Louisville at Kentucky - 2026 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
UK is playing their 4th straight game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -6.5  (SP+ LOU -10.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 28 - UK: 22 (50)
LOU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
LOU Travel: 69 miles
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#81)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Louisville's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Louisville vs Ole Miss+12.5
Fri 9/11 Louisville vs Villanova-36.5
Sat 9/19 Louisville vs SMU-1
Sat 9/26 Louisville vs Wake Forest-7.5
Sat 10/3 Louisville at NC State-2
Fri 10/9 Louisville vs Florida State-7
Sat 10/17 Louisville at Syracuse-15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Louisville vs Stanford-20
Fri 11/6 Louisville at Georgia Tech-1.5
Sat 11/14 Louisville at North Carolina-10.5
Sat 11/21 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-5.5
Sat 11/28 Louisville at Kentucky-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kentucky vs Youngstown State-27.5
Sat 9/12 Kentucky vs Alabama+12.5
Sat 9/19 Kentucky at Texas A&M+22.5
Sat 9/26 Kentucky vs South Alabama-19.5
Sat 10/3 Kentucky at South Carolina+7.5
Sat 10/10 Kentucky vs LSU+12.5
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Oklahoma+21
Sat 10/24 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Kentucky at Tennessee+17
Sat 11/14 Kentucky vs Florida+3
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Missouri+17
Sat 11/28 Kentucky vs Louisville+6.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#84 (.15)45% (44)29.950% (8)2.75 (105)16441% (74)2213.62 (77)#15 (.05)37% (16)21.238% (15)37% (19)3.38 (43)63.21.31.5
UK#115 (.08)42% (81)2345% (53)3.05 (51)13940% (96)2023.84 (57)#85 (.18)44% (97)26.444% (84)45% (112)3.98 (99)411.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92344.7%3.621.3203851642215.144%53%50%41%17%.15
UK Defense1226.422.643.7%3.981.2 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.536.7%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%53%38%37%17%.05
UK Offense122331.741.6%3.841.8203411392023.951%47%45%40%18%.08

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:1219.635%64%6.963.21.31.55.92.4232.4
Kentucky1230:3819.740%52%4.9411.81.25.82.1029.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1344% (111)50% (8)32.31645.125 (70).21 (21)2.75 (105)65% (108)10% (98)1.08 (28)
UK Defense1252% (94)44% (84) - - - - .09 (63)2.89 (71)68% (44)10% (57)0.9 (41)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1346% (17)38% (15) - - - - .07 (51)2.74 (41)75% (97)11% (38)0.95 (63)
UK Offense1251% (52)45% (53)35.9139.33.919 (70).06 (98)3.05 (51)70% (84)11% (111)0.82 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1353% (35)41% (74)20.632.2220.66.910.718 (75)9 (60).13 (119)1.4 (131)28% (21)27% (104).14 (124)6% (90)1.9 (107)
UK Defense1246% (37)45% (112) - - - - - - 12 (38).31 (99)1.5 (64)30% (91)31% (85).31 (76)5% (110)2 (53)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1353% (120)37% (19) - - - - - - 14 (6).06 (6)1.4 (7)34% (24)24% (8).11 (9)7% (38)1.9 (23)
UK Offense1247% (85)40% (96)19.130.6201.96.610.615 (128)14 (60).19 (101)1.6 (59)31% (62)26% (113).02 (134)7% (95)1.7 (131)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.10  #28
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.05  #28
Louisville's Defense Rating: 10.95  #35
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Louisville's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Louisville's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.10   Kentucky: 6.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.4   Kentucky: 1.8




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.47  #53
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 15.36  #49
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 14.22  #58
2026 Talent Rating: 836.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #25
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 28
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 50
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Louisville41Kentucky0Louisville -1.0Louisville45.5Under
202411/30Kentucky14Louisville41Louisville -3.5Louisville48.5Over
202311/25Louisville31Kentucky38Louisville -7.5Kentucky47.5Over
202211/26Kentucky26Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky42.5Under
202111/27Louisville21Kentucky52Louisville -3Kentucky58.0Over
201911/30Kentucky45Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky51.0Over
201811/24Louisville10Kentucky56Kentucky -17Kentucky53.0Over
201711/25Kentucky17Louisville44Louisville -10Louisville68.0Under
201611/26Louisville38Kentucky41Louisville -26Kentucky70.5Over
201511/28Kentucky24Louisville38Louisville -4Louisville51.5Over
201411/29Louisville44Kentucky40Louisville -14Kentucky0
201309/14Kentucky13Louisville27Louisville -10.5Louisville0
201209/02Louisville32Kentucky14
201109/17Kentucky17Louisville24
201009/04Louisville16Kentucky23
200909/19Kentucky31Louisville27
200808/31Louisville2Kentucky27
200709/15Kentucky40Louisville34
200609/03Louisville59Kentucky28
200509/04Kentucky24Louisville31
200409/05Louisville28Kentucky0
200308/31Kentucky24Louisville40
200209/01Louisville17Kentucky22
200109/01Kentucky10Louisville36
200009/01Louisville40Kentucky34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1177 Overs
Louisville1453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 153 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams15 - 109 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#28) LOU at (#53) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #28 #53
SP+SP+ #25 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #60 #50
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #25
Louisville Notes
(3/3) Vibes: High, love Brohm, big portals, 9 W's a year
(2/7) RB I Brown back + K Brown. Have depth here
(2/2) DC English out, 30 portals in/37 out. Big changes
(2/2) OL looks good w 5 portal adds. Must find Center
(2/2) QB1 Kienholz (OSU portal), Wydner (FCS) exp'd
(2/2) WR rebuild, 4 portal adds incl Richardson & McCoy
(2/2) TE Brody Foley was a big get, big target + blocker
(2/2) DEs really good, but portal DTs must hit. Depth?
(2/2) LBs strongest unit, A Watts is an All American
(2/2) DBs added 6 portals, Entriger (Iowa) big add
(2/2) DT, CB & WR have big ?? OL portals must gel
Louisville Injury Report
Kentucky Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Excited for Stein/Off. Big portal class
(3/3) 15 portals on offense will be tremendous boost
(2/2) New HC Stein fresh air, but OC/DC are ? hires
(2/2) QB Minchey is exciting. Could excel w/ Stein
(2/2) RBs have a lot of promise over prod. Could see it
(2/2) WR rebuild w 6 portals. Need some surprise hits
(2/2) OL mix of 2 really great adds with lots of projects
(2/2) DL parts to build, mix of 9 exp'd guys (5 adds)
(2/2) LBs need work. Lot of projecting success here
(2/2) DBs were awful LY. 6 portals, Bryant (S) good one
Kentucky Injury Report
Louisville on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #44 #97
ExplosiveExp #90 #57
PPAPPA #84 #85
PowerPwr #28 #58
SP+SP+ #39 #48
Pts POPPO #77 #99
HavocHav #93 #93
Louisville Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #84
Run ExplRExp #28 #41
PPAExp #21 #63
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #105 #71
Stuff RateStuff #122 #53
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #112
Pass ExplPExl #131 #64
PPAExp #119 #99
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #57
DB HavocDB #90 #110
Kentucky on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #81 #16
ExplosiveExp #128 #26
PPAPPA #115 #15
PowerPwr #49 #35
SP+SP+ #80 #29
Pts POPPO #57 #43
HavocHav #110 #33
Kentucky Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #53 #15
Run ExplRExp #124 #63
PPAExp #98 #51
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #51 #41
Stuff RateStuff #51 #52
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #96 #19
Pass ExplPExl #59 #7
PPAExp #101 #6
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #111 #38
DB HavocDB #95 #38
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-0)
Louisville beat Kentucky in 2024 (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)

  
LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davin Wydner (Tr)14826356%16721586.4
Lincoln Kienholz (Tr)111479%139109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown10188478.878
Keyjuan Brown9670467.367
Davin Wydner (Tr)11044134.034
Braxton Jennings3720015.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)47810717.275
Jackson Voth (Tr)48536411.235
Brody Foley (Tr)36521714.572
Lawayne McCoy (Tr)27403314.934

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Mark Ivey (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koen Entringer (Tr)734013
Clev Lubin5913873
T.J. Capers463001
Tayon Holloway424104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin5913873
Tyler Thompson (Tr)268711
Adonijah Green316440
Antonio Watts427323
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tayon Holloway424104
Koen Entringer (Tr)734013
Clev Lubin5913873

UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)202677%196007.5
JacQai Long (Tr)61833%31001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jason Patterson5722513.929
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Kenny Minchey (Tr)784112.034
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)194512.410
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Carr (Tr)47655313.944
Willie Rodriguez23310113.553
Xavier Daisy (Tr)1817719.821
DJ Miller13175213.556

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Bryant762001
Jordan Castell (Tr)540020
Grant Godfrey342110
Mi'Quise Grace317462
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mi'Quise Grace317462
Lorenzo Cowan135300
Tavion Gadson284330
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)132340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols181024
Grant Grayton160003
Mi'Quise Grace317462