Sat, Sep 6 2025
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Week 2
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🏟 Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Hadley, MA
·
Turf
·
17,000 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Massachusetts wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Massachusetts -14.5
O/U 52.0
Bovada
Bryant 2025 Schedule
Bryant's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Bryant at New Mexico State | +19.5L3–19 | 52.5 | L3–19 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/6 | Bryant at Massachusetts | +14.5W27–26 | 52.0 | W27–26 | O | Y |
Massachusetts 2025 Schedule
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Massachusetts vs Temple | +3.0L10–42 | 51.5 | L10–42 | O | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Massachusetts vs Bryant | -14.5L26–27 | 52.0 | L26–27 | O | N |
| Sat 9/13 | Massachusetts at Iowa | +35.5L7–47 | 44.5 | L7–47 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Massachusetts at Missouri | +44.5L6–42 | 57.5 | L6–42 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/4 | Massachusetts vs Western Michigan | +12.5L3–21 | 46.5 | L3–21 | U | N |
| Sat 10/11 | Massachusetts at Kent State | +1.5L6–42 | 49.5 | L6–42 | U | N |
| Sat 10/18 | Massachusetts vs Buffalo | +16.5L21–28 | 47.5 | L21–28 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/25 | Massachusetts at Central Michigan | +16.5L13–38 | 46.5 | L13–38 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Tue 11/4 | Massachusetts at Akron | +12.5L10–44 | 51.5 | L10–44 | O | N |
| Wed 11/12 | Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois | +8.5L3–45 | 43.5 | L3–45 | O | N |
| Tue 11/18 | Massachusetts at Ohio | +34.5L14–42 | 53.5 | L14–42 | O | Y |
| Tue 11/25 | Massachusetts vs Bowling Green | +14.0L14–45 | 44.5 | L14–45 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Bryant Edge
Bryant +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Massachusetts Edge
Massachusetts +26.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓