UNLV at San José State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Friday, October 7th 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
San José State -6.5 (51.5)
San José State 40 - UNLV: 7 (Mountain West)

Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (2 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ SJSU -8)
Projected Score: UNLV: 33 - SJSU: 26 (59)
SJSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UNLV Travel: 380 miles

Spartans (7 - 5) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (20 - 37)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UNLV vs Idaho State	-23.0	50.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/10	UNLV at California	+12.0	49.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	UNLV vs North Texas	-2.5	62.5	W 58 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/24	UNLV at Utah State	-3.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Fri 9/30	UNLV vs New Mexico	-14.0	44.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/7	UNLV at San José State	+6.5	51.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/15	UNLV vs Air Force	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/22	UNLV at Notre Dame	+26.0	46.5	L 21 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	UNLV at San Diego State	+5.0	47.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/11	UNLV vs Fresno State	+9.0	61.5	L 30 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UNLV at Hawai'i	-11.0	56.5	L 25 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	UNLV vs Nevada	-12.5	49.0	W 27 - 22	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

San José State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	San José State vs Portland State	-22.0	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	San José State at Auburn	+24.0	48.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	San José State vs Western Michigan	-6.5	49.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	San José State at Wyoming	-2.5	42.5	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Fri 10/7	San José State vs UNLV	-6.5	51.5	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	San José State at Fresno State	-7.0	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/22	San José State at New Mexico State	-21.0	43.0
Sat 10/29	San José State vs Nevada	-24.5	44.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/5	San José State vs Colorado State	-24.0	44.5	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/12	San José State at San Diego State	-2.5	41.0	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/19	San José State at Utah State	+1.0	51.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/26	San José State vs Hawai'i	-15.5	58.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Tue 12/20	San José State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	54.0	L 27 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.14	36%	34.1	36%	2.63	110	36%	203	4.14	.25	44%	28	40%	49%	4.26	37.9	1.8	1.4
SJSU	.11	40%	21.4	44%	2.88	121	36%	220	3.1	.15	42%	32.5	43%	42%	3.76	65.2	2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	34.7	36.1%	4.14	1.8	16	312	110	203	3.3	46%	54%	36%	36%	31%	.14
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	29.5	42.4%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	42%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.3	44%	4.26	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	49%	18%	.25
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	25.8	39.7%	3.1	2	17	340	121	220	4.1	46%	54%	44%	36%	23%	.11

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	29:39	15.5	35%	25%	4.5	37.9	1.8	1.4	5	1.8	0	27.5
San José State	12	26:44	16.8	35%	33%	7.3	65.2	2	1.1	6.7	2.3	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	46%	36%	32.9	109.8	3.3	18	.07	2.63	86%	20%	0.99
SJSU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.1	73%	13%	0.72

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.08	62%	13%	1.12
SJSU Offense	12	46%	44%	29.3	120.5	4.1	12	.06	2.88	56%	14%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	54%	36%	16.1	27.6	202.5	7.3	12.6	11	14	.22	1.8	37%	27%	.24	11%	2
SJSU Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	31%	27%	.23	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.5	31%	35%	.52	5%	2.1
SJSU Offense	12	54%	36%	17.3	33.5	219.7	6.6	12.7	15	10	.15	1.6	34%	31%	.28	9%	2.1

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2022 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #104
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #96
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #99

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: San José State: 0.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -11.9 San José State: -4.3

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.35 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #84
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #101
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 33
San José State 26

Projected Total Points: 59

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/22	San José State	16	UNLV	27	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	59.5	Under
2023	11/25	UNLV	31	San José State	37	UNLV -3.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2022	10/07	San José State	40	UNLV	7	San José State -6.5	San José State	51.5	Under
2021	10/21	UNLV	20	San José State	27	San José State -6	San José State	44.0	Over
2020	11/14	San José State	34	UNLV	17	San José State -17.0	Push	62.0	Under
2019	11/23	UNLV	38	San José State	35	San José State -7	UNLV	65.5	Over
2018	10/27	San José State	50	UNLV	37	San José State -2.5	San José State	57.5	Over
2017	09/30	UNLV	41	San José State	13	UNLV -16.5	UNLV	63.0	Under
2016	10/29	San José State	30	UNLV	24	UNLV -3	San José State	55.0	Under
2015	10/10	UNLV	27	San José State	33	San José State -3	San José State	50.0	Over
2014	10/04	San José State	33	UNLV	10	San José State -10.5	San José State	0
2013	11/02	UNLV	24	San José State	34	San José State -2.5	San José State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	9	8	5 Overs
UNLV	3	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 7	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#) UNLV at (#) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#84
Perf GradeGrade	#71	#69
OffenseOff	#76	#70
DefenseDef	#59	#54
Spec TeamsST	#71	#82
TalentTal	#118	#105
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UNLV Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#81	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#57	#44
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#70	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#53	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
San José State -6.5 (51.5)
San José State won vs UNLV this year (40-7)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San José State in 2024 (27-16)
San José State beat UNLV in 2023 (37-31)

UNLV's OC Nick Holz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD