Michigan State at Notre Dame - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -7 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan State 36 - Notre Dame: 28

 
Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
MSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ ND -8)
Projected Score: MSU: 20 - ND: 37 (57)
ND Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 114 miles
Fighting Irish (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Michigan State vs Furman-45.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Michigan State at Notre Dame+7.049.0W 36 - 28OY
Sat 9/24 Michigan State vs Wisconsin-6.042.5L 6 - 30UN
Sat 10/1 Michigan State at Indiana-8.052.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/8 Michigan State vs BYU-5.048.5L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/15 Michigan State vs Northwestern-6.541.0L 40 - 54ON
Sat 10/22 Michigan State at Maryland-2.549.0L 17 - 28UN
Sat 10/29 Michigan State vs Michigan+21.049.5L 23 - 32OY
Sat 11/5 Michigan State at Illinois-7.047.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Michigan State vs Rutgers-15.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.550.0L 16 - 17UY
Sat 11/26 Michigan State at Penn State+13.553.5L 12 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 Notre Dame at Texas-2.554.5L 47 - 50ON
Sat 9/10 Notre Dame vs Nevada-26.062.0W 39 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Notre Dame vs Michigan State-7.049.0L 28 - 36ON
Sat 9/24 Notre Dame vs Duke-20.060.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-12.074.5W 50 - 33OY
Sat 10/8 Notre Dame at NC State-2.556.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 10/15 Notre Dame vs Stanford-3.553.0L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Notre Dame vs Miami-1.058.5W 30 - 27UY
Sat 11/5 Notre Dame vs Navy+4.563.0L 27 - 28UY
Sat 11/12 Notre Dame vs Army-11.555.5W 44 - 6UY
Sat 11/19 Notre Dame vs Virginia Tech-3.053.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/26 Notre Dame at USC+17.059.5L 27 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.1543%24.643%2.7615142%2343.78.1241%29.943%39%3.0842.912
ND.2748%4247%3.1920846%2594.05.1442%17.643%38%3.5745.11.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1424.621.643.1%3.781213861512343.853%46%43%42%2%.15
ND Defense1317.61841.7%3.571.1 - - - - - 55%43%43%38%1%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1429.932.841.5%3.082 - - - - - 46%53%43%39%3%.12
ND Offense134244.747.7%4.051.5224662082595.651%47%47%46%2%.27

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1432:5121.448%42%5.442.91200231.7
Notre Dame1329:3722.543%63%5.245.11.51.100428.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1453%43%39.4151.33.824.022.7679%0%0.85
ND Defense1355%43% - - - - .152.7669%0%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1446%43% - - - - .012.7466%0%0.79
ND Offense1351%47%36.8207.65.629.193.1965%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1446%42%17.431.4234.27.513.4268.351.833%38%.422%2
ND Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 9.181.734%29%.211%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1453%39% - - - - - - 15.221.734%34%.43%2
ND Offense1347%46%18.529.6258.88.7142510.391.730%43%.612%2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #50
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #55
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Notre Dame: 10.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 7.4   Notre Dame: 15.7




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 10.35 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2016 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7  #18
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #34

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 37
Michigan State 20

Projected Total Points: 57
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/23Michigan State18Notre Dame38Notre Dame -3.5Notre Dame54.0Over
201609/17Notre Dame28Michigan State36Notre Dame -7Michigan State49.0Over
201309/21Notre Dame17Michigan State13Notre Dame -6Michigan State0
201209/15Michigan State3Notre Dame20
201109/17Notre Dame31Michigan State13
201009/18Michigan State34Notre Dame31
200909/19Notre Dame33Michigan State30
200809/20Michigan State23Notre Dame7
200709/22Notre Dame14Michigan State31
200609/23Michigan State37Notre Dame40
200509/17Notre Dame41Michigan State44
200409/18Michigan State24Notre Dame31
200309/20Notre Dame16Michigan State22
200209/21Michigan State17Notre Dame21
200109/22Notre Dame10Michigan State17
200009/22Michigan State27Notre Dame21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame812 Overs
Michigan State820 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 100 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams10 - 63 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#) MSU at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #22 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame -7.0 (49.0)
Michigan State won at Notre Dame this year (36-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MSU's OC ()
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MSU's DC ()
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ND's OC ()
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ND's DC ()
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