Texas A&M at Auburn - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#16)Texas A&M Aggies at Auburn Tigers(#24)

Saturday, September 17th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -4 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 29 - Auburn: 16 (SEC)

Aggies (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (24 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ AUB -3)
Projected Score: TA&M: 22 - AUB: 25 (47)
AUB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 653 miles

Tigers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 17 (36 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas A&M vs UCLA	-1.0	55.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M	-49.5
Sat 9/17	Texas A&M at Auburn	+4.0	55.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-3.0	52.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Texas A&M at South Carolina	-14.0	50.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/8	Texas A&M vs Tennessee	-6.5	60.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Texas A&M at Alabama	+16.5	59.0	L 14 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/29	Texas A&M vs New Mexico State	-43.5	71.0	W 52 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/5	Texas A&M at Mississippi State	-13.0	61.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/12	Texas A&M vs Ole Miss	-11.0	62.0	L 28 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/19	Texas A&M vs UTSA	-28.0	56.0	W 23 - 10	U	N
Thu 11/24	Texas A&M vs LSU	+4.0	48.5	L 39 - 54	O	N
Wed 12/28	Texas A&M vs Kansas State	-2.5	56.0	L 28 - 33	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Auburn's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Auburn vs Clemson	+7.5	62.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Auburn vs Arkansas State	-13.0	51.0	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Auburn vs Texas A&M	-4.0	55.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/24	Auburn vs LSU	+4.0	46.5	W 18 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-34.0	57.5	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Auburn at Mississippi State	+1.5	55.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Auburn vs Arkansas	-17.0	53.0	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Auburn at Ole Miss	-2.0	65.5	W 40 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-26.0	47.0	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/12	Auburn at Georgia	-8.0	51.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/19	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-52.0
Sat 11/26	Auburn at Alabama	+20.0	47.0	L 12 - 30	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Auburn vs Oklahoma	+5.5	67.0	L 19 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	.22	43%	34.8	44%	3.13	212	41%	255	3.15	.12	44%	24.5	44%	41%	2.41	52.7	1.6	1.5
AUB	.19	46%	31.2	47%	3.22	271	40%	169	3.82	.11	42%	17.1	40%	41%	2.65	36.5	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	13	34.8	23.8	43.4%	3.15	1.6	22	467	212	255	5.7	48%	50%	44%	41%	16%	.22
AUB Defense	13	17.1	12.6	41.9%	2.65	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	41%	19%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	13	24.5	24.3	43.7%	2.41	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	41%	20%	.12
AUB Offense	13	31.2	36.3	46.1%	3.82	1.1	22	441	271	169	5.5	62%	35%	47%	40%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	13	26:30	21.6	39%	56%	6.2	52.7	1.6	1.5	8.5	2.9	4	29.6
Auburn	13	29:10	22	42%	48%	4.7	36.5	1.1	1.3	6.4	1.9	0	28.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	13	48%	44%	37.2	211.8	5.7	28	.21	3.13	61%	10%	1.15
AUB Defense	13	47%	40%	-	-	-	-		2.73	59%	11%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.78	67%	13%	0.91
AUB Offense	13	62%	47%	49.6	271.3	5.5	33	.18	3.22	73%	10%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	13	50%	41%	19.6	36.1	255.2	7.1	13	25	9	.25	1.6	31%	36%	.47	7%	2.1
AUB Defense	13	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.23	1.5	33%	35%	.31	8%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.2	1.6	32%	35%	.27	7%	1.6
AUB Offense	13	35%	40%	13.7	22.2	169.5	7.6	12.4	12	6	.24	1.6	27%	36%	.39	4%	1.9

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2016 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #27
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #26
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: Auburn: 10.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 12.0 Auburn: 15.3

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 10.15 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2016 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #21
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #49
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.3

Texas A&M's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 25
Texas A&M 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 22
Texas A&M 21

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 29
Texas A&M 22

Total Points: 51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.6

Auburn's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Texas A&M	16	Auburn	10	Texas A&M -6.5	Auburn	51.5	Under
2024	11/23	Auburn	43	Texas A&M	41	Texas A&M -2.5	Auburn	47.0	Over
2023	09/23	Texas A&M	27	Auburn	10	Texas A&M -9.5	Texas A&M	51.0	Under
2022	11/12	Auburn	13	Texas A&M	10	Auburn -1.5	Auburn	48.0	Under
2021	11/06	Texas A&M	20	Auburn	3	Texas A&M -4.5	Texas A&M	49.5	Under
2020	12/05	Auburn	20	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -6.0	Texas A&M	49.0	Over
2019	09/21	Texas A&M	20	Auburn	28	Texas A&M -4	Auburn	48.5	Under
2018	11/03	Auburn	28	Texas A&M	24	Auburn -3.5	Auburn	47.0	Over
2017	11/04	Texas A&M	27	Auburn	42	Auburn -15	NA	51.5	Over
2016	09/17	Auburn	16	Texas A&M	29	Auburn -4	Texas A&M	55.5	Under
2015	11/07	Texas A&M	10	Auburn	26	Texas A&M -8.5	Auburn	58.5	Under
2014	11/08	Auburn	38	Texas A&M	41	Auburn -14.5	Texas A&M	0
2013	10/19	Texas A&M	41	Auburn	45	Texas A&M -12	Auburn	0
2012	10/27	Auburn	21	Texas A&M	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	7	7	4 Overs
Texas A&M	7	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	5 - 7	4 - 6	1 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 6	7 - 5	1 - 1	6 - 4

(#) TA&M at (#) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#21
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#13	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas A&M Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#26	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	TA&M Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81°( - Hum: 93%)

Rematch from Week 3
Auburn -4.0 (55.5)
Texas A&M won at Auburn this year (29-16)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

TA&M's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AUB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD