Toledo at Ohio - 2022 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats  Ohio logo
Saturday, December 3rd 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -3.5 (54.5)
Toledo 17 - Ohio: 7  (MAC Championship)

 
Rockets (9 - 5) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (45 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO 2nd straight Home Game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TOL -1)
Projected Score: TOL: 22 - OHIO: 24 (46)
TOL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 55 miles
Bobcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Tim Albin (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Toledo vs Long Island University-47.557.0W 37 - 0UN
Sat 9/10 Toledo vs Massachusetts-28.049.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Toledo at Ohio State+34.563.0L 21 - 77ON
Sat 9/24 Toledo at San Diego State-2.544.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 Toledo vs Central Michigan-6.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Toledo at Northern Illinois-6.559.0W 52 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 Toledo vs Kent State-7.062.5W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/22 Toledo at Buffalo-7.056.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/29 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-4.054.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Toledo vs Ball State-11.050.0W 28 - 21UN
Tue 11/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-14.547.0L 35 - 42ON
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Western Michigan-8.550.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 12/3 Toledo vs Ohio-3.554.5W 17 - 7UY
Tue 12/20 Toledo vs Liberty-4.051.5W 21 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Ohio's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Florida Atlantic+6.051.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Penn State+28.055.0L 10 - 46ON
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Iowa State+20.048.0L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Fordham-16.573.5W 59 - 52ON
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Kent State+13.065.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Akron-10.058.5W 55 - 34OY
Sat 10/15 Ohio at Western Michigan+2.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Ohio vs Northern Illinois+2.565.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Ohio vs Buffalo+2.561.0W 45 - 24OY
Tue 11/8 Ohio at Miami (OH)-2.552.0W 37 - 21OY
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Ball State-3.557.5W 32 - 18UY
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Bowling Green-5.552.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 12/3 Ohio vs Toledo+3.554.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/30 Ohio vs Wyoming-3.043.0W 30 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2940%30.845%3.519636%2394.04.0936%13.336%37%3.2290.20.51.5
OHIO.2245%27.847%3.4918743%1843.85.2747%21.945%50%4.0158.61.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.340.2%4.040.5214351962395.449%51%45%36%17%.29
OHIO Defense1221.92047%4.010.8 - - - - - 51%49%45%50%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.736.2%3.221.5 - - - - - 52%48%36%37%20%.09
OHIO Offense1227.836.344.9%3.851.3203711871845.256%44%47%43%16%.22

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1328:2020.835%43%1090.20.51.56.82.9529.4
Ohio1229:4620.236%65%6.258.61.30.84.61.3129
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1349%45%36.3196.45.429.353.577%11%1.33
OHIO Defense1251%45% - - - - .23.3364%8%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352%36% - - - - .073.0763%12%1.07
OHIO Offense1256%47%36.2187.35.220.283.4971%11%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1351%36%17.430239.1813.8223.241.836%25%.276%2.3
OHIO Defense1249%50% - - - - - - 6.351.426%33%.394%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 8.181.635%27%.248%2.2
OHIO Offense1244%43%16.726.1184.17.111.1118.181.331%30%.315%1.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7  #82
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Ohio: -2.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -3.7   Ohio: -4.6




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -2.3 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 24
Toledo 22

Projected Total Points: 46
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/20Toledo7Ohio24Toledo -1.5Ohio47.0Under
202212/03Ohio7Toledo17Toledo -3.5Toledo54.5Under
202111/16Ohio23Toledo35Toledo -7.5Toledo57.5Over
201711/08Ohio38Toledo10Toledo -3Ohio63.5Under
201610/27Toledo26Ohio31Toledo -17.5Ohio57.0Push
201009/11Ohio13Toledo20
200710/20Toledo43Ohio40
200511/04Ohio21Toledo30
200410/16Toledo31Ohio13
200110/06Ohio41Toledo48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio331 Overs
Toledo723 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 71 - 40 - 21 - 2
Road Teams7 - 34 - 12 - 12 - 0

(#) TOL at (#) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLOHIO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #86
Perf GradeGrade #47 #66
OffenseOff #81 #25
DefenseDef #5 #120
Spec TeamsST #135 #47
TalentTal #80 #119
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffOHIO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #100 #92
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #64 #124
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #120 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCatOHIO OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTOL Def
Run GameRun #62 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #60 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #26
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCatOHIO OffTOL Def
Pass GamePass #12 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Toledo 3.5 (54.5)
Toledo won at Ohio this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Toledo in 2024 (24-7)

  
TOL's OC Mike Hallett (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD