Alabama at LSU - 2022 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, November 5th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -13.5 (56.5)
LSU 32 - Alabama: 31  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Nick Saban (177 - 25)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ ALA -14)
Projected Score: ALA: 23 - LSU: 23 (46)
ALA Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs Utah State-42.063.0W 55 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Alabama at Texas-21.064.0W 20 - 19UN
Sat 9/17 Alabama vs UL Monroe-49.568.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-40.561.0W 55 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama at Arkansas-17.061.0W 49 - 26OY
Sat 10/8 Alabama vs Texas A&M-24.048.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.068.0L 49 - 52ON
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Mississippi State-21.561.5W 30 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-13.556.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 11/12 Alabama at Ole Miss-11.065.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Austin Peay-45.058.0W 34 - 0UN
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-22.051.0W 49 - 27ON
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Kansas State-8.058.5W 45 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
LSU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 LSU vs Florida State-4.551.0L 23 - 24UN
Sat 9/10 LSU vs Southern-44.558.0W 65 - 17OY
Sat 9/17 LSU vs Mississippi State+3.053.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 9/24 LSU vs New Mexico-31.544.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 LSU at Auburn-8.044.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/8 LSU vs Tennessee+2.563.0L 13 - 40UN
Sat 10/15 LSU at Florida+2.051.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 10/22 LSU vs Ole Miss+0.064.0W 45 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 LSU vs Alabama+13.556.5W 32 - 31OY
Sat 11/12 LSU at Arkansas-5.059.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/19 LSU vs UAB-15.550.5W 41 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 LSU at Texas A&M-10.047.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 12/3 LSU vs Georgia+17.052.0L 30 - 50ON
Mon 1/2 LSU vs Purdue-15.054.0W 63 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.347%29.549%3.1515045%3384.53.0738%19.237%39%3.89660.91.4
LSU.1941%22.838%2.8911443%2544.25.1843%19.842%43%4.0334.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.346.6%4.530.9244881503384.143%57%49%45%15%.3
LSU Defense1319.816.942.7%4.031.1 - - - - - 48%52%42%43%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.738.2%3.891.4 - - - - - 44%56%37%39%20%.07
LSU Offense1322.825.740.6%4.251.2193681142543.346%54%38%43%17%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1532:2224.552%53%7.1660.91.47.93.8629
LSU1329:3619.437%63%4.334.31.21.17.52.9127.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543%49%36.51504.121.143.1576%11%0.84
LSU Defense1348%42% - - - - .072.8473%12%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1544%37% - - - - -.022.5571%14%0.83
LSU Offense1346%38%34.21143.39.042.8969%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1557%45%25.338.1338.28.913.4487.421.831%41%.594%2.2
LSU Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 8.291.734%35%.475%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1556%39% - - - - - - 15.141.635%25%.156%1.9
LSU Offense1354%43%20.234.1254.57.512.63211.311.633%31%.37%1.9

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2022 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.3  #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.9  #8
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #12

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    LSU: 10.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 30.3   LSU: 16.2




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 10.6 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2022 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #14
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #37
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 23
LSU 23

Projected Total Points: 46
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1144 Overs
Alabama1597 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #14
Perf GradeGrade #6 #34
OffenseOff #13 #37
DefenseDef #6 #36
Spec TeamsST #31 #128
TalentTal #1 #8
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #13 #36
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #28 #18
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #18 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #37 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRun #25 #6
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #8
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #25 #7
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #55 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Alabama 13.5 (56.5)
LSU won vs Alabama this year (32-31)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (20-9)
Alabama beat LSU in 2024 (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)

  
ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD