Louisville at Kentucky - 2026 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY

Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK is playing their 4th straight game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -5.5 (SP+ LOU -10.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 28 - UK: 22 (50)
LOU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
LOU Travel: 69 miles

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Louisville at Ole Miss	+12.5
Fri 9/11	Louisville vs Villanova	-34
Sat 9/19	Louisville vs SMU	-1.5
Sat 9/26	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-7
Sat 10/3	Louisville at NC State	-1
Fri 10/9	Louisville vs Florida State	-5.5
Sat 10/17	Louisville at Syracuse	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Louisville vs Stanford	-18
Fri 11/6	Louisville at Georgia Tech	-1
Sat 11/14	Louisville at North Carolina	-9
Sat 11/21	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-5
Sat 11/28	Louisville at Kentucky	-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-26
Sat 9/12	Kentucky vs Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/19	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+23
Sat 9/26	Kentucky vs South Alabama	-17
Sat 10/3	Kentucky at South Carolina	+9
Sat 10/10	Kentucky vs LSU	+12
Sat 10/17	Kentucky at Oklahoma	+20
Sat 10/24	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Kentucky at Tennessee	+15.5
Sat 11/14	Kentucky vs Florida	+4
Sat 11/21	Kentucky at Missouri	+17
Sat 11/28	Kentucky vs Louisville	+5.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#84 (.15)	45% (44)	29.9	50% (8)	2.75 (105)	164	41% (74)	221	3.62 (77)	#15 (.05)	37% (16)	21.2	38% (15)	37% (19)	3.38 (43)	63.2	1.3	1.5
UK	#115 (.08)	42% (81)	23	45% (53)	3.05 (51)	139	40% (96)	202	3.84 (57)	#85 (.18)	44% (97)	26.4	44% (84)	45% (112)	3.98 (99)	41	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	29.9	23	44.7%	3.62	1.3	20	385	164	221	5.1	44%	53%	50%	41%	17%	.15
UK Defense	12	26.4	22.6	43.7%	3.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	21.2	25.5	36.7%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	38%	37%	17%	.05
UK Offense	12	23	31.7	41.6%	3.84	1.8	20	341	139	202	3.9	51%	47%	45%	40%	18%	.08

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	30:12	19.6	35%	64%	6.9	63.2	1.3	1.5	5.9	2.4	2	32.4
Kentucky	12	30:38	19.7	40%	52%	4.9	41	1.8	1.2	5.8	2.1	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	44% (111)	50% (8)	32.3	164	5.1	25 (70)	.21 (21)	2.75 (105)	65% (108)	10% (98)	1.08 (28)
UK Defense	12	52% (94)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (63)	2.89 (71)	68% (44)	10% (57)	0.9 (41)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	46% (17)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	.07 (51)	2.74 (41)	75% (97)	11% (38)	0.95 (63)
UK Offense	12	51% (52)	45% (53)	35.9	139.3	3.9	19 (70)	.06 (98)	3.05 (51)	70% (84)	11% (111)	0.82 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	53% (35)	41% (74)	20.6	32.2	220.6	6.9	10.7	18 (75)	9 (60)	.13 (119)	1.4 (131)	28% (21)	27% (104)	.14 (124)	6% (90)	1.9 (107)
UK Defense	12	46% (37)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.31 (99)	1.5 (64)	30% (91)	31% (85)	.31 (76)	5% (110)	2 (53)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	53% (120)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (6)	.06 (6)	1.4 (7)	34% (24)	24% (8)	.11 (9)	7% (38)	1.9 (23)
UK Offense	12	47% (85)	40% (96)	19.1	30.6	201.9	6.6	10.6	15 (128)	14 (60)	.19 (101)	1.6 (59)	31% (62)	26% (113)	.02 (134)	7% (95)	1.7 (131)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 8.63 #30
Louisville's Offense Rating: 14.86 #36
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.23 #31
2026 Talent Rating: 750.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Louisville's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 8.63 Kentucky: 5.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.4 Kentucky: 1.8

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.19 #51
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 13.98 #42
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 15.40 #57
2026 Talent Rating: 826.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 28
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 50

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Louisville	41	Kentucky	0	Louisville -1.0	Louisville	45.5	Under
2024	11/30	Kentucky	14	Louisville	41	Louisville -3.5	Louisville	48.5	Over
2023	11/25	Louisville	31	Kentucky	38	Louisville -7.5	Kentucky	47.5	Over
2022	11/26	Kentucky	26	Louisville	13	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	42.5	Under
2021	11/27	Louisville	21	Kentucky	52	Louisville -3	Kentucky	58.0	Over
2019	11/30	Kentucky	45	Louisville	13	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	51.0	Over
2018	11/24	Louisville	10	Kentucky	56	Kentucky -17	Kentucky	53.0	Over
2017	11/25	Kentucky	17	Louisville	44	Louisville -10	Louisville	68.0	Under
2016	11/26	Louisville	38	Kentucky	41	Louisville -26	Kentucky	70.5	Over
2015	11/28	Kentucky	24	Louisville	38	Louisville -4	Louisville	51.5	Over
2014	11/29	Louisville	44	Kentucky	40	Louisville -14	Kentucky	0
2013	09/14	Kentucky	13	Louisville	27	Louisville -10.5	Louisville	0
2012	09/02	Louisville	32	Kentucky	14
2011	09/17	Kentucky	17	Louisville	24
2010	09/04	Louisville	16	Kentucky	23
2009	09/19	Kentucky	31	Louisville	27
2008	08/31	Louisville	2	Kentucky	27
2007	09/15	Kentucky	40	Louisville	34
2006	09/03	Louisville	59	Kentucky	28
2005	09/04	Kentucky	24	Louisville	31
2004	09/05	Louisville	28	Kentucky	0
2003	08/31	Kentucky	24	Louisville	40
2002	09/01	Louisville	17	Kentucky	22
2001	09/01	Kentucky	10	Louisville	36
2000	09/01	Louisville	40	Kentucky	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	11	7	7 Overs
Louisville	14	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	3 - 9	3 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	15 - 10	9 - 3	5 - 0	4 - 3

(#30) LOU at (#51) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#30	#51
SP+SP+	#25	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#64	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#23

Louisville Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Louisville on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#44	#97
ExplosiveExp	#90	#57
PPAPPA	#84	#85
PowerPwr	#36	#57
SP+SP+	#39	#48
Pts POPPO	#77	#99
HavocHav	#93	#93

Louisville Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#84
Run ExplRExp	#28	#41
PPAExp	#21	#63
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#53
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#74	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#64
PPAExp	#119	#99
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#98	#57
DB HavocDB	#90	#110

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#81	#16
ExplosiveExp	#128	#26
PPAPPA	#115	#15
PowerPwr	#42	#31
SP+SP+	#80	#29
Pts POPPO	#57	#43
HavocHav	#110	#33

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#15
Run ExplRExp	#124	#63
PPAExp	#98	#51
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#51	#52
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#96	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#59	#7
PPAExp	#101	#6
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#38
DB HavocDB	#95	#38

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-0)
Louisville beat Kentucky in 2024 (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lincoln Kienholz (Tr)	11	14	79%	139	1	0	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyjuan Brown	96	704	6	7.3	67
Braxton Jennings	37	200	1	5.4	22
Marquise Davis (Tr)	34	200	2	5.9	23
Shaun Boykins	37	190	1	5.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)	47	810	7	17.2	75
Jackson Voth (Tr)	48	536	4	11.2	35
Brody Foley (Tr)	36	521	7	14.5	72
Lawayne McCoy (Tr)	27	403	3	14.9	34

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Hutchinson	84	3	0	2	5
Koen Entringer (Tr)	73	4	0	1	3
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3
Corey Gordon	53	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3
Tyler Thompson (Tr)	26	8	7	1	1
Adonijah Green	31	6	4	4	0
Antonio Watts	42	7	3	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Hutchinson	84	3	0	2	5
Tayon Holloway	42	4	1	0	4
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3

UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	20	26	77%	196	0	0	7.5
JacQai Long (Tr)	6	18	33%	31	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jason Patterson	57	225	1	3.9	29
CJ Baxter Jr.	54	196	0	3.6	18
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	7	84	1	12.0	34
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)	19	45	1	2.4	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie Rodriguez	23	310	1	13.5	53
Josh Kattus	17	195	2	11.5	34
Xavier Daisy (Tr)	18	177	1	9.8	21
DJ Miller	13	175	2	13.5	56

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Bryant	76	2	0	0	1
Jordan Castell (Tr)	54	0	0	2	0
Grant Godfrey	34	2	1	1	0
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2
Tavion Gadson	28	4	3	3	0
Lorenzo Cowan	13	5	3	0	0
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)	13	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	18	1	0	2	4
Grant Grayton	16	0	0	0	3
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2