UNLV at San Diego State - 2022 Matchup Preview

UNLV Rebels at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -5 (47.0)
San Diego State 14 - UNLV: 10 (Mountain West)

Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (2 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ SDSU -8)
Projected Score: UNLV: 23 - SDSU: 29 (52)
SDSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
UNLV Travel: 259 miles

Aztecs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (16 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UNLV vs Idaho State	-23.0	50.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/10	UNLV at California	+12.0	49.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	UNLV vs North Texas	-2.5	62.5	W 58 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/24	UNLV at Utah State	-3.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Fri 9/30	UNLV vs New Mexico	-14.0	44.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/7	UNLV at San José State	+6.5	51.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/15	UNLV vs Air Force	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/22	UNLV at Notre Dame	+26.0	46.5	L 21 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	UNLV at San Diego State	+5.0	47.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/11	UNLV vs Fresno State	+9.0	61.5	L 30 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UNLV at Hawai'i	-11.0	56.5	L 25 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	UNLV vs Nevada	-12.5	49.0	W 27 - 22	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

San Diego State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-33.5	50.5	W 38 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Utah	+21.5	48.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/24	San Diego State vs Toledo	+2.5	44.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/30	San Diego State at Boise State	+6.0	38.0	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-23.5	48.5	W 16 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	San Diego State at Nevada	-7.5	36.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/29	San Diego State at Fresno State	+10.0	43.5	L 28 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs UNLV	-5.0	47.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	San Diego State vs San José State	+2.5	41.0	W 43 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/18	San Diego State at New Mexico	-15.0	36.0	W 34 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Air Force	+2.0	43.5	L 3 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/24	San Diego State vs Middle Tennessee	-7.0	47.0	L 23 - 25	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.14	36%	34.1	36%	2.63	110	36%	203	4.14	.25	44%	28	40%	49%	4.26	37.9	1.8	1.4
SDSU	.15	40%	26.4	40%	3	175	39%	168	3.57	.07	36%	15.4	33%	38%	3.46	67.9	1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	34.7	36.1%	4.14	1.8	16	312	110	203	3.3	46%	54%	36%	36%	31%	.14
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	6.8	35.8%	3.46	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	33%	38%	20%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.3	44%	4.26	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	49%	18%	.25
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	31.2	39.7%	3.57	1	19	343	175	168	4.3	56%	43%	40%	39%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	29:39	15.5	35%	25%	4.5	37.9	1.8	1.4	5	1.8	0	27.5
San Diego State	14	32:04	18.6	32%	63%	7.4	67.9	1	1.9	6.8	2.9	5	30.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	46%	36%	32.9	109.8	3.3	18	.07	2.63	86%	20%	0.99
SDSU Defense	14	39%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.61	65%	12%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.08	62%	13%	1.12
SDSU Offense	14	56%	40%	40.8	174.9	4.3	26	.17	3	76%	10%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	54%	36%	16.1	27.6	202.5	7.3	12.6	11	14	.22	1.8	37%	27%	.24	11%	2
SDSU Defense	14	61%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.18	1.5	36%	26%	.19	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.5	31%	35%	.52	5%	2.1
SDSU Offense	14	43%	39%	14.9	25.8	167.9	6.5	11.3	16	5	.17	1.4	33%	28%	.24	5%	1.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2022 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #104
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #96
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #99

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: San Diego State: 0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -11.9 San Diego State: -4.4

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 0.3 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #85
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #124
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 29
UNLV 23

Projected Total Points: 52

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	UNLV	41	San Diego State	20	UNLV -22	San Diego State	55.5	Over
2022	11/05	San Diego State	14	UNLV	10	San Diego State -5	UNLV	47.0	Under
2021	11/19	UNLV	20	San Diego State	28	San Diego State -11	UNLV	41.0	Over
2020	10/24	San Diego State	34	UNLV	6	San Diego State -14	San Diego State	51.0	Under
2019	10/26	UNLV	17	San Diego State	20	San Diego State -12	UNLV	45.0	Under
2018	11/10	San Diego State	24	UNLV	27	San Diego State -24	UNLV	51.5	Under
2017	10/07	UNLV	10	San Diego State	41	San Diego State -9.5	San Diego State	56.5	Under
2016	10/08	San Diego State	26	UNLV	7	San Diego State -17.5	San Diego State	53.5	Under
2015	11/21	UNLV	14	San Diego State	52	San Diego State -11	San Diego State	50.5	Over
2014	09/27	San Diego State	34	UNLV	17	San Diego State -17	Push	0
2013	11/30	UNLV	45	San Diego State	19	San Diego State -3	UNLV	0
2012	10/27	San Diego State	24	UNLV	13
2011	11/26	UNLV	14	San Diego State	31
2010	11/27	San Diego State	48	UNLV	14
2009	11/28	UNLV	28	San Diego State	24
2008	11/22	San Diego State	42	UNLV	21
2007	11/10	UNLV	30	San Diego State	38
2006	11/11	San Diego State	21	UNLV	7
2005	10/08	UNLV	13	San Diego State	10
2004	11/20	San Diego State	21	UNLV	3
2003	11/08	UNLV	0	San Diego State	7
2002	10/26	San Diego State	31	UNLV	21
2001	10/13	UNLV	31	San Diego State	3
2000	11/24	San Diego State	24	UNLV	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	17	5	3 Overs
UNLV	7	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	5 - 5	2 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 15	5 - 5	2 - 3	3 - 2

(#) UNLV at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#85
Perf GradeGrade	#71	#80
OffenseOff	#76	#121
DefenseDef	#59	#35
Spec TeamsST	#71	#45
TalentTal	#118	#115
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UNLV Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#81	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#57	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#95	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#63	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
San Diego State -5.0 (47.0)
San Diego State won vs UNLV this year (14-10)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San Diego State in 2024 (41-20)

UNLV's OC Nick Holz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD