Sat, Sep 28 2024
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Week 5
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🏟 Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Kennesaw, GA
·
Turf
·
8,318 cap
UT Martin✈ 290 mi+1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Kennesaw State wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
UT Martin -1.5
O/U 45.5
ESPN Bet
UT Martin 2024 Schedule
UT Martin's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | UT Martin at Kansas State | +36.5L6–41 | 56.5 | L6–41 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/28 | UT Martin at Kennesaw State | -1.5W24–13 | 45.5 | W24–13 | U | Y |
Kennesaw State 2024 Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Kennesaw State at UTSA | +24.0L16–28 | 49.5 | L16–28 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Kennesaw State vs Louisiana | +14.5L10–34 | 46.5 | L10–34 | U | N |
| Sat 9/14 | Kennesaw State at San José State | +16.5L10–31 | 41.5 | L10–31 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Kennesaw State vs UT Martin | +1.5L13–24 | 45.5 | L13–24 | U | N |
| Fri 10/4 | Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State | +17.5L24–63 | 49.5 | L24–63 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Tue 10/15 | Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee | +8.5L5–14 | 50.0 | L5–14 | U | N |
| Wed 10/23 | Kennesaw State vs Liberty | +27.0W27–24 | 48.0 | W27–24 | O | Y |
| Wed 10/30 | Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky | +24.0L14–31 | 49.0 | L14–31 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/9 | Kennesaw State at UTEP | +4.5L35–43 | 42.0 | L35–43 | O | N |
| Sat 11/16 | Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston | +21.0L17–23 | 42.5 | L17–23 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/23 | Kennesaw State vs Florida International | +9.0W27–26 | 42.5 | W27–26 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/30 | Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech | +13.5L0–33 | 41.5 | L0–33 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
UT Martin Edge
UT Martin +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Kennesaw State Edge
Kennesaw State +70.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓