Ole Miss at LSU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#5)Ole Miss Rebels at LSU Tigers(#10)LSU logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (9:00 PM EDT)
LSU -4.5 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
LSU 38 - Ole Miss: 21  (SEC)

 
Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (24 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 2nd straight Road Game
LSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9  (SP+ LSU -13)
Projected Score: MISS: 23 - LSU: 32 (55)
LSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 289 miles
Tigers (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 16 (27 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/5 Ole Miss vs Florida State+5.057.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 9/10 Ole Miss vs Wofford-44.5
Sat 9/17 Ole Miss vs Alabama+9.553.0L 43 - 48OY
Sat 9/24 Ole Miss vs Georgia-6.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Ole Miss vs Memphis-15.571.5W 48 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Ole Miss at Arkansas-6.565.0L 30 - 34UN
Sat 10/22 Ole Miss at LSU+4.559.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/29 Ole Miss vs Auburn+2.065.5L 29 - 40ON
Sat 11/5 Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern-20.563.0W 37 - 27ON
Sat 11/12 Ole Miss at Texas A&M+11.062.0W 29 - 28UY
Sat 11/19 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/26 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-8.067.5L 20 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
LSU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.543.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/10 LSU vs Jacksonville State-30.0
Sat 9/17 LSU vs Mississippi State-13.047.0W 23 - 20UN
Sat 9/24 LSU at Auburn-4.046.5L 13 - 18UN
Sat 10/1 LSU vs Missouri-14.051.0W 42 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 LSU vs Southern Miss-21.055.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 LSU vs Ole Miss-4.559.0W 38 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 LSU vs Alabama+7.046.0L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 LSU at Arkansas-7.046.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/19 LSU vs Florida-10.538.0L 10 - 16UN
Thu 11/24 LSU at Texas A&M-4.048.5W 54 - 39OY
Sat 12/31 LSU vs Louisville-3.059.0W 29 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.246%32.643%2.9314945%3153.65.2444%3444%42%3.8343.31.61.3
LSU.2345%28.346%3.2223342%1903.52.0136%15.836%31%2.1411.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1232.624.345.7%3.651.6254641493154.343%55%43%45%16%.2
LSU Defense1215.813.935.6%2.11.3 - - - - - 50%47%36%31%19%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense123434.544.4%3.831.3 - - - - - 57%40%44%42%15%.24
LSU Offense1228.327.444.8%3.521.4204232331906.157%41%46%42%16%.23

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1225:5624.840%38%4.943.31.61.35.71.7230.4
LSU1231:0819.643%13%4.8411.41.36.53228.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1243%43%35.2149.44.317.112.9365%7%0.93
LSU Defense1250%36% - - - - .022.9461%12%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1257%44% - - - - .253.0962%10%1.25
LSU Offense1257%46%38.32336.130.223.2265%11%1.16

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1255%45%24.140.3314.97.813.12714.311.631%40%.389%1.7
LSU Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 9.031.736%27%.128%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1240%42% - - - - - - 8.271.731%38%.415%1.9
LSU Offense1241%42%14.524.8190.17.713.1127.271.631%36%.375%1.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    LSU: 15.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 12.4   LSU: 25.3




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.15 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2016 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.3  #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #40
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0  #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.5

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 32
Ole Miss 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 33
Ole Miss 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
LSU 31
Ole Miss 22

Total Points: 53
LSU Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.4
Defense: 15.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.9

LSU's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Ole Miss24LSU19Ole Miss -2.5Ole Miss57.5Under
202410/12LSU29Ole Miss26Ole Miss -3.5LSU64.5Under
202309/30Ole Miss55LSU49LSU -3Ole Miss67.0Over
202210/22LSU45Ole Miss20Ole Miss -0.0LSU64.0Over
202110/23Ole Miss31LSU17Ole Miss -9.0Ole Miss76.5Under
202012/19LSU53Ole Miss48Ole Miss -0.0LSU74.5Over
201911/16Ole Miss37LSU58LSU -21NA66.0Over
201809/29LSU45Ole Miss16LSU -10.5LSU61.0Push
201710/21Ole Miss24LSU40LSU -6.5LSU59.0Over
201610/22LSU38Ole Miss21LSU -4.5LSU59.0Push
201511/21Ole Miss38LSU17Ole Miss -4.5Ole Miss58.5Under
201410/25LSU10Ole Miss7Ole Miss -3LSU0
201310/19Ole Miss27LSU24LSU -8Ole Miss0
201211/17LSU41Ole Miss35
201111/19Ole Miss3LSU52
201011/20LSU43Ole Miss36
200911/21Ole Miss25LSU23
200811/22LSU13Ole Miss31
200711/17Ole Miss24LSU41
200611/18LSU23Ole Miss20
200511/19Ole Miss7LSU40
200411/20LSU27Ole Miss24
200311/22Ole Miss14LSU17
200110/27LSU24Ole Miss35
200011/10Ole Miss9LSU20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1775 Overs
Ole Miss854 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 911 - 17 - 04 - 1
Road Teams9 - 161 - 111 - 40 - 7

(#) MISS at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #5
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #15 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
LSU -4.5 (59.0)
LSU won vs Ole Miss this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Ole Miss last year (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2022 (45-20)

  
MISS's OC ()
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MISS's DC ()
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LSU's OC ()
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LSU's DC ()
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