Southern Miss at LSU - 2016 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at LSU Tigers

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -21 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
LSU 45 - Southern Miss: 10

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Road Game
LSU coming off BYE
USM is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -15 (SP+ LSU -25)
Projected Score: USM: 23 - LSU: 26 (49)
LSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
USM Travel: 127 miles

Tigers (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss at Kentucky	+7.5	62.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss vs Savannah State	-57.0
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Troy	-11.5	61.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at UTEP	-10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Southern Miss vs Rice	-21.0	58.5	W 44 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at UTSA	-14.5	53.0	L 32 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss at LSU	+21.0	55.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Southern Miss vs Marshall	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Charlotte	-18.0	60.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Old Dominion	+2.0	63.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss at North Texas	-5.5	58.5	L 23 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/25	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	+13.5	71.5	W 39 - 24	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	-2.0	57.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

LSU's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	43.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/10	LSU vs Jacksonville State	-30.0
Sat 9/17	LSU vs Mississippi State	-13.0	47.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/24	LSU at Auburn	-4.0	46.5	L 13 - 18	U	N
Sat 10/1	LSU vs Missouri	-14.0	51.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	LSU vs Southern Miss	-21.0	55.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	LSU vs Ole Miss	-4.5	59.0	W 38 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	LSU vs Alabama	+7.0	46.0	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	LSU at Arkansas	-7.0	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	LSU vs Florida	-10.5	38.0	L 10 - 16	U	N
Thu 11/24	LSU at Texas A&M	-4.0	48.5	W 54 - 39	O	Y
Sat 12/31	LSU vs Louisville	-3.0	59.0	W 29 - 9	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.27	44%	28.8	40%	2.84	180	45%	330	3.65	.11	39%	27.4	39%	37%	3.22	66.9	1.8	1.8
LSU	.28	46%	22.8	50%	3.2	257	38%	180	3.85	.12	41%	19.8	43%	39%	3.54	65.3	0.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	14	28.8	28.4	43.6%	3.65	1.8	23	510	180	330	5	43%	56%	40%	45%	2%	.27
LSU Defense	12	19.8	16.9	41.5%	3.54	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	43%	39%	2%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	14	27.4	27.6	39.4%	3.22	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	39%	37%	3%	.11
LSU Offense	12	22.8	25.7	46%	3.85	0.8	21	437	257	180	6.1	61%	37%	50%	38%	2%	.28

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	14	30:19	23.1	46%	52%	7	66.9	1.8	1.8	0	0	4	32.3
LSU	12	31:20	20.5	40%	56%	8.1	65.3	0.8	1.4	0	0	2	28.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	14	43%	40%	35.9	179.8	5	31	.1	2.84	65%	0%	1.04
LSU Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.82	80%	0%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	14	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.57	72%	0%	0.93
LSU Offense	12	61%	50%	42.1	256.8	6.1	36	.28	3.2	79%	0%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	14	56%	45%	24.1	37.9	329.7	8.7	13.7	40	12	.43	1.9	31%	38%	.53	2%	2.2
LSU Defense	12	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	33%	28%	.19	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	14	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.21	1.7	36%	33%	.27	3%	1.7
LSU Offense	12	37%	38%	12.4	23.2	180.4	7.8	14.5	13	6	.32	1.9	32%	32%	.41	2%	2.1

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #65
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: LSU: 15.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 0.7 LSU: 25.3

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.15 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2016 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.3 #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #40
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 26
Southern Miss 23

Projected Total Points: 49

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	10/15	LSU	45	Southern Miss	10	LSU -21	LSU	55.0	Push

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	1	1	0 Overs
Southern Miss	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) USM at (#) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	LSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#5
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#83	#3
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	LSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
LSU -21.0 (55.0)
LSU won vs Southern Miss this year (45-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD