Louisiana at Kennesaw State Week 2 College Football Matchup Louisiana at Kennesaw State Matchup - Week 2
Sat, Sep 7 2024 · Week 2 · 🏟 Fifth Third Bank Stadium Kennesaw, GA · Turf · 8,318 cap
Louisiana✈ 510 mi+1 hr TZ
34 10
Final
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Louisiana
37
ULL -14.5
Kennesaw State
12
P&R Line Louisiana -25.5
P&R Total O/U 49
Confidence 86 High
Vegas Louisiana -14.5 · O/U 46.5
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
75.9%
Louisiana wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Louisiana -14.5
O/U 46.5
ESPN Bet
Advanced Stats
PPA + Success Rate agree → Louisiana · 73.9% ATS historically
↓ See full breakdown
Louisiana 2024 Schedule
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.5W34–1046.5W34–10UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/21Louisiana vs Tulane+1.5L33–4153.5L33–41ON
Sat 9/28Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.0W41–3859.5W41–38OY
Sat 10/5Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.5W23–1357.5W23–13UN
Sat 10/12Louisiana vs App State-10.0W34–2464.0W34–24UN
Sat 10/19Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.0W34–2457.0W34–24OY
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/29Louisiana at Texas State+4.0W23–1760.5W23–17UY
Sat 11/9Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.0W55–1960.0W55–19OY
Sat 11/16Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.5L22–2460.0L22–24UN
Sat 11/23Louisiana vs Troy-7.5W51–3051.5W51–30OY
Sat 11/30Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.5W37–2350.5W37–23OY
Sat 12/7Louisiana vs Marshall-5.0L3–3158.0L3–31UN
Sat 12/28Louisiana vs TCU+9.5L3–3461.0L3–34UN
Kennesaw State 2024 Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Kennesaw State at UTSA+24.0L16–2849.5L16–28UY
Sat 9/7Kennesaw State vs Louisiana+14.5L10–3446.5L10–34UN
Sat 9/14Kennesaw State at San José State+16.5L10–3141.5L10–31UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/28Kennesaw State vs UT Martin+1.5L13–2445.5L13–24UN
Fri 10/4Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State+17.5L24–6349.5L24–63ON
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/15Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+8.5L5–1450.0L5–14UN
Wed 10/23Kennesaw State vs Liberty+27.0W27–2448.0W27–24OY
Wed 10/30Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky+24.0L14–3149.0L14–31UY
Sat 11/9Kennesaw State at UTEP+4.5L35–4342.0L35–43ON
Sat 11/16Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston+21.0L17–2342.5L17–23UY
Sat 11/23Kennesaw State vs Florida International+9.0W27–2642.5W27–26OY
Sat 11/30Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech+13.5L0–3341.5L0–33UN
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2024 season
Louisiana PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Both Agree
→ Louisiana
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Louisiana #16
+0.512
Kennesaw State #134
+0.183
Louisiana Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Louisiana #10
+0.683
Kennesaw State #133
+0.206
Louisiana Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Louisiana #121
0.127
Kennesaw State #112
0.136
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Kennesaw State Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Louisiana #32
+8.418
Kennesaw State #103
+7.929
Louisiana Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Louisiana #47
+0.907
Kennesaw State #133
+0.799
Louisiana Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Louisiana #81
71.5
Kennesaw State #73
71.1
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Kennesaw State Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2024 season · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Kennesaw State Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Louisiana
-4.7
Kennesaw State
-4.2
Offense Rating
Louisiana
16.6
Kennesaw State
11.7
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Louisiana
21.2
Kennesaw State
15.9
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Louisiana Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Louisiana #19
0.00
Kennesaw State #102
0.00
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Louisiana #56
0.00
Kennesaw State #91
1.00
Louisiana +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 1 game this season
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Louisiana Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Louisiana #1
87.5
Kennesaw State #1
7.3
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Louisiana #31
4.9
Kennesaw State #129
86.5
Louisiana +80.2
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 75.9% of games historically
Based on 1 game this season
Spread Context
ATS Historical Context
Based on 2021–2025 backtest · FBS vs FBS · Regular season

CSS and GC disagree on this matchup. When the metrics split, historical cover rates are essentially random — treat this as a coin flip against the spread.

ATS data is informational only. Past cover rates do not guarantee future results.

Coaching Matchup
Louisiana
Michael Desormeaux #1
13–14 (48%) · Yr 3 at school
OC Tim Leger Yr 3 #1
DC Jim Salgado Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
Kennesaw State
Brian Bohannon #1
71–30 (70%) · Yr 10 at school
OC Chandler Burks Yr 1 #1
DC Greg Harris Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself