Southern Miss at Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -7.5 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 44 - Kentucky: 35

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (30 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1 (SP+ USM -3.5)
Projected Score: USM: 34 - UK: 32 (66)
UK Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 537 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss at Kentucky	+7.5	62.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss vs Savannah State	-57.0
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Troy	-11.5	61.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at UTEP	-10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Southern Miss vs Rice	-21.0	58.5	W 44 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at UTSA	-14.5	53.0	L 32 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss at LSU	+21.0	55.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Southern Miss vs Marshall	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Charlotte	-18.0	60.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Old Dominion	+2.0	63.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss at North Texas	-5.5	58.5	L 23 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/25	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	+13.5	71.5	W 39 - 24	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	-2.0	57.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-7.5	62.0	L 35 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+16.5	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-21.5	65.5	W 62 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-1.5	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Alabama	+32.5	54.5	L 6 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+1.5	54.5	W 40 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Missouri	+4.5	69.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Kentucky vs Georgia	+2.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	58.0	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-43.0
Sat 11/26	Kentucky at Louisville	+26.0	70.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.21	44%	32.8	44%	2.69	174	42%	298	3.76	.12	36%	29.5	38%	31%	3.62	64.2	2.5	1.2
UK	.19	43%	30	46%	3.08	234	36%	186	3.68	.23	49%	31.3	53%	42%	3.52	45.8	2.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	32.8	29.7	44%	3.76	2.5	24	472	174	298	4.2	48%	50%	44%	42%	19%	.21
UK Defense	13	31.3	26.7	49.3%	3.52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	53%	42%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	29.5	37	35.6%	3.62	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	38%	31%	21%	.12
UK Offense	13	30	35.3	42.9%	3.68	2.2	20	420	234	186	5.4	59%	39%	46%	36%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	33:27	23.6	41%	63%	7.5	64.2	2.5	1.2	7.2	2.6	3	27.7
Kentucky	13	29:51	20	39%	75%	5	45.8	2.2	1.6	5.3	1.6	2	29.5

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	48%	44%	41.8	174.2	4.2	26	.09	2.69	73%	12%	0.93
UK Defense	13	59%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.53	81%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.53	58%	15%	1.33
UK Offense	13	59%	46%	43.1	234.2	5.4	31	.2	3.08	74%	11%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	50%	42%	21.9	36.8	298.2	8.1	13.6	26	16	.35	1.8	34%	36%	.38	7%	1.9
UK Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.7	30%	40%	.4	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	45%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.07	1.8	38%	26%	.19	7%	1.9
UK Offense	13	39%	36%	13.1	24	186.1	7.8	14.2	17	12	.19	1.9	33%	30%	.19	5%	1.8

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #65
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Kentucky: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 0.7 Kentucky: -2.6

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Southern Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 34
Kentucky 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 38
Kentucky 30

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 33
Southern Miss 30

Total Points: 63

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Kentucky	31	Southern Miss	0	Kentucky -25.5	Kentucky	50.5	Under
2017	09/02	Southern Miss	17	Kentucky	24	Kentucky -10	Southern Miss	57.0	Under
2016	09/03	Kentucky	35	Southern Miss	44	Kentucky -7.5	Southern Miss	62.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	1	1 Overs
Southern Miss	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) USM at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#78
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#83	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -7.5 (62.0)
Southern Miss won at Kentucky this year (44-35)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Southern Miss last year (31-0)

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD