L 20 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Arkansas's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	52.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	Arkansas at TCU	+6.0	57.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Arkansas vs Texas State	-32.5	59.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+3.0	52.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	Arkansas vs Alcorn State	-53.0
Sat 10/8	Arkansas vs Alabama	+13.0	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/15	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+6.5	65.0	W 34 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Arkansas at Auburn	+17.0	53.0	L 3 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Arkansas vs Florida	+3.5	44.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Arkansas vs LSU	+7.0	46.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/19	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+1.0	57.5	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Arkansas at Missouri	-7.5	72.0	L 24 - 28	U	N
Thu 12/29	Arkansas vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	61.0	L 24 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.2	46%	32.6	43%	2.93	149	45%	315	3.65	.24	44%	34	44%	42%	3.83	43.3	1.6	1.3
ARK	.19	44%	30.3	42%	2.59	164	45%	264	3.59	.21	45%	31.1	46%	44%	3.58	52.3	1.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	12	32.6	24.3	45.7%	3.65	1.6	25	464	149	315	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.2
ARK Defense	13	31.1	22.9	45.4%	3.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	44%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	12	34	34.5	44.4%	3.83	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	40%	44%	42%	15%	.24
ARK Offense	13	30.3	31.4	43.9%	3.59	1.9	22	428	164	264	4.1	51%	47%	42%	45%	18%	.19

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	12	25:56	24.8	40%	38%	4.9	43.3	1.6	1.3	5.7	1.7	2	30.4
Arkansas	13	34:43	22.2	40%	56%	6.2	52.3	1.9	1.6	4.6	2	4	28.5

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	12	43%	43%	35.2	149.4	4.3	17	.11	2.93	65%	7%	0.93
ARK Defense	13	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.02	73%	10%	1.28

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	12	57%	44%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.09	62%	10%	1.25
ARK Offense	13	51%	42%	39.8	164.2	4.1	21	.03	2.59	56%	11%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	12	55%	45%	24.1	40.3	314.9	7.8	13.1	27	14	.31	1.6	31%	40%	.38	9%	1.7
ARK Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.16	1.4	31%	33%	.32	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.7	31%	38%	.41	5%	1.9
ARK Offense	13	47%	45%	19	31.2	264.2	8.5	13.9	26	15	.38	1.8	32%	41%	.41	7%	1.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Arkansas: 6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 12.4 Arkansas: 7.9

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 6.45 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #47
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #29
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #70

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.5

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 30
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 26
Ole Miss 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 33
Ole Miss 28

Total Points: 61

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Arkansas's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Ole Miss	41	Arkansas	35	Ole Miss -3.5	Ole Miss	60.5	Over
2024	11/02	Arkansas	31	Ole Miss	63	Ole Miss -8	Ole Miss	54.0	Over
2023	10/07	Ole Miss	27	Arkansas	20	Ole Miss -13	Arkansas	61.5	Under
2022	11/19	Arkansas	42	Ole Miss	27	Ole Miss -0.0	Arkansas	67.5	Over
2021	10/09	Ole Miss	52	Arkansas	51	Ole Miss -5	Arkansas	67.0	Over
2020	10/17	Arkansas	33	Ole Miss	21	Arkansas -1.0	Arkansas	77.5	Under
2019	09/07	Ole Miss	31	Arkansas	17	Ole Miss -5	Ole Miss	50.5	Under
2018	10/13	Arkansas	33	Ole Miss	37	Ole Miss -6.5	Arkansas	66.5	Over
2017	10/28	Ole Miss	37	Arkansas	38	Ole Miss -2.5	Arkansas	62.0	Over
2016	10/15	Arkansas	34	Ole Miss	30	Ole Miss -6.5	Arkansas	65.0	Under
2015	11/07	Ole Miss	52	Arkansas	53	Ole Miss -11	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2014	11/22	Arkansas	30	Ole Miss	0	Ole Miss -2	Arkansas	0
2013	11/09	Ole Miss	34	Arkansas	24	Ole Miss -17	Arkansas	0
2012	10/27	Arkansas	27	Ole Miss	30
2011	10/22	Ole Miss	24	Arkansas	29
2010	10/23	Arkansas	38	Ole Miss	24
2009	10/24	Ole Miss	30	Arkansas	17
2008	10/25	Arkansas	21	Ole Miss	23
2007	10/20	Ole Miss	8	Arkansas	44
2006	10/21	Arkansas	38	Ole Miss	3
2005	11/12	Ole Miss	17	Arkansas	28
2004	11/13	Arkansas	35	Ole Miss	3
2003	10/25	Ole Miss	19	Arkansas	7
2002	10/26	Arkansas	48	Ole Miss	28
2001	11/03	Ole Miss	56	Arkansas	58
2000	11/03	Arkansas	24	Ole Miss	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	14	10	7 Overs
Ole Miss	12	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	7 - 6	4 - 5	3 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 7	1 - 3	5 - 4

(#) MISS at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#47
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#15	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#70
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Ole Miss 6.5 (65.0)
Arkansas won vs Ole Miss this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Arkansas last year (63-31)
Ole Miss beat Arkansas in 2023 (27-20)
Arkansas beat Ole Miss in 2022 (42-27)

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD