Sat, Aug 30 2025
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
DeKalb, IL
·
Turf
·
23,595 cap
Holy Cross✈ 868 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Northern Illinois wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Northern Illinois -13.5
O/U 48.5
Bovada
Holy Cross 2025 Schedule
Holy Cross's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Holy Cross at Northern Illinois | +13.5L17–19 | 48.5 | L17–19 | U | Y |
Northern Illinois 2025 Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross | -13.5W19–17 | 48.5 | W19–17 | U | N |
| Fri 9/5 | Northern Illinois at Maryland | +17.0L9–20 | 44.5 | L9–20 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Northern Illinois at Mississippi State | +23.5L10–38 | 48.5 | L10–38 | U | N |
| Sat 9/27 | Northern Illinois vs San Diego State | +1.5L3–6 | 41.5 | L3–6 | U | N |
| Sat 10/4 | Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH) | +4.5L14–25 | 38.5 | L14–25 | O | N |
| Sat 10/11 | Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan | -1.5L10–16 | 48.5 | L10–16 | U | N |
| Sat 10/18 | Northern Illinois at Ohio | +10.5L21–48 | 41.5 | L21–48 | O | N |
| Sat 10/25 | Northern Illinois vs Ball State | -6.5W21–7 | 41.5 | W21–7 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 11/5 | Northern Illinois at Toledo | +14.5L3–42 | 42.5 | L3–42 | O | N |
| Wed 11/12 | Northern Illinois at Massachusetts | -8.5W45–3 | 43.5 | W45–3 | O | Y |
| Tue 11/18 | Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan | +7.0L19–35 | 39.5 | L19–35 | O | N |
| Fri 11/28 | Northern Illinois vs Kent State | -5.0L31–35 | 45.0 | L31–35 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Holy Cross Edge
Holy Cross +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Northern Illinois Edge
Northern Illinois +36.5
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓