Alabama at Tennessee - 2026 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN

 
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (20 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#10)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
ALA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -0.5  (SP+ TENN -0)
Projected Score: ALA: 30 - TENN: 30 (60)
TENN Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
ALA Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs East Carolina-18.5
Sat 9/12 Alabama at Kentucky-12.5
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs Florida State-12.5
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs South Carolina-11
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Mississippi State-9
Sat 10/10 Alabama vs Georgia+6.5
Sat 10/17 Alabama at Tennessee+0.5
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Texas A&M+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama at LSU+2
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Vanderbilt+1.5
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Chattanooga-41.5
Sat 11/28 Alabama vs Auburn-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Tennessee's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tennessee vs Furman-39.5
Sat 9/12 Tennessee at Georgia Tech-6.5
Sat 9/19 Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-29
Sat 9/26 Tennessee vs Texas+3
Sat 10/3 Tennessee vs Auburn-5.5
Sat 10/10 Tennessee at Arkansas-9.5
Sat 10/17 Tennessee vs Alabama-0.5
Sat 10/24 Tennessee at South Carolina-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Tennessee vs Kentucky-15.5
Sat 11/14 Tennessee at Texas A&M+10
Sat 11/21 Tennessee vs LSU-1
Sat 11/28 Tennessee at Vanderbilt+3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#48 (.2)43% (62)29.540% (103)2.73 (109)10445% (33)2644.04 (38)#27 (.08)38% (23)19.239% (31)38% (33)3.65 (66)39.40.91.3
TENN#5 (.33)51% (5)39.852% (3)3.1 (40)17650% (9)2934.69 (9)#69 (.16)44% (107)28.848% (123)41% (67)4.09 (109)54.81.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.342.7%4.040.9203681042643.443%56%40%45%14%.2
TENN Defense1328.82944.5%4.091.5 - - - - - 50%49%48%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.737.9%3.651.3 - - - - - 50%48%39%38%18%.08
TENN Offense1339.842.350.6%4.691.2254691762934.750%48%52%50%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1531:3420.342%61%4.539.40.91.35.72.2330.3
Tennessee1327:2225.250%76%6.254.81.21.56.62.7428.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (118)40% (103)31104.23.421 (99).02 (115)2.73 (109)67% (100)8% (33)0.83 (122)
TENN Defense1350% (72)48% (123) - - - - .12 (79)2.89 (73)82% (126)12% (16)0.85 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (74)39% (31) - - - - .1 (66)2.81 (53)75% (101)11% (19)1 (91)
TENN Offense1350% (65)52% (3)37.8176.24.735 (16).26 (9)3.1 (40)85% (2)8% (23)0.96 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (15)45% (33)22.934.9263.57.611.532 (2)5 (3).35 (37)1.6 (54)30% (49)33% (30).4 (29)5% (42)2 (72)
TENN Defense1349% (78)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (75).22 (58)1.5 (54)31% (78)28% (45).26 (58)7% (32)2.1 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1548% (60)38% (33) - - - - - - 11 (31).11 (17)1.5 (50)35% (19)28% (46).25 (53)6% (47)2 (72)
TENN Offense1348% (74)50% (9)22.533.6292.88.71326 (14)10 (88).41 (19)1.6 (57)26% (10)34% (24).47 (16)5% (28)2.2 (10)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 20.70  #13
Alabama's Offense Rating: 18.92  #18
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.22  #13
2026 Talent Rating: 1016.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2026 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.70   Tennessee: 18.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 14.8   Tennessee: 15.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 18.36  #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 22.10  #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.38  #28
2026 Talent Rating: 980.00  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Tennessee's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 30
Alabama 30

Projected Total Points: 60
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Alabama37Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama60.5Under
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17Alabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49Alabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24Alabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48Alabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13Alabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58Alabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7Alabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49Alabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14Alabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34Alabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10Alabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee756 Overs
Alabama1985 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 55 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 83 - 32 - 5

(#13) ALA at (#18) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALATENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #13 #18
SP+SP+ #20 #19
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #11 #15
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #10
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #62 #107
ExplosiveExp #50 #13
PPAPPA #48 #69
PowerPwr #18 #28
SP+SP+ #36 #63
Pts POPPO #38 #109
HavocHav #39 #19
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #123
Run ExplRExp #122 #15
PPAExp #115 #79
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #109 #73
Stuff RateStuff #109 #47
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #67
Pass ExplPExl #54 #54
PPAExp #37 #58
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #16
DB HavocDB #42 #32
Tennessee on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #5 #23
ExplosiveExp #51 #61
PPAPPA #5 #27
PowerPwr #11 #13
SP+SP+ #7 #11
Pts POPPO #9 #66
HavocHav #18 #26
Tennessee Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #3 #31
Run ExplRExp #72 #91
PPAExp #9 #66
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #40 #53
Stuff RateStuff #12 #66
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #33
Pass ExplPExl #57 #50
PPAExp #19 #17
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #19
DB HavocDB #28 #47
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Tennessee last year (37-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2024 (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Mack243275%228207.1
Keelon Russell111573%143209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hill7528463.830
Kevin Riley5922423.822
AK Dear1914037.456
Austin Mack92212.420
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams49689414.175
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853
Noah Rogers (Tr)31413213.348
Daniel Hill2820317.341

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Caleb Woodson (Tr)573011
Keon Sabb523213
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Devan Thompkins (Tr)307312
Brayson Hubbard745218
Keon Sabb523213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Zabien Brown393006
Dijon Lee Jr.325005

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Staub (Tr)305555%426347.7
George MacIntyre7978%69007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop1821076165.950
Javin Gordon (Tr)12851654.025
Daune Morris3513313.819
Justin Baker144303.17
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon Staley68837612.373
Mike Matthews53813415.362
Ethan Davis21257212.240
DeSean Bishop1513509.023

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Edwin Spillman814332
Jeremiah Telander806120
Edrees Farooq760003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Norman (Tr)278620
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Daevin Hobbs304322
Edwin Spillman814332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Redmond4310011
DJ Burks (Tr)732005
TJ Metcalf (Tr)583004