Northwestern State at Cincinnati - 2025 Matchup Preview

Northwestern State Demons at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -48.5 (55.5) (0) Open: -45.5
Cincinnati 70 - Northwestern State: 0

Demons (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 68 (0 - 68 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NWST 2nd straight Road Game
CIN 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Cincinnati -16.5 (SP+ CIN -9)
CIN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 40%

Bearcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 40 - 13 (52 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
NWST Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	Northwestern State at Minnesota	+43.0	50.5	L 0 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/13	Northwestern State at Cincinnati	+48.5	55.5	L 0 - 70	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern State's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Cincinnati vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Cincinnati vs Bowling Green	-21.5	46.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/13	Cincinnati vs Northwestern State	-48.5	55.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Cincinnati at Kansas	-0.5
Sat 10/4	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-1.5
Sat 10/11	Cincinnati vs UCF	-9.5
Sat 10/18	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	-16
Sat 10/25	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-4
Sat 11/1	Cincinnati at Utah	+10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Cincinnati vs Arizona	-7
Sat 11/22	Cincinnati vs BYU	-3
Sat 11/29	Cincinnati at TCU	+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NWST		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	68	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN	#16 (.44)	56% (13)	40.3	56% (16)	3.77 (11)	184	57% (11)	255	5.56 (10)	#63 (.12)	45% (106)	13.3	41% (79)	48% (116)	2.86 (46)	45.7	1	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NWST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NWST Offense	2	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
CIN Defense	3	13.3	10	44.9%	2.86	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	41%	48%	15%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NWST Defense	2	68	68	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
CIN Offense	3	40.3	52	56.2%	5.56	1	20	438	184	255	6.6	52%	47%	56%	57%	13%	.44

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Cincinnati	3	21:21	20.3	33%	100%	5	45.7	1	0.7	6.7	3	0	31.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NWST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
CIN Defense	3	44% (34)	41% (79)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (31)	2.63 (52)	69% (66)	12% (41)	0.77 (29)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NWST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
CIN Offense	3	52% (58)	56% (16)	28	183.7	6.6	6 (49)	.32 (28)	3.77 (11)	75% (52)	8% (50)	0.94 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NWST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
CIN Defense	3	56% (109)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.26 (89)	1.2 (10)	31% (87)	38% (122)	.33 (86)	3% (123)	1.5 (20)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NWST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
CIN Offense	3	47% (81)	57% (11)	17	24	254.7	10.6	15	10 (7)	1 (23)	.65 (10)	1.5 (74)	22% (10)	43% (20)	.78 (11)	6% (84)	2.2 (46)

Northwestern State's Power Ratings
Northwestern State's Power Rating: #NR
Northwestern State's Offense Rating: #NR
Northwestern State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northwestern State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Northwestern State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northwestern State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northwestern State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State: Cincinnati: 16.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State: Cincinnati: 8.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 16.26 #33
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 24.04 #21
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 5.41 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #34

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Northwestern State Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 68 PPG
Defense on Road: 68

Northwestern State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 38
Northwestern State 21

Total Points: 59

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Cincinnati	70	Northwestern State	0	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -48.5	Cincinnati	55.5	Over
2013	09/14	Cincinnati	66	Northwestern State	9	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -31	Cincinnati	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	2	2	1 Overs
Northwestern State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#NR) Northwestern State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Northwestern State has lost 1 straight
Northwestern State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Northwestern State Highlights

Northwestern State Deficiencies
Northwestern State has a really bad Offense
Northwestern State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	CIN	NWST
OverallOver	#6	—
OffenseOff	#6	—
DefenseDef	#12	—
Special TeamsST	#40	—
PassingPass	#4	—
RushingRush	#8	—
Run BlockRBLK	#12	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#25	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#21	—
TacklingTkl	#3	—
Run DefenseR Def	#4	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#88	—
Coverage DefCov	#19	—

Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati -48.5 (55.5)
Cincinnati won vs Northwestern State this year (70-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NWST | CIN
Depth Chart: NWST | CIN
Rosters: NWST | CIN

(#33) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: 16.26 #33
Offense Rating: 24.04 #21
Defense Rating: 5.41 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #34
Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.56 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 57%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Cincinnati has won 1 straight
Cincinnati has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Cincinnati Notes
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
(5/31) Pass rush? DE has 1 good portal, lots of ?
(5/31) LB & DB should be strong, DB portals good
(5/31) RB bad LY, Walker (Wisc) a big add, Pryor exp'd
(5/31) WR meh LY, 3 portals should improve things
(5/31) OL 2/5 back. OT's upgrade w/ 2 portal adds
(4/4) DT Dontay Corleone a top 10 DT via PFF

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati is Undefeated at Home

Cincinnati offense is efficent (#13)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati offense is good in red zone (#10)
Cincinnati Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Cincinnati defense does not give up big plays (#14)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Cincinnati has a bad defense (#106)

Northwestern State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Abram Johnston	22	40	55%	126	1	3	3.2
Eli Anderson	6	9	67%	15	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Myion Hicks	21	80	3.8	51
Kolbe Burrell	27	78	2.9	32
Abram Johnston	25	53	2.1	20
Zay Davis	9	23	2.6	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kody Finley	2	29	0	14.5	26
Luke Carter (Tr)	3	22	0	7.3	11
Ben Buisson	4	19	0	4.8	9
Ty Moore	1	15	1	15.0	15

View Northwestern State's Full Roster

Northwestern State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Kaden Mackey	13	0
Kolbe Cage (Tr)	13	0
Danny Sears	10	0
Fernando Washington	9	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Braden Woods	1	1	1
Kaden Mackey	13	0	0
Rahmaan Rinkin	3	0	0
Jecareon Lathan (Tr)	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Preston Hickey	6	1	1
Kaden Mackey	13	0	0
Javian Council	3	0	0

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	45	64	70%	655	8	1	10.2
Brady Lichtenberg	4	6	67%	56	1	0	9.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brendan Sorsby	22	175	4	8.0	29
Tawee Walker (Tr)	24	151	1	6.3	22
Evan Pryor	17	100	0	5.9	20
Manny Covey	5	44	0	8.8	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)	9	172	1	19.1	39
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	8	160	1	20.0	55
Cyrus Allen (Tr)	12	145	3	12.1	44
Joe Royer	8	138	2	17.3	73

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jake Golday	28	2	2	0	0
Trevon Gola-Callard	17	1	0	0	1
Jonathan Thompson	16	3	1	1	0
Jiquan Sanks	14	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Jake Golday	28	2	2	0
Robert Jackson	5	2	2	0
Jack Dingle	8	2	2	2
Brian Simms III	9	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Logan Wilson	8	1	2
Trevon Gola-Callard	17	1	1
Christian Harrison (Tr)	13	1	1