South Carolina at Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -1.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 17 - South Carolina: 10  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (10 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
SC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ UK -1)

Projected Score: SC: 26 - UK: 30 (56)
UK Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SC Travel: 341 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Carolina's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 South Carolina at Vanderbilt-4.040.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 South Carolina at Mississippi State+9.550.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 9/17 South Carolina vs East Carolina-6.051.5W 20 - 15UN
Sat 9/24 South Carolina at Kentucky+1.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 South Carolina vs Texas A&M+14.050.5L 13 - 24UY
Sun 10/9 South Carolina vs Georgia+8.541.5L 14 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 South Carolina vs Massachusetts-21.046.0W 34 - 28ON
Sat 10/29 South Carolina vs Tennessee+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 South Carolina vs Missouri-5.056.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/12 South Carolina at Florida+16.038.5L 7 - 20UY
Sat 11/19 South Carolina vs Western Carolina-29.0
Sat 11/26 South Carolina at Clemson+24.549.5L 7 - 56ON
Thu 12/29 South Carolina vs South Florida+11.058.0L 39 - 46OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Kentucky vs Southern Miss-7.562.0L 35 - 44ON
Sat 9/10 Kentucky at Florida+16.548.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 9/17 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-21.565.5W 62 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Kentucky vs South Carolina-1.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/1 Kentucky at Alabama+32.554.5L 6 - 34UY
Sat 10/8 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-2.048.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Kentucky vs Mississippi State+1.554.5W 40 - 38OY
Sat 10/29 Kentucky at Missouri+4.569.0W 35 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 Kentucky vs Georgia+2.552.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Kentucky at Tennessee+10.558.0L 36 - 49ON
Sat 11/19 Kentucky vs Austin Peay-43.0
Sat 11/26 Kentucky at Louisville+26.070.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 12/31 Kentucky vs Georgia Tech+5.061.0L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC.1140%20.841%2.7313438%2133.36.1245%26.546%43%3.3546.61.52.1
UK.1943%3046%3.0823436%1863.68.2349%31.353%42%3.5245.82.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1320.810.240.4%3.361.5193481342133.749%50%41%38%20%.11
UK Defense1331.326.749.3%3.521.6 - - - - - 59%39%53%42%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1326.52645.4%3.352.1 - - - - - 55%44%46%43%15%.12
UK Offense133035.342.9%3.682.2204202341865.459%39%46%36%16%.19

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1329:5618.534%52%546.61.52.15.41.6129.6
Kentucky1329:512039%75%545.82.21.65.31.6229.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1349%41%36.5134.43.720.062.7367%14%0.91
UK Defense1359%53% - - - - .243.5381%9%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1355%46% - - - - .13.1164%10%0.85
UK Offense1359%46%43.1234.25.431.23.0874%11%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1350%38%19.130.9213.26.911.2127.151.534%29%.266%1.9
UK Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 13.241.730%40%.45%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1344%43% - - - - - - 15.161.530%35%.366%1.8
UK Offense1339%36%13.124186.17.814.21712.191.933%30%.195%1.8

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: NR
South Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #85
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #56

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina:    Kentucky: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: -4.0   Kentucky: -2.6




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 20.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

South Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 30
South Carolina 26


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 31
South Carolina 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 29
South Carolina 22

Total Points: 51
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27South Carolina35Kentucky13South Carolina -5.5South Carolina46.5Over
202409/07Kentucky6South Carolina31Kentucky -9.5South Carolina41.5Under
202311/18South Carolina17Kentucky14South Carolina -2.5South Carolina52.5Under
202210/08Kentucky14South Carolina24Kentucky -4South Carolina45.0Under
202109/25South Carolina10Kentucky16Kentucky -4.5Kentucky49.0Under
202012/05Kentucky41South Carolina18Kentucky -12Kentucky46.0Over
201909/28South Carolina24Kentucky7South Carolina -3.5South Carolina54.0Under
201809/29Kentucky24South Carolina10South Carolina -1Kentucky52.0Under
201709/16South Carolina13Kentucky23South Carolina -6Kentucky48.5Under
201609/24Kentucky17South Carolina10Kentucky -1.5Kentucky57.5Under
201509/12South Carolina22Kentucky26South Carolina -7.5Kentucky56.0Under
201410/04Kentucky45South Carolina38South Carolina -7.5Kentucky0
201310/05South Carolina35Kentucky28South Carolina -21Kentucky0
201209/29Kentucky17South Carolina38
201110/08South Carolina54Kentucky3
201010/16Kentucky31South Carolina28
200910/10South Carolina28Kentucky26
200810/11Kentucky17South Carolina24
200710/04South Carolina38Kentucky23
200610/07Kentucky17South Carolina24
200510/08South Carolina44Kentucky16
200410/16Kentucky7South Carolina12
200310/09South Carolina27Kentucky21
200210/12Kentucky12South Carolina16
200110/06South Carolina42Kentucky6
200010/06Kentucky17South Carolina20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky882 Overs
South Carolina1859 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 117 - 65 - 52 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 71 - 25 - 5

(#) SC at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #78
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #23 #33
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
SC OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
SC OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #56
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky -1.5 (57.5)
Kentucky won vs South Carolina this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Kentucky last year (31-6)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2023 (17-14)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-14)

  
SC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD