Louisiana at Coastal Carolina Week 8 College Football Matchup Louisiana at Coastal Carolina Matchup - Week 8
Sat, Oct 19 2024 · Week 8 · 🏟 Brooks Stadium Conway, SC · Turf · 9,214 cap
Louisiana✈ 801 mi+1 hr TZ
34 24
Final
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Louisiana
34
ULL -6
Coastal Carolina
24
P&R Line Louisiana -10
P&R Total O/U 57
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Louisiana -6 · O/U 57.0
Matchup Prediction
Louisiana has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor Louisiana entering this game.
Momentum Control
73.7%
Louisiana wins
Solid
Game Control
58.3%
Louisiana wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
Louisiana -6
O/U 57.0
DraftKings
Advanced Stats
Advanced factors are split · No strong agreement signal
↓ See full breakdown
Louisiana 2024 Schedule
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.5W34–1046.5W34–10UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/21Louisiana vs Tulane+1.5L33–4153.5L33–41ON
Sat 9/28Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.0W41–3859.5W41–38OY
Sat 10/5Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.5W23–1357.5W23–13UN
Sat 10/12Louisiana vs App State-10.0W34–2464.0W34–24UN
Sat 10/19Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.0W34–2457.0W34–24OY
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/29Louisiana at Texas State+4.0W23–1760.5W23–17UY
Sat 11/9Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.0W55–1960.0W55–19OY
Sat 11/16Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.5L22–2460.0L22–24UN
Sat 11/23Louisiana vs Troy-7.5W51–3051.5W51–30OY
Sat 11/30Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.5W37–2350.5W37–23OY
Sat 12/7Louisiana vs Marshall-5.0L3–3158.0L3–31UN
Sat 12/28Louisiana vs TCU+9.5L3–3461.0L3–34UN
Coastal Carolina 2024 Schedule
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29Coastal Carolina at Jacksonville State+3.5W55–2754.5W55–27OY
Sat 9/7Coastal Carolina vs William & Mary-17.5W40–210.0W40–21OY
Sat 9/14Coastal Carolina at Temple-17.5W28–2051.5W28–20UN
Sat 9/21Coastal Carolina vs Virginia+3.5L24–4352.0L24–43ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/5Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion-4.0W45–3751.5W45–37OY
Thu 10/10Coastal Carolina at James Madison+7.0L7–3959.0L7–39UN
Sat 10/19Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana+6.0L24–3457.0L24–34ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/2Coastal Carolina at Troy-4.0L24–3852.0L24–38ON
Thu 11/7Coastal Carolina vs App State+1.5W38–2462.5W38–24UY
Sat 11/16Coastal Carolina at Marshall+7.5L19–3157.0L19–31UN
Sat 11/23Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern-2.0L6–2659.5L6–26UN
Sat 11/30Coastal Carolina at Georgia State+0.5W48–2752.5W48–27OY
Mon 12/23Coastal Carolina at UTSA+12.5L15–4456.5L15–44ON
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2024 season
Louisiana PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Split
Metrics disagree
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Louisiana #16
+0.514
Coastal Carolina #73
+0.403
Louisiana Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Louisiana #10
+0.713
Coastal Carolina #68
+0.470
Louisiana Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Louisiana #121
0.127
Coastal Carolina #111
0.136
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Coastal Carolina Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Louisiana #32
+8.388
Coastal Carolina #36
+8.669
Coastal Carolina Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Louisiana #47
+0.879
Coastal Carolina #98
+0.889
Coastal Carolina Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Louisiana #81
71.5
Coastal Carolina #65
70.7
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Coastal Carolina Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2024 season · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Louisiana Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Louisiana
-4.7
Coastal Carolina
-14.3
Offense Rating
Louisiana
16.6
Coastal Carolina
7.8
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Louisiana
21.2
Coastal Carolina
22.1
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Louisiana Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Louisiana #19
1.20
Coastal Carolina #110
0.20
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Louisiana #56
0.00
Coastal Carolina #96
1.00
Louisiana +1.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 73.7% of games historically
Based on 5 games this season
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Louisiana Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Louisiana #1
62.7
Coastal Carolina #1
54.7
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Louisiana #31
18.8
Coastal Carolina #74
34.9
Louisiana +8.0
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.3% of games historically
Based on 6 games this season
Spread Context
ATS Historical Context
Based on 2021–2025 backtest · FBS vs FBS · Regular season

Both metrics agree on Louisiana. Teams with this edge profile have covered 50.3% historically — essentially a coin flip against the spread.

ATS data is informational only. Past cover rates do not guarantee future results.

Coaching Matchup
Louisiana
Michael Desormeaux #1
13–14 (48%) · Yr 3 at school
OC Tim Leger Yr 3 #1
DC Jim Salgado Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
Coastal Carolina
Tim Beck* #1
8–5 (62%) · Yr 2 at school
OC Travis Trickett Yr 2 #1
DC Craig Naivar Yr 2 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself