Utah State at Utah - 2026 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Utah UtesUtah logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rice-Eccles Stadium - Salt Lake City, UT

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#77)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTAH 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Utah -27.5  (SP+ UTAH -25)
Projected Score: USU: 17 - UTAH: 45 (62)
UTAH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
USU Travel: 69 miles
Utes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Morgan Scalley (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#12)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Utah State at Utah+27.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Utah's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Utah vs Idaho-40
Sat 9/12 Utah vs Arkansas-15.5
Sat 9/19 Utah vs Utah State-27.5
Sat 9/26 Utah at Iowa State-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Utah vs Kansas-17.5
Sat 10/17 Utah at Colorado-22
Sat 10/24 Utah vs Houston-12.5
Sat 10/31 Utah at Cincinnati-10.5
Sat 11/7 Utah vs BYU-4
Sat 11/14 Utah at Arizona-6
Sat 11/21 Utah at TCU-6
Sat 11/28 Utah vs West Virginia-21.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#47 (.2)41% (91)30.942% (89)2.87 (81)16341% (85)2474.49 (16)#112 (.22)43% (91)28.745% (99)42% (70)3.77 (76)60.20.81.3
UTAH#3 (.36)49% (8)41.351% (5)3.55 (2)26747% (23)2175.01 (2)#23 (.07)38% (28)18.943% (79)33% (8)2.93 (16)480.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1330.925.240.9%4.490.8214101632474.847%52%42%41%16%.2
UTAH Defense1318.920.238.4%2.931.4 - - - - - 51%47%43%33%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1328.73743.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%13%.22
UTAH Offense1341.34449.1%5.010.9254832672176.156%44%51%47%12%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1327:1420.635%54%7.660.20.81.34.92.2128.2
Utah1330:4725.553%64%5.9480.91.46.32.6428.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1347% (95)42% (89)34.2162.94.825 (40).19 (31)2.87 (81)71% (75)11% (119)1.16 (9)
UTAH Defense1351% (80)43% (79) - - - - .18 (115)2.87 (65)73% (80)10% (57)1.11 (126)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1347% (28)45% (99) - - - - .21 (124)3.18 (116)70% (61)7% (127)1.04 (105)
UTAH Offense1356% (25)51% (5)44.1266.56.141 (11).35 (2)3.55 (2)82% (6)7% (17)1.1 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1352% (45)41% (85)18.631246.9813.326 (14)5 (7).24 (70)1.5 (67)33% (98)31% (56).36 (47)5% (28)2.1 (60)
UTAH Defense1347% (49)33% (8) - - - - - - 15 (38).01 (4)1.7 (118)33% (47)25% (18).1 (6)7% (22)2.1 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1352% (111)42% (70) - - - - - - 13 (38).24 (62)1.5 (24)29% (112)33% (114).37 (107)6% (57)1.9 (26)
UTAH Offense1344% (105)47% (23)1828.7216.67.61227 (33)5 (34).38 (30)1.5 (83)28% (22)41% (3).65 (2)5% (39)2.1 (56)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -13.33  #112
Utah State's Offense Rating: 6.30  #92
Utah State's Defense Rating: 24.63  #119
2026 Talent Rating: 496.00  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Utah State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.3 - 6.7
Utah State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1  #79
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #53
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 619.25
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -13.33   Utah: 19.18

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -3.1   Utah: 22.2




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 19.18  #25
Utah's Offense Rating: 18.22  #20
Utah's Defense Rating: 12.06  #34
2026 Talent Rating: 736.00  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 13  #36
Utah's 2026 Expected Record: 10.9 - 2.1
Utah's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.2  #8
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #6
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 45
Utah State 17

Projected Total Points: 62
Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Utah's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Utah State21Utah38Utah -20.5Utah State43.5Over
201509/11Utah24Utah State14Utah -11Utah State44.0Under
201308/29Utah30Utah State26Utah -4.5Utah State0
201209/07Utah State27Utah20
200909/03Utah35Utah State17
200809/13Utah State10Utah58
200709/29Utah34Utah State18
200609/16Utah State0Utah48
200509/10Utah31Utah State7
200409/18Utah State6Utah48
200308/28Utah40Utah State20
200208/31Utah State3Utah23
200109/01Utah23Utah State19
200009/29Utah State14Utah35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah1301 Overs
Utah State131 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 61 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams6 - 82 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#112) USU at (#25) UTAH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUUTAH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #112 #25
SP+SP+ #79 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #110 #68
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #36
Utah State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffUTAH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #91 #28
ExplosiveExp #18 #116
PPAPPA #47 #23
PowerPwr #92 #34
SP+SP+ #53 #17
Pts POPPO #16 #16
HavocHav #87 #42
Utah State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffUTAH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #79
Run ExplRExp #9 #126
PPAExp #31 #115
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #81 #65
Stuff RateStuff #91 #51
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #8
Pass ExplPExl #67 #118
PPAExp #70 #4
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #119 #57
DB HavocDB #28 #22
Utah on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #8 #91
ExplosiveExp #52 #65
PPAPPA #3 #112
PowerPwr #20 #119
SP+SP+ #6 #98
Pts POPPO #2 #76
HavocHav #18 #114
Utah Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #99
Run ExplRExp #18 #105
PPAExp #2 #124
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #2 #116
Stuff RateStuff #3 #108
TackleTak - NR
Utah Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #70
Pass ExplPExl #83 #24
PPAExp #30 #62
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #17 #127
DB HavocDB #39 #57
Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Utah beat Utah State in 2024 (38-21)

  
USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Garcia6786%794011.3
McCae Hillstead (Tr)4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Jacobs6542956.658
Sesi Vailahi (Tr)4215223.614
Noah White259303.720
Anthony Garcia117516.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Robinson (Tr)58599410.346
Javen Jacobs4337938.830
Anthony Garcia20348217.474
Kahanu Davis6160126.745

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
Carson Tujague714151
Tyree Morris466411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyree Morris466411
Chris Joe416431
Bronson Olevao888463
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
D'Angelo Mayes403112

UTAH's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier21233464%24902457.5
Byrd Ficklin213560%301308.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayshawn Parker14998166.664
Devon Dampier146835105.759
Byrd Ficklin61513108.474
Steve Chavez-Soto (Tr)8744875.166
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)60925515.454
Kyri Shoels (Tr)59768213.043
Dallen Bentley48620612.945
Larry Simmons15280618.748

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Colton Swan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnathan Hall636314
Jackson Bennee624125
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Elijah Reed (Tr)442104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Kash Dillon325410
Johnathan Hall636314
Elijah Elliss183200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Bennee624125
Johnathan Hall636314
Elijah Reed (Tr)442104