South Carolina at Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview

South Carolina Gamecocks at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -1.5 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 17 - South Carolina: 10 (SEC)

Gamecocks (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (19 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
SC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ UK -1)
Projected Score: SC: 23 - UK: 26 (49)
UK Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SC Travel: 341 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SC Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	South Carolina at Vanderbilt	-4.0	40.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	South Carolina at Mississippi State	+9.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/17	South Carolina vs East Carolina	-6.0	51.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/24	South Carolina at Kentucky	+1.5	57.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Carolina vs Texas A&M	+14.0	50.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sun 10/9	South Carolina vs Georgia	+8.5	41.5	L 14 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	South Carolina vs Massachusetts	-21.0	46.0	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/29	South Carolina vs Tennessee	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	South Carolina vs Missouri	-5.0	56.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	South Carolina at Florida	+16.0	38.5	L 7 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	South Carolina vs Western Carolina	-29.0
Sat 11/26	South Carolina at Clemson	+24.5	49.5	L 7 - 56	O	N
Thu 12/29	South Carolina vs South Florida	+11.0	58.0	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule

Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-7.5	62.0	L 35 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+16.5	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-21.5	65.5	W 62 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-1.5	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Alabama	+32.5	54.5	L 6 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+1.5	54.5	W 40 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Missouri	+4.5	69.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Kentucky vs Georgia	+2.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	58.0	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-43.0
Sat 11/26	Kentucky at Louisville	+26.0	70.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	.13	40%	22.7	39%	2.77	155	38%	208	3.41	.23	47%	22.1	47%	45%	3.95	39	1.3	1.7
UK	.14	39%	23	41%	2.65	163	35%	209	3.26	.13	45%	26.4	45%	43%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Offense	12	22.7	18.5	39.8%	3.41	1.3	18	362	155	208	4.4	50%	47%	39%	38%	2%	.13
UK Defense	12	26.4	22.6	45.1%	3.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	2%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Defense	12	22.1	27.5	46.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	47%	45%	3%	.23
UK Offense	12	23	31.7	39.4%	3.26	1.8	19	372	163	209	4.7	47%	51%	41%	35%	2%	.14

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Carolina	12	28:29	18	35%	55%	5	39	1.3	1.7	0	0	1	29.8
Kentucky	12	29:16	18.5	37%	68%	5.8	56.3	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	26.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Offense	12	50%	39%	35.3	154.7	4.4	11	.08	2.77	55%	0%	1.1
UK Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.89	81%	0%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Defense	12	56%	47%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.15	81%	0%	1.08
UK Offense	12	47%	41%	34.9	162.7	4.7	22	.19	2.65	65%	0%	1.24

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Offense	12	47%	38%	15.9	29.3	207.5	7.1	13	17	12	.21	1.8	36%	36%	.32	2%	1.9
UK Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.2	1.5	30%	37%	.17	2%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Defense	12	42%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.23	1.4	30%	38%	.35	3%	1.6
UK Offense	12	51%	35%	18.2	33.1	209.3	6.3	11.5	10	16	.12	1.6	37%	33%	.35	2%	1.9

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: NR
South Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #85
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #104
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #56

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: Kentucky: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: -4.0 Kentucky: -2.6

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

South Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 26
South Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	13	South Carolina -5.5	South Carolina	46.5	Over
2024	09/07	Kentucky	6	South Carolina	31	Kentucky -9.5	South Carolina	41.5	Under
2023	11/18	South Carolina	17	Kentucky	14	South Carolina -2.5	South Carolina	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Kentucky	14	South Carolina	24	Kentucky -4	South Carolina	45.0	Under
2021	09/25	South Carolina	10	Kentucky	16	Kentucky -4.5	Kentucky	49.0	Under
2020	12/05	Kentucky	41	South Carolina	18	Kentucky -12	Kentucky	46.0	Over
2019	09/28	South Carolina	24	Kentucky	7	South Carolina -3.5	South Carolina	54.0	Under
2018	09/29	Kentucky	24	South Carolina	10	South Carolina -1	Kentucky	52.0	Under
2017	09/16	South Carolina	13	Kentucky	23	South Carolina -6	Kentucky	48.5	Under
2016	09/24	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	10	Kentucky -1.5	Kentucky	57.5	Under
2015	09/12	South Carolina	22	Kentucky	26	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	56.0	Under
2014	10/04	Kentucky	45	South Carolina	38	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	0
2013	10/05	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	28	South Carolina -21	Kentucky	0
2012	09/29	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	38
2011	10/08	South Carolina	54	Kentucky	3
2010	10/16	Kentucky	31	South Carolina	28
2009	10/10	South Carolina	28	Kentucky	26
2008	10/11	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2007	10/04	South Carolina	38	Kentucky	23
2006	10/07	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2005	10/08	South Carolina	44	Kentucky	16
2004	10/16	Kentucky	7	South Carolina	12
2003	10/09	South Carolina	27	Kentucky	21
2002	10/12	Kentucky	12	South Carolina	16
2001	10/06	South Carolina	42	Kentucky	6
2000	10/06	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	8	8	2 Overs
South Carolina	18	5	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#) SC at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SC	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#78
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#23	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Carolina Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

South Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#56
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky -1.5 (57.5)
Kentucky won vs South Carolina this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Kentucky last year (35-13)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2024 (31-6)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2023 (17-14)

SC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD