LSU at Arkansas - 2022 Matchup Preview

LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
LSU -5 (59.0)
LSU 13 - Arkansas: 10 (SEC)

Tigers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ LSU -4)
Projected Score: LSU: 27 - ARK: 26 (53)
LSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
LSU Travel: 427 miles

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/4	LSU vs Florida State	-4.5	51.0	L 23 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/10	LSU vs Southern	-44.5	58.0	W 65 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	LSU vs Mississippi State	+3.0	53.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/24	LSU vs New Mexico	-31.5	44.0	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	LSU at Auburn	-8.0	44.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/8	LSU vs Tennessee	+2.5	63.0	L 13 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/15	LSU at Florida	+2.0	51.5	W 45 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/22	LSU vs Ole Miss	+0.0	64.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	LSU vs Alabama	+13.5	56.5	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/12	LSU at Arkansas	-5.0	59.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/19	LSU vs UAB	-15.5	50.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	LSU at Texas A&M	-10.0	47.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/3	LSU vs Georgia	+17.0	52.0	L 30 - 50	O	N
Mon 1/2	LSU vs Purdue	-15.0	54.0	W 63 - 7	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Arkansas's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arkansas vs Cincinnati	-6.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Arkansas vs South Carolina	-9.0	56.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Arkansas vs Missouri State	-26.0	60.0	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/24	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/1	Arkansas vs Alabama	+17.0	61.0	L 26 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/8	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+8.0	55.5	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Arkansas at BYU	+1.0	66.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Arkansas at Auburn	-4.0	60.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Arkansas vs Liberty	-14.5	61.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Arkansas vs LSU	+5.0	59.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+0.0	67.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Arkansas at Missouri	-3.0	55.5	L 27 - 29	O	N
Wed 12/28	Arkansas vs Kansas	-1.5	70.5	W 55 - 53	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.19	41%	22.8	38%	2.89	114	43%	254	4.25	.18	43%	19.8	42%	43%	4.03	34.3	1.2	1.1
ARK	.28	44%	32.9	46%	3.32	228	42%	214	3.61	.14	39%	33.8	41%	39%	3.03	63.1	0.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	22.8	16.4	40.6%	4.25	1.2	19	368	114	254	3.3	46%	54%	38%	43%	17%	.19
ARK Defense	13	33.8	35	39.5%	3.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	19.8	20.4	42.7%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	43%	17%	.18
ARK Offense	13	32.9	30.5	44.4%	3.61	0.8	22	442	228	214	5	60%	39%	46%	42%	16%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	29:36	19.4	37%	63%	4.3	34.3	1.2	1.1	7.5	2.9	1	27.8
Arkansas	13	29:30	21.8	37%	63%	7.9	63.1	0.8	1.5	6.1	1.8	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	46%	38%	34.2	114	3.3	9	.04	2.89	69%	10%	0.92
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.88	67%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	73%	12%	0.98
ARK Offense	13	60%	46%	45.2	227.8	5	26	.24	3.32	77%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	54%	43%	20.2	34.1	254.5	7.5	12.6	32	11	.31	1.6	33%	31%	.3	7%	1.9
ARK Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.6	32%	22%	.17	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.7	34%	35%	.47	5%	2.3
ARK Offense	13	39%	42%	15.8	24.2	213.9	8.9	13.6	22	5	.37	1.7	31%	31%	.43	4%	2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2022 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #14
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #37
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: Arkansas: 8.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 16.2 Arkansas: 12.0

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 8.5 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #29
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #19
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 27
Arkansas 26

Projected Total Points: 53

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	LSU	23	Arkansas	22	LSU -4	Arkansas	58.5	Under
2024	10/19	Arkansas	10	LSU	34	LSU -3	LSU	57.0	Under
2023	09/23	LSU	34	Arkansas	31	LSU -17.5	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2022	11/12	Arkansas	10	LSU	13	LSU -5	Arkansas	59.0	Under
2021	11/13	LSU	13	Arkansas	16	Arkansas -3	NA	59.5	Under
2020	11/21	Arkansas	24	LSU	27	LSU -1.5	LSU	64.5	Under
2019	11/23	LSU	56	Arkansas	20	LSU -42	Arkansas	69.5	Over
2018	11/10	Arkansas	17	LSU	24	LSU -12.5	Arkansas	49.5	Under
2017	11/11	LSU	33	Arkansas	10	LSU -19	LSU	54.5	Under
2016	11/12	Arkansas	10	LSU	38	LSU -7	LSU	46.5	Over
2015	11/14	LSU	14	Arkansas	31	LSU -9	Arkansas	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Arkansas	17	LSU	0	Arkansas -1.5	Arkansas	0
2013	11/29	LSU	31	Arkansas	27	LSU -24.5	Arkansas	0
2012	11/23	Arkansas	13	LSU	20
2011	11/25	LSU	41	Arkansas	17
2010	11/27	Arkansas	31	LSU	23
2009	11/28	LSU	33	Arkansas	30
2008	11/28	Arkansas	31	LSU	30
2007	11/23	LSU	48	Arkansas	50
2006	11/24	Arkansas	26	LSU	31
2005	11/25	LSU	19	Arkansas	17
2004	11/26	Arkansas	14	LSU	43
2003	11/28	LSU	55	Arkansas	24
2001	11/23	LSU	41	Arkansas	38
2000	11/23	Arkansas	14	LSU	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	7	8	3 Overs
LSU	18	4	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	4 - 8	2 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 14	8 - 4	3 - 2	5 - 2

(#) LSU at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#14	#29
Perf GradeGrade	#34	#43
OffenseOff	#37	#18
DefenseDef	#36	#87
Spec TeamsST	#128	#104
TalentTal	#8	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

LSU Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#25	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#44	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#83

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#55	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#43	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
LSU 5.0 (59.0)
LSU won at Arkansas this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (23-22)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2024 (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD